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HOME›TEAMS›SAN JOSÉ STATE›2020TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2020 FINAL
MOUNTAIN WEST|BRENT BRENNAN|—RECORD7-0|CONF—
SAN JOSÉ STATE#24 AP 71 FPIMWC · 2020 SEASON
TALENT
32FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1140 BC / 16
BC RATIO
1%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2020 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
7-0ACTUALvs5.5-1.5FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.5 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-0
AVG SCORING MARGIN+13.0
7 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.5. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE7 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
37MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
8OCT 24HAIR FORCE—W 17-632929+18BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 31ANEW MEXICO—W 38-21211010+37BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 6ASAN DIEGO STATE—W 28-17406565-18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 14HUNLV—W 34-173844+43BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14DEC 5HHAWAI'I—W 35-24312424+23BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
15DEC 11HNEVADA—W 30-20335757-10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
16DEC 19HBOISE STATE—W 34-20517373-26BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
17
NICK STARKELQB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
16
ALEC TRUJILLOQB JURET
★3★200%—FELL
14
JAKE SIMMONSQB JURET
UNR—00%——
14
MATT DER TOROSSIANQB FRRET
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET39NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
32
KAIREE ROBINSONRB SERET
★3—00%——
23
TYLER NEVENSRB SERET
★3—00%——
33
BRENDAN MANIGORB JURET
UNR—00%——
44
BEAUX TAGALOAFB JURET
★3★300%—HELD
38
ROMERO TEURB SERET
UNR—00%——
36
HUNTER NYERB SERET
UNR—00%——
22
DESTON HAWKINSRB SONO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
15
JORDAN BYRDRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
NICK NASHWR SERET
★2★400%—ROSE
81
BILLY BOB HUMPHREYSTE SERET
UNR—00%——
30
JACKSON BURRILLTE SERET
★2—00%——
10
TRE WALKERWR SERET
★3—00%——
84
SAM OLSONTE SENO SNAPS
★2★300%—ROSE
84
BAILEY GAITHERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
13
JERMAINE BRADDOCKWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
87
DERRICK DEESE JR.TE SERET
UNR—00%——
9
ISAIAH HAMILTONWR SERET
★2★300%—ROSE
81
DOMINICK MAZOTTITE SERET
★3★300%—HELD
84
ISAIAH HOLINESSWR JURET
★2—00%——
4
SHAMAR GARRETTWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
9
ANDRE CRUMP JR.WR JURET
★3—00%——
26
AUSTIN LILESWR SERET
UNR★200%—EMERGED
41
STEVEN HOUSTONWR JURET
UNR—00%——
12
MALIKHI MILLERWR SERET
★3—00%——
86
VINCENT CORSOWR JURET
UNR—00%——
8
CHANCE LA CHAPELLEWR SORET
UNR—00%——
21
JAMAR SIMPSONWR FRRET
★3—00%——
49
NOAH SANCHEZTE FRRET
UNR—00%——
82
TERENCE LOVILLEWR SONO SNAPS
★3★200%—FELL
83
SALOMON NAVARROTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
85
JACKSON CANAANTE SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
89
LAMAR HOUSLEYWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS16 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MIKALE GREERHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
JALEN APALIT-WILLIAMSHS RECRUITS★3UNR
JAKAI TORRESHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
SOANE TOIAHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
SHAMAR GARRETTHS RECRUITAPB★3UNR
KEYDRELL LEWISHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
TERENCE LOVILLEHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
ELIJAH WOODHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
JALEN BAINERHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
ELIJAH LAWSONHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT15 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TERRELL TOWNSENDNORTH ALABAMADTUNRUNR
ALEX GALLANDELIGIBILITY UPPUNR—
ETHAN AGUAYOELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
BRETT FOLEYELIGIBILITY UPTEUNR—
JOSH LOVEELIGIBILITY UPQBUNR—
JESSE OSUNAELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
ZAMORE ZIGLERELIGIBILITY UPCBUNR—
CHANDLER HAWKINSELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
BRANDON EZELLELIGIBILITY UPCBUNR—
SAILOSI LATUELIGIBILITY UPDTUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#114NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 16 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8124COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
56TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
5
15
14
11
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-5 TO +6 W
IMPROVED25 OF 56
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST42% BACK42th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG42% BACK42th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE