SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2018 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›SOUTHERN MISS›2018TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
SUN BELT|JAY HOPSON|—RECORD6-5|CONF—
SOUTHERN MISS95 FPISBC · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
27FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#800 BC / 17
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
6-5ACTUALvs7.3-3.7FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN+6.4
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 7.3. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE11 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
29MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1HJACKSON STATE—W 55-7————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 8HUL MONROE—L 20-21121919+10BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 22HRICE—W 40-222411+28BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 29AAUBURN—L 13-24919595-66BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 13ANORTH TEXAS—L 7-30235050-21BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 20HUTSA—W 27-173222+27BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 27ACHARLOTTE—L 17-201199+20BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3HMARSHALL—W 26-24414444-15BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10AUAB—L 23-26284343-14BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17HLOUISIANA TECH—W 21-20452828+1BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24AUTEP—W 39-71500+29BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET61NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
MARCELO RODRIGUEZQB SORET
★3—00%——
6
TATE WHATLEYQB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
16
JACK ABRAHAMQB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
7
KWADRA GRIGGSQB SERET
UNR—00%——
11
THOMAS MORTONQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
14
TYLER RUSSELLQB —RET
UNR—00%——
5
CARTER HANKINSQB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET24NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
22
TRIVENSKEY MOSLEYRB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
24
STEVEN ANDERSONRB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
24
GEORGE PAYNERB SERET
UNR—00%——
7
DARIUS MABERRYRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
8
TEZ PARKSRB SERET
UNR—00%——
31
ANDRE HALE IIRB SORET
★2—00%——
28
T'ROD DANIELSRB SERET
UNR—00%——
38
BRIAN KINGRB SERET
UNR—00%——
26
DALTON BRADFIELDRB JURET
UNR—00%——
33
KEVIN PERKINSRB SERET
★2★200%—HELD
31
ANDRE HALE, IIRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
80
JORDAN MITCHELLWR SERET
UNR—00%——
16
QUEZ WATKINSWR JURET
★2—00%——
2
JAYLOND ADAMSWR SORET
★3—00%——
20
KRIS REEDWR JURET
★2—00%——
82
TREVOR TERRYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
5
TIM JONESWR SERET
★3—00%——
13
NEIL MCLAURINWR SERET
UNR—00%——
18
DE'MICHAEL HARRISWR SERET
UNR—00%——
1
JAY'SHAWN WASHINGTONTE SERET
UNR—00%——
23
COLLIN KILCREASETE SERET
UNR—00%——
36
D'SAVEON PATRICKTE JURET
UNR—00%——
82
REID RIALSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
89
WILLIAM POTOSKY IIITE SERET
UNR—00%——
48
RAY LADNERTE SERET
UNR—00%——
30
MATT PLEASANTWR JURET
UNR—00%——
83
BARRETT BARHAMWR SERET
UNR—00%——
DEMARCUS JONESWR SERET
UNR—00%——
87
MARQUIS MCCOYWR JURET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
31
WALTER BELLWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
30
RAYMOND SMITH, JR.WR —RET
UNR—00%——
19
SAM SMITHWR —RET
UNR—00%——
29
LAIN SCOBELTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
88
CALEB EZIDOREWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
96
AVERY CAGLETE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
WILLIAM POTOSKY, IIITE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS17 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DEUNTRA HYMANHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
JEMAURIAN JONESHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
DON RAGSDALEHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
CURRY BENNHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
ETHAN EDMONDSONHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
TRACE CLOPTONHS RECRUITOC★3UNR
TRIVENSKEY MOSLEYHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
TATE WHATLEYHS RECRUITDUAL★3UNR
SHANNON CARSWELLHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
WILL ROBINSONHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT23 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CORNELL ARMSTRONGNFL DRAFT R6DBUNR—
TARVARIUS MOORENFL DRAFT R3DBUNR—
ITO SMITHNFL DRAFT R4RBUNR—
KEON HOWARDELIGIBILITY UPQB★3—
ALLENZAE STAGGERSNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
ISAIAH JONESNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
DUNCAN SPARKSNOT LISTEDDEUNR—
BEN OLINGERNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
JOMEZ APPLEWHITENOT LISTEDDBUNR—
TRAE COLLINSNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#80NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 17 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8107COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKRETURNS
32TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
8
9
5
6
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-6 TO +5 W
IMPROVED11 OF 32
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST41% BACK41th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG41% BACK41th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR61%61th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE