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HOME›TEAMS›SMU›2018TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
ACC|SONNY DYKES|—RECORD5-7|CONF—
SMU97 FPIACC · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
47FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#870 BC / 15
BC RATIO
4%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
5-7ACTUALvs5.0-7.0FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.0 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN-4.8
5 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.0. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
50MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1ANORTH TEXAS—L 23-46235050-21BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 7HTCU—L 12-42786767-38BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 15AMICHIGAN#14L 20-45959393-64BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 22HNAVY—W 31-30172222+7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 29HHOUSTON CHRISTIAN—W 63-27————NON-FBS OPPONENT
6OCT 6AUCF#11L 20-48618787-58BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 20ATULANE—W 27-23403131-2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 27HCINCINNATI#24L 20-26546262-33BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3HHOUSTON—W 45-31645151-22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10AUCONN—W 62-502911+28BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16HMEMPHIS—L 18-28477373-44BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24ATULSA—L 24-27221818+11BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET98NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
BEN HICKSQB SERET
UNR—00%——
9
WILLIAM BROWNQB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
16
CHRISTIAN MCANALLEYQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
KE'MON FREEMANRB SERET
★3—00%——
31
MEREK PIERCERB SERET
UNR—00%——
6
BRAEDEN WESTRB SERET
UNR—00%——
5
XAVIER JONESRB SERET
UNR—00%——
43
J.R. GRIFFINRB JURET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
81
BEN REDDINGTE SERET
UNR—00%——
22
MYRON GAILLIARDWR SERET
UNR—00%——
14
RYAN BECKERTE SERET
★3—00%——
6
AUSTIN UPSHAWWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
9
TREVEON JOHNSONWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
3
JAMES PROCHEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
85
HUNTER THEDFORDTE SERET
UNR—00%——
1
CJ SANDERSWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
21
REGGIE ROBERSON JR.WR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
20
TYLER PAGEWR SERET
★3—00%——
13
JUDAH BELLWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
JR. ROBERSONWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
20
JORDAN BROOKS-WESSWR JURET
UNR—00%——
11
JARED MILESWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
86
TOMMY MCINTYRETE SERET
UNR—00%——
10
BRANDON BENSONWR SORET
★3—00%——
80
COREY RAUTE SERET
★3—00%——
99
CODY BANKSTE JURET
★3—00%——
44
KEDRICK JAMESTE JURET
★4★400%—HELD
84
MATT DORRITYWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
44
JAMES SOWARDSWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
10
ARMANII GLASPIEWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
CONNER ALLENWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
1
CJ SANDERSWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
8
REGGIE ROBERSON, JR.WR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS15 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TREVEON JOHNSONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
SHABAZZ DOTSONHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
JARED MILESHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
TAMERIK WILLIAMSHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
WILLIAM BROWNHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
BEN REDDINGHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
PRESTON ELLISONHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
DARREN BROWNHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
GARY WILEYHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
JIMMY PHILLIPSHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT22 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
RAFE PEAVEYFLORIDA ATLANTICQBUNRUNR
D.J. GILLINSUTSAQBUNRUNR
JUSTIN LAWLERNFL DRAFT R7DEUNR—
TREY QUINNNFL DRAFT R7WRUNR—
COURTLAND SUTTONNFL DRAFT R2WRUNR—
MITCHELL KAUFMANNOT LISTEDTEUNR—
MATT MCNEWNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
JOSH WILLIAMSNOT LISTEDPKUNR—
SHELBY WALKERNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
DIMARYA MIXONNOT LISTEDDLUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#87NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 15 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8226COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
119TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
16
38
33
21
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED54 OF 119
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST75% BACK75th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG75% BACK75th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR98%98th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE