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● LIVE|2017 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›SOUTHERN MISS›2017TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2017 FINAL
SUN BELT|JAY HOPSON|—RECORD8-4|CONF—
SOUTHERN MISS90 FPISBC · 2017 SEASON
TALENT
35FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#740 BC / 21
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2017 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
8-4ACTUALvs7.9-4.1FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+7.5
8 wins against a scoring profile describing 7.9. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
25MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2HKENTUCKY—L 17-24775252-18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9HSOUTHERN—W 45-0————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 16AUL MONROE—W 28-17141414+20BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30HNORTH TEXAS—L 28-43133333+1BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7AUTSA—W 31-29113838-4BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14HUTEP—W 24-0700+34BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21ALOUISIANA TECH—W 34-27362727+7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28HUAB—L 12-305———NON-FBS OPPONENT
10NOV 4ATENNESSEE—L 10-24924848-14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11ARICE—W 43-342522+32BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18HCHARLOTTE—W 66-21911+33BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25AMARSHALL—W 28-27423333+1BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET11NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
KEON HOWARDQB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
7
KWADRA GRIGGSQB SERET
UNR—00%——
16
JACK ABRAHAMQB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
9
MARCELO RODRIGUEZQB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
12
WILLIE GREENQB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
14
TYLER RUSSELLQB —RET
UNR—00%——
5
CARTER HANKINSQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET74NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
25
ITO SMITHRB —RET
UNR—00%——
30
RAYMOND SMITH JR.RB JURET
UNR—00%——
8
TEZ PARKSRB SERET
UNR—00%——
31
ANDRE HALE IIRB SORET
★2—00%——
28
T'ROD DANIELSRB SERET
UNR—00%——
38
BRIAN KINGRB SERET
UNR—00%——
24
GEORGE PAYNERB SERET
UNR—00%——
26
DALTON BRADFIELDRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
33
KEVIN PERKINSRB SENO SNAPS
★2★200%—HELD
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
48
RAY LADNERTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
15
ALLENZAE STAGGERSWR —RET
UNR—00%——
16
QUEZ WATKINSWR JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
2
JAYLOND ADAMSWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
20
KRIS REEDWR JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
82
TREVOR TERRYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
5
TIM JONESWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
88
ISAIAH JONESWR —RET
UNR—00%——
85
BEN OLINGERWR —RET
UNR—00%——
18
KOREY ROBERTSONWR —RET
UNR—00%——
83
CHASE WHITEHEADWR —RET
UNR—00%——
11
JULIAN ALLENTE —RET
UNR—00%——
1
JAY'SHAWN WASHINGTONTE SERET
UNR—00%——
23
COLLIN KILCREASETE SERET
UNR—00%——
36
D'SAVEON PATRICKTE JURET
UNR—00%——
89
WILLIAM POTOSKY IIITE SERET
UNR—00%——
82
REID RIALSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
80
JORDAN MITCHELLWR SERET
UNR—00%——
13
NEIL MCLAURINWR SERET
UNR—00%——
30
MATT PLEASANTWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
83
BARRETT BARHAMWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
18
DE'MICHAEL HARRISWR SERET
UNR—00%——
DEMARCUS JONESWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
87
MARQUIS MCCOYWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
89
JACOB JONESWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
98
BROCK BYRDWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
30
RAYMOND SMITH, JR.WR —RET
UNR—00%——
19
SAM SMITHWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS21 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EMANUEL DABNEYHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
PAUL GAINERHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
JAYLOND ADAMSHS RECRUITAPB★3UNR
TIM JONESHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
WYDALE FLOTTHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
FREDDIE HARTZHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
DARIUS MABERRYHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
TRAVION CLAYTONHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
ROBERT REEVESHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
STEVEN ANDERSONHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT22 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DEVONTRE PARNELLNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
JARELL AARONNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
JERRY MCCORVEYNOT LISTEDDLUNR—
C.J. PERRYNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
D.J. THOMPSONNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
STEPHEN BRAUCHLENOT LISTEDPKUNR—
SHAWN BRICKLEYNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
PARKER ADAMSONNOT LISTEDQBUNR—
DYLAN BRADLEYNOT LISTEDDLUNR—
TYRE'OUNE HOLMESNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#74NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 21 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8151COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
56TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
5
15
14
11
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-5 TO +6 W
IMPROVED25 OF 56
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST58% BACK58th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG58% BACK58th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR11%11th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE