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HOME›TEAMS›SOUTHERN MISS›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
SUN BELT|WILL HALL|—RECORD3-9|CONF—
SOUTHERN MISS116 FPISBC · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
39FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-7IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1240 BC / 11
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
3-9ACTUALvs3.0-9.0FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.0 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN-10.3
3 wins against a scoring profile describing 3.0. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
35MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 4ASOUTH ALABAMA—L 7-31272525-14BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 11HGRAMBLING—W 37-0————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 18HTROY—L 9-21342828-17BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 25AALABAMA#2L 14-631009898-87BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 2ARICE—L 19-242833+8BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 9HUTEP—L 13-26123030-19BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 16HUAB—L 0-34346767-56BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 30AMIDDLE TENNESSEE—L 10-35423131-20BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 6HNORTH TEXAS—L 14-38422828-17BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 13AUTSA—L 17-27445656-45BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19ALOUISIANA TECH—W 35-19451717-6BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 27HFLORIDA INTERNATIONAL—W 37-174644+7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET22NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
TY KEYESQB FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
8
TREY LOWEQB SERET
★3—00%——
9
TEE WEBBQB FRPORTAL · LOUISVILLE
★3★300%—HELD
24
JAKE LANGEQB JURET
UNR—00%——
18
JASON GOLDSTEINQB SORET
UNR—00%——
14
JACK WALKERQB JURET
★3—00%——
11
THOMAS MORTONQB JURET
UNR—00%——
9
L.J. LEONARDQB FRRET
UNR—00%——
12
BENNETT JOHNSTONQB FRRET
UNR—00%——
15
JUSTIN CARTERQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET63NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
11
ANTAVIOUS WILLISRB JURET
★3—00%——
3
FRANK GORE JR.RB JURET
★3—00%——
2
CHANDLER PITTMANRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
6
DAJON RICHARDRB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
7
DARIUS MABERRYRB JURET
★3—00%——
26
JIMMIE HAYWOODRB JURET
UNR—00%——
25
CHRIS CALVERTRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
27
TJ POPERB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
85
BRAD DENNISWR SERET
UNR—00%——
33
COLE CAVALLOTE SERET
UNR—00%——
42
AVERY WHITETE JURET
★3—00%——
16
ANTOINE ROBINSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
1
JASON BROWNLEEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
4
BRANDON HAYESWR SERET
★3—00%——
1
JAKARIUS CASTONWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
33
NARICUSS DRIVER JR.TE SERET
UNR—00%——
DEMARCUS JONESWR SERET
UNR—00%——
89
GRAYSON GUNTERTE SERET
★3—00%——
2
DA'QUAN BAILEY-BROWNWR JURET
UNR—00%——
48
RAY LADNERTE SERET
UNR—00%——
30
MATT PLEASANTWR JURET
UNR—00%——
80
CAMERON WILLIAMSWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
19
JACOB PRINCETE SORET
UNR—00%——
88
LUKE BAKERTE SORET
★3—00%——
1
CHRIS SCRUGGSWR FRRET
★3—00%——
20
TYLER KENNEDYWR JURET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
82
JALEN MAYWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS11 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TY KEYESHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
JAY JONESHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
CHANDLER PITTMANHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
ZAY FRANKSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
BRENDAN TOLESHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
JEREMIAH ROBINSONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
RICHARD MAYSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JACK TANNEHILLHS RECRUITK★3UNR
MYKAL MCLEODHS RECRUITOT★2UNR
BENNIE GARNERHS RECRUITLBUNRUNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN7 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BRIASON MAYSWEST VIRGINIAIOL★3★3
TEE WEBBLOUISVILLEQB★3★3
MONTRA EDWARDSMISSOURIDL★3★3
LAKEVIAS DANIELOLE MISSCBUNR★3
EVERITT CUNNINGHAMMEMPHISWDEUNR★3
JAY STANLEYOLE MISSS★3★3
DASHAWN CRAWFORDVIRGINIA TECHDLUNR★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT8 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JACK ABRAHAMELIGIBILITY UPQB★3—
TIM JONESELIGIBILITY UPWR★3—
BARRETT BARHAMELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
KY'EL HEMBYELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
KEVIN PERKINSELIGIBILITY UPRB★2—
MARQUIS MCCOYNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
TATE WHATLEYNOT LISTEDQB★3—
DON RAGSDALENOT LISTEDRB★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#124NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 11 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8326COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
714 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
56TEAMS
MATCHED THIS
+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
5
15
14
11
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-5 TO +6 W
IMPROVED25 OF 56
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST47% BACK47th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG47% BACK47th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR22%22th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE