SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2019 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›SOUTH FLORIDA›2019TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2019 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|CHARLIE STRONG|—RECORD4-8|CONF—
SOUTH FLORIDA95 FPIAAC · 2019 SEASON
TALENT
50FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#770 BC / 20
BC RATIO
2%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2019 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
4-8ACTUALvs3.8-8.2FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN-8.1
4 wins against a scoring profile describing 3.8. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
57MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
5 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 30HWISCONSIN#11L 0-49779292-71BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 7AGEORGIA TECH—L 10-14681515+6BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 14HSOUTH CAROLINA STATE—W 55-16————NON-FBS OPPONENT
5SEP 28HSMU—L 21-48546464-43BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5AUCONN—W 48-222833+18BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12HBYU—W 27-23515555-34BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19ANAVY#20L 3-35147777-56BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26AEAST CAROLINA—W 45-20391111+10BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 7HTEMPLE—L 7-17426161-40BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16HCINCINNATI#21L 17-20567474-53BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23HMEMPHIS#17L 10-49498888-67BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 29AUCF#24L 7-34619090-69BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET82NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
17
KIRK RYGOLQB SORET
UNR—00%——
3
JORDAN MCCLOUDQB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
11
BLAKE BARNETTQB SERET
UNR—00%——
18
AUGIE DEBIASEQB SORET
★2—00%——
16
KADEN FROSTQB FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET88NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
21
DAVE SMALLRB JURET
UNR—00%——
8
KELLEY JOINERRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
5
JOHNNY FORDRB JURET
★3★300%—HELD
2
JORDAN CRONKRITERB SERET
UNR—00%——
33
ODUNAYO SERIKIRB SERET
UNR—00%——
28
TREVON SANDSRB SERET
UNR—00%——
32
JAJUAN CHERRYRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
27
LEONARD PARKERRB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
23
JOSH BERRYRB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
85
JACOB MATHISTE SERET
★4★400%—HELD
16
RANDALL ST. FELIXWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
12
ZION ROLANDWR SORET
★3—00%——
11
CHRIS CARTERTE JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
6
TERRENCE HORNEWR JURET
★3★300%—HELD
14
JAH'QUEZ EVANSWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
38
SEAN ATKINSWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
FRED LLOYD JR.WR SERET
UNR—00%——
10
XAVIER WEAVERWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
81
KEVIN PURLETTWR SERET
UNR—00%——
13
EDDIE MCDOOMWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
19
BRYCE MILLERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
4
STANLEY CLERVEAUXWR SERET
UNR—00%——
89
MITCHELL WILCOXTE SERET
UNR—00%——
15
JERNARD PHILLIPSWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
8
LATRELL WILLIAMSWR SERET
★3—00%——
17
KYLE TRINAWR SORET
UNR—00%——
44
THOMAS NANCETE SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
85
CHRISTIAN HELMSWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
87
FREDERICK LLOYDTE —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS20 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAHQUEZ EVANSHS RECRUITDUAL★3UNR
DARIUS WILLIAMSHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
RAYMOND COLLINSHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
DAQUAN EVANSHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
THOMAS NANCEHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
MATTHEW MCDUFFIEHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
DUSTYN HALLHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
LOGAN BERRYHILLHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
LEO PARKERHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JAYDEN CURRYHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT26 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BRETT KEANCHARLOTTEQBUNRUNR
DEANGELO ANTOINEFLORIDA ATLANTICWRUNRUNR
ELIJAH MACKMCNEESERB★3UNR
DURAN BELL JR.ALABAMA STATERB★2UNR
NAYTRON CULPEPPERALABAMA STATEDB★3UNR
DONELLE THOMASALABAMA STATEDB★3UNR
MARQUIES PRICEELIGIBILITY UPDEUNR—
TYRE MCCANTSELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
MAZZI WILKINSELIGIBILITY UPCBUNR—
CHRIS BARRELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#77NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 20 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8334COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
134TEAMS
MATCHED THIS
+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
13
19
35
37
30
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-9 TO +6 W
IMPROVED67 OF 134
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST73% BACK73th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG73% BACK73th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR82%82th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE