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HOME›TEAMS›SOUTH FLORIDA›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|JEFF SCOTT|—RECORD1-11|CONF—
SOUTH FLORIDA104 FPIAAC · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
51FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
9%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#910 BC / 12
BC RATIO
8%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
1-11ACTUALvs3.4-8.6FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-2.4 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-4
AVG SCORING MARGIN-13.2
1 wins against a scoring profile describing 3.4. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE73
PERFORMANCE73
TALENT50
CONTINUITY9
DEFENSE7
PERFORMANCE7
TALENT45
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
58MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3HBYU—L 21-50234545-36BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 10HHOWARD—W 42-20————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 17AFLORIDA—L 28-31927575-66BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24ALOUISVILLE—L 3-41577171-62BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1HEAST CAROLINA—L 28-48424848-39BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 8ACINCINNATI—L 24-28658282-73BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15HTULANE#9L 31-45477979-70BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 29AHOUSTON—L 27-42585757-48BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5ATEMPLE—L 28-54452020-11BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12HSMU—L 23-41555858-49BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18ATULSA—L 42-48403434-25BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26HUCF—L 39-46627373-64BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB71TAL60PERF71RET35ONE OWNERn=3 · 7 METRICS · 16 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
GERRY BOHANONQB SENO SNAPS
★4★36748%-8FELL
12
KATRAVIS MARSHQB SORET
★3—6135%-34—
17
BYRUM BROWNQB SENO SNAPS
★3★44917%+39ROSE
18
JORDAN SMITHQB FRRET
★3★300%—HELD
12
GUNNAR SMITHQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
16
RYAN BOLDUCQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
15
GAVIN GOSNELLQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB70TAL46PERF70RET69ONE OWNERn=4 · 5 METRICS · 14 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
21
BRIAN BATTIERB SERET
★3★39153%+33HELD
22
MICHEL DUKESRB SENO SNAPS
★3★36520%-24HELD
8
JAREN MANGHAMRB SERET
★4★35110%0FELL
4
K'WAN POWELLRB SENO SNAPS
UNR★3446%+40EMERGED
21
JASON ALBRITTONRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—303%+37—
24
MYCHAEL HAMILTONRB SERET
★3—232%-57—
23
YASIAS YOUNGRB SERET
UNR—00%——
8
KELLEY JOINERRB SERET
UNR—00%+11—
28
DAYLAN FELTONRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE39TAL59PERF46RET71ROTATIONn=9 · 7 METRICS · 45 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
XAVIER WEAVERWR SERET
★3★37926%+35HELD
5
JIMMY HORN JR.WR SERET
★3★47825%+27ROSE
11
CHRIS CARTERTE JURET
★3★37429%-47HELD
83
HOLDEN WILLISTE SERET
★3★37328%-38HELD
2
YUSUF TERRYWR SERET
★3★36615%-58HELD
87
GUNNAR GREENWALDTE SERET
★3—6420%——
89
KHAFRE BROWNWR SENO SNAPS
★4★36111%-58FELL
38
SEAN ATKINSWR SERET
UNR—589%+36—
9
OMARION DOLLISONWR SERET
★3★3578%+24HELD
86
CHRIS MOTTILLOTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—5412%——
JAYSON LITTLEJOHNTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—509%——
6
AJOU AJOUWR SONO SNAPS
★4★3322%—FELL
81
GARRET REYNOLDSWR FRRET
UNR—281%——
19
JAVOHN THOMASWR FRTRUE FR
★3★3261%—HELD
82
JACKSON LONGTE JUNO SNAPS
★3★3211%—HELD
19
DEQUAN STANLEYWR SENO SNAPS
★3★3171%—HELD
9
SINCERE BROWNWR SERET
★3★3130%—HELD
35
BAILEY PURCELLWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
8
LATRELL WILLIAMSWR SERET
★3—00%——
85
CHRISTIAN HELMSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
84
CADE ROBERTSWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
89
COLIN AFFLECKTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
26
CAMERON COBBWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
36
TRESON EVERETTWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
37
TREY WAGNERWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL79TAL39PERF79RET15n=7 · 3 METRICS · 21 OBS
▸DL38TAL49PERF38RET54n=9 · 8 METRICS · 48 OBS
▸LB57TAL51PERF58RET75n=5 · 10 METRICS · 25 OBS
▸DB41TAL39PERF41RET73n=10 · 8 METRICS · 51 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS12 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MICHAEL WILLIAMSHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
EDDIE KELLY JR.HS RECRUITDL★3UNR
DEAUNTE HUNTERHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
BYRUM BROWNHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
JACKSON LONGHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
JAVOHN THOMASHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
GUNNAR SMITHHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
TONY NEWSOMEHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
CADE ROBERTSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
TAVIN WARDHS RECRUITCB★2UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT21 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CADE FORTINARKANSASQB★3UNR
DEMARCUS GREGORYTEXAS STATEWR★3★3
BROCK NICHOLSELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
KEVIN KEGLERELIGIBILITY UPDT★3—
DREW MIMSELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
TYRONE BARBERELIGIBILITY UPDT★3—
VINCENT DAVISELIGIBILITY UPS★3—
ISAIAH CROMARTYELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
MITCHELL BRINKMANELIGIBILITY UPTE★2—
TIMMY MCCLAINELIGIBILITY UPQB★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#91NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 12 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8430COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
39TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
2
14
4
12
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.5 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-5 TO +8 W
IMPROVED19 OF 39
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST38% BACK38th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG38% BACK38th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR15%15th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR35%35th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST73%73th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE