SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2019 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›STANFORD›2019TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2019 FINAL
ACC|DAVID SHAW|—RECORD4-8|CONF—
STANFORD59 FPIACC · 2019 SEASON
TALENT
86FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#218 BC / 24
BC RATIO
34%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2019 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
4-8ACTUALvs3.8-8.2FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN-8.2
4 wins against a scoring profile describing 3.8. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
62MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HNORTHWESTERN—W 17-7653030+3BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 7AUSC—L 20-45988484-51BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 14AUCF#24L 27-45619090-57BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21HOREGON#5L 6-21888989-56BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28AOREGON STATE—W 31-28595151-18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5HWASHINGTON—W 23-13878888-55BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 17HUCLA—L 16-34854040-7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26HARIZONA—W 41-31552323+10BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9ACOLORADO—L 13-16663838-5BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16AWASHINGTON STATE—L 22-49507979-46BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23HCALIFORNIA—L 20-24644343-10BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30HNOTRE DAME#12L 24-45918686-53BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
15
DAVIS MILLSQB SERET
★5—00%——
3
K.J. COSTELLOQB SERET
★4—00%——
10
JACK WESTQB JURET
★4—00%——
18
JACK RICHARDSONQB SERET
★3—00%——
17
DYLAN PLAUTZQB JURET
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET31NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
22
CAMERON SCARLETTRB SERET
UNR—00%——
6
AUSTIN JONESRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
28
DORIAN MADDOXRB SERET
★2—00%——
35
HOUSTON HEIMULIFB SERET
★3—00%——
24
JAY SYMONDSFB 5TRET
★3—00%——
8
NATHANIEL PEATRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
21
TREVOR SPEIGHTSRB SERET
★3—00%——
21
JUSTUS WOODSRB JURET
UNR—00%——
30
CAMERON MCFARLANERB JURET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
DONALD STEWARTWR SERET
★3—00%——
9
OSIRIS ST. BROWNWR SERET
★4—00%——
84
COLBY PARKINSONTE JURET
★4—00%——
85
CALEB PHILLIPSTE SERET
★2—00%——
80
SCOOTER HARRINGTONTE SERET
★3—00%——
5
CONNOR WEDINGTONWR SERET
★4—00%——
13
SIMI FEHOKOWR JURET
★4—00%——
4
MICHAEL WILSONWR 5TRET
★4—00%——
81
BRYCEN TREMAYNEWR 5TRET
★2—00%——
88
TUCKER FISKTE SERET
★3—00%——
6
ELIJAH HIGGINSWR SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
82
BRADLEY ARCHERTE SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
6
ISAIAH BRANDT-SIMSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
11
HARRY SCHWARTZWR SERET
UNR—00%——
85
KYLE MCCOMBSTE SERET
★2—00%——
44
TAEVEON LETE JURET
★3—00%——
14
CAMERON BUZZELLWR SERET
UNR—00%——
87
TREY LABOUNTYTE SERET
★2—00%——
9
COLBY BOWMANWR SENO SNAPS
★4★400%—HELD
3
MARCUS GRAHAMWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS24 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ELIJAH HIGGINSHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
AUSTIN JONESHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
BRANSON BRAGGHS RECRUITOC★4UNR
STEPHEN HERRON JR.HS RECRUITWDE★4UNR
JOSHUA PAKOLAHS RECRUITSDE★4UNR
TRISTAN SINCLAIRHS RECRUITOLB★4UNR
SALIM TURNER-MUHAMMADHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
COLBY BOWMANHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
BRADLEY ARCHERHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
WALTER ROUSEHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT17 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BOBBY OKEREKENFL DRAFT R3ILBUNR—
JAKE BAILEYNFL DRAFT R5PUNR—
JJ ARCEGA-WHITESIDENFL DRAFT R2WRUNR—
BRYCE LOVENFL DRAFT R4RBUNR—
KADEN SMITHNFL DRAFT R6TE★4—
JOEY ALFIERIELIGIBILITY UPOLBUNR—
JESSE BURKETTELIGIBILITY UPCUNR—
ALIJAH HOLDERELIGIBILITY UPCBUNR—
ALAMEEN MURPHYELIGIBILITY UPCBUNR—
BRANDON SIMMONSELIGIBILITY UP?★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#21NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
8OF 24 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8788COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKRETURNS
28TEAMS
MATCHED THIS
-2.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
11
6
3
4
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.3 W
FULL RANGE-5 TO +4 W
IMPROVED7 OF 28
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST64% BACK64th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG64% BACK64th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE