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● LIVE|2020 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
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SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2020 FINAL
ACC|SONNY DYKES|—RECORD7-3|CONF—
SMU66 FPIACC · 2020 SEASON
TALENT
60FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#810 BC / 16
BC RATIO
7%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2020 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
7-3ACTUALvs6.3-3.7FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.7 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+7.7
7 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.3. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE10 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
42MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 5ATEXAS STATE—W 31-24271111+66BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 19ANORTH TEXAS—W 65-35362222+55BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 26HSTEPHEN F. AUSTIN—W 50-7————NON-FBS OPPONENT
5OCT 3HMEMPHIS—W 30-27546767+10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 16ATULANE—W 37-34476262+15BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 24HCINCINNATI#8L 13-42589494-17BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 31HNAVY—W 51-37152020+57BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 7ATEMPLE—W 47-23441818+59BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 14ATULSA—L 24-28436666+11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 28AEAST CAROLINA—L 38-52491616+61BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET99NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
SHANE BUECHELEQB SERET
★4—00%——
10
TERRANCE GIPSONQB FRRET
★3—00%——
9
WILLIAM BROWNQB SORET
★3★300%—HELD
18
JACOB OEHRLEINQB JURET
UNR—00%——
12
DEREK GREENQB SERET
★3—00%——
14
JOSH STUPINQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET15NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
31
TYLER LAVINERB SERET
★2—00%——
24
ULYSSES BENTLEY IVRB SERET
★3—00%——
25
TJ MCDANIELRB SORET
★3★300%—HELD
22
TAMERIK WILLIAMSRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
20
CAMERON ROSENBERGERRB FRRET
UNR—00%——
24
KADE ASHLEYRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
25
BLAKE BEDWELLRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
32
ORLANDO JONESRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
86
TOMMY MCINTYRETE SERET
UNR—00%——
6
AUSTIN UPSHAWWR SERET
★3—00%——
21
REGGIE ROBERSON JR.WR SERET
UNR—00%——
83
KYLEN GRANSONTE SERET
★2—00%——
20
TYLER PAGEWR SERET
★3—00%——
13
JUDAH BELLWR JURET
★3—00%——
84
MATT DORRITYWR JURET
UNR—00%——
5
DANNY GRAYWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
11
RASHEE RICEWR SERET
★3—00%——
85
KEITH JONESWR SORET
★3—00%——
81
BEN REDDINGTE SERET
UNR—00%——
15
CALVIN WIGGINSWR JURET
★3★300%—HELD
0
THADDAEUS JOHNSONWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
45
BEN PALMERWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
9
BEAU BARKERWR JURET
UNR—00%——
48
DEVAN RECK-IRVINWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
36
WALKER FRENCHWR JURET
UNR—00%——
82
PARKER STONEWR SONO SNAPS
★2—00%——
35
CHAD DINESWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
47
DEVIN AGLUBATWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
43
PEYTON HUDSONWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
30
CARTER CAMPBELLWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
GAGE HASKINTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
JOHN LUKE ROBERTSTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
84
ALEX QUIRKTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS16 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
THAD JOHNSONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
TYLER BAILEYHS RECRUITOC★3UNR
ERIN SMITHHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
KARL TAYLORHS RECRUITS★3UNR
BEN SPARKSHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
DALTON PERDUEHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
JAY BELLHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
BRYAN MASSEYHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
MASON MASTROVHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
MARCUS BRYANTHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT18 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAMES PROCHENFL DRAFT R6WRUNR—
MYRON GAILLIARDELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
DELONTAE SCOTTELIGIBILITY UPDEUNR—
CHRIS BIGGURSELIGIBILITY UPDTUNR—
PATRICK NELSONELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
DEMERICK GARYELIGIBILITY UPDT★3—
RYAN BECKERELIGIBILITY UPTE★3—
KE'MON FREEMANELIGIBILITY UPRB★3—
PONO DAVISELIGIBILITY UPDTUNR—
TREVEON JOHNSONELIGIBILITY UPWR★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#81NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 16 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8313COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
134TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
13
19
35
37
30
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-9 TO +6 W
IMPROVED67 OF 134
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST57% BACK57th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG57% BACK57th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR99%99th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
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