SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2017 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›SOUTH CAROLINA›2017TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2017 FINAL
SEC|WILL MUSCHAMP|—RECORD8-4|CONF—
SOUTH CAROLINA34 FPISEC · 2017 SEASON
TALENT
82FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#215 BC / 22
BC RATIO
26%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2017 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
8-4ACTUALvs7.0-5.0FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.0 W
ONE SCORE RECORD5-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+3.3
8 wins against a scoring profile describing 7.0. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
66MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2HNC STATE#23W 35-28678282-14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9AMISSOURI—W 31-13697979-11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16HKENTUCKY—L 13-23775252+16BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23HLOUISIANA TECH—W 17-16362727+41BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30ATEXAS A&M—L 17-24897272-4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7HARKANSAS—W 48-22835151+17BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14ATENNESSEE—W 15-9924848+20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28HVANDERBILT—W 34-27674545+23BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4AGEORGIA#2L 10-24989898-30BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11HFLORIDA—W 28-20877474-6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18HWOFFORD—W 31-10————NON-FBS OPPONENT
13NOV 25HCLEMSON#4L 10-34949797-29BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET48NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
13
JAKE BENTLEYQB SERET
★4★300%—FELL
12
MICHAEL SCARNECCHIAQB SERET
UNR—00%——
15
DREW DINSMOREQB —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
17
DANNY GORDONQB —RET
UNR—00%——
4
DARIUS DOUGLASQB —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET78NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
32
CALEB KINLAWRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
34
MON DENSONRB SERET
UNR—00%——
25
A.J. TURNERRB SERET
UNR—00%——
5
TY'SON WILLIAMSRB SERET
UNR—00%——
5
RICO DOWDLERB SERET
★3—00%——
21
JAMYEST WILLIAMSRB SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
33
SLADE CARROLLRB SERET
★2—00%——
36
C.J. FREEMANRB —RET
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
TERRY GOOGERWR —RET
UNR—00%——
89
BRYAN EDWARDSWR SERET
★4—00%——
81
HAYDEN HURSTTE —RET
UNR—00%——
86
CHAD TERRELLTE YRNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
40
JACOB AUGUSTTE SERET
UNR—00%——
3
K.C. CROSBYTE SERET
UNR—00%——
1
DEEBO SAMUELWR SERET
UNR—00%——
83
CHAVIS DAWKINSWR SERET
★3—00%——
87
KIEL POLLARDTE JURET
★3—00%——
13
SHI SMITHWR SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
8
RANDRECOUS DAVISWR SERET
★3—00%——
18
ORTRE' SMITHWR SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
84
KYLE MARKWAYTE JURET
UNR—00%——
16
BAILEY HARTWR JURET
UNR—00%——
15
EVAN HINSONTE JURET
★3—00%——
9
JERAD WASHINGTONWR —RET
UNR—00%——
39
PARKER RANKINTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
80
SHEMAR GLENNWR —RET
UNR—00%——
24
GARRETT FREDERICKWR —RET
UNR—00%——
85
DEVIN DINGLEWR —RET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS22 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAMYEST WILLIAMSHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
ORTRE SMITHHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
SHI SMITHHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
BRAD JOHNSONHS RECRUITWDE★4UNR
MJ WEBBHS RECRUITSDE★4UNR
CHAD TERRELLHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
WILL REGISTERHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
AARON STERLINGHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
DAVONNE BOWENHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
ERIC DOUGLASHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT23 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAMARI SMITHNORTH CAROLINA A&TWRUNRUNR
DAVID WILLIAMSARKANSASRBUNRUNR
MATRICK BELTONNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
SEAN KELLYNOT LISTEDPUNR—
DARIUS PAULKNOT LISTEDRBUNR—
ROD TALLEYNOT LISTEDRBUNR—
KELSEY GRIFFINNOT LISTEDDLUNR—
JORDAN DIGGSNOT LISTED?UNR—
CHAZ ELDERNOT LISTEDCBUNR—
DARIUS ENGLISHNOT LISTEDDLUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#21NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
5OF 22 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8714COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS
+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST70% BACK70th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG70% BACK70th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR48%48th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE