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HOME›TEAMS›STANFORD›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
ACC|DAVID SHAW|—RECORD3-9|CONF—
STANFORD82 FPIACC · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
85FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
12%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#197 BC / 25
BC RATIO
28%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
3-9ACTUALvs3.3-8.7FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN-10.8
3 wins against a scoring profile describing 3.3. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE30
PERFORMANCE30
TALENT79
CONTINUITY12
DEFENSE31
PERFORMANCE31
TALENT75
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
73MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
7 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3HCOLGATE—W 41-10————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 10HUSC#12L 28-41939292-63BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24AWASHINGTON#8L 22-40858787-58BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1AOREGON#15L 27-45969292-63BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 8HOREGON STATE#17L 27-28618484-55BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15ANOTRE DAME#18W 16-14937373-44BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22HARIZONA STATE—W 15-14723838-9BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 29AUCLA#21L 13-38808585-56BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5HWASHINGTON STATE—L 14-52507272-43BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12AUTAH#10L 7-42779393-64BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19ACALIFORNIA—L 20-27664242-13BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26HBYU—L 26-35234545-16BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB25TAL97PERF25RET99ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 11 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
18
TANNER MCKEEQB JURET
★4—9597%+13—
11
ARI PATUQB SERET
★3★3192%-30HELD
14
ASHTON DANIELSQB SENO SNAPS
★3★3131%—HELD
10
BEAU NELSONQB SERET
★3—00%——
17
CHARLIE MIRERQB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
▾RB22TAL63PERF22RET71ONE OWNERn=3 · 5 METRICS · 11 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
CASEY FILKINSRB SERET
★3—8357%+32—
21
CALEB ROBINSONRB JURET
★2—5315%-50—
22
EJ SMITHRB SERET
★4★35214%+18FELL
17
BRENDON BARROWRB SERET
★3★35113%-33HELD
33
ARLEN HARRIS JR.RB FRTRUE FR
★4★451%—HELD
23
JACOB LOWERB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
24
JAY SYMONDSFB 5TRET
★3—00%——
44
COCO LUKRICHFB SORET
★3—00%——
20
DANNY MCFADDENRB SORET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE50TAL70PERF48RET85ONE OWNERn=8 · 8 METRICS · 45 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
84
BEN YUROSEKTE SERET
★3—9666%+4—
6
ELIJAH HIGGINSWR SERET
★4—9427%+9—
81
BRYCEN TREMAYNEWR 5TRET
★2—9326%+14—
5
JOHN HUMPHREYSWR SERET
★4—8119%-19—
4
MICHAEL WILSONWR 5TRET
★4—7013%+23—
86
SAM ROUSHTE SENO SNAPS
★4—6421%-51—
6
MUDIA REUBENWR SENO SNAPS
★3★3576%-51HELD
19
SILAS STARRWR SERET
★3—545%-61—
9
COLBY BOWMANWR SERET
★4★4483%—HELD
82
BRADLEY ARCHERTE SERET
★3★3426%—HELD
85
SHIELD TAYLORTE SERET
★3—415%——
88
C.J. HAWKINSTE SONO SNAPS
★3—293%——
8
JAYSON RAINESWR SERET
★3★3231%—HELD
86
LUKAS UNGARTE SERET
★4★340%—FELL
11
BRYCE FARRELLWR SERET
★3—00%-13—
49
EVAN JACKSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
80
DAVID KASEMERVISZWR SERET
UNR—00%——
13
ELIC AYOMANORWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
40
JASON THOMPSONWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
32
DONOVAN JONESTE FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
▸OL48TAL84PERF48RET0n=7 · 3 METRICS · 19 OBS
▸DL44TAL72PERF44RET84n=7 · 8 METRICS · 41 OBS
▸LB49TAL75PERF49RET76n=7 · 11 METRICS · 43 OBS
▸DB52TAL76PERF52RET83n=9 · 6 METRICS · 49 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DAVID BAILEYHS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
ERNEST COOPER IVHS RECRUITDL★4UNR
TEVARUA TAFITIHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
FISHER ANDERSONHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
SAM ROUSHHS RECRUITTE★4UNR
LUCAS HEYERHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
ARLEN HARRIS JR.HS RECRUITRB★4UNR
JAXSON MOIHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
MUDIA REUBENHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
CJ HAWKINSHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT19 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
AUSTIN JONESUSCRB★3UNR
RYAN JOHNSONNORTHWESTERNDL★4UNR
HOUSTON HEIMULIBYUFB★3UNR
GABE REIDUTAHDE★3UNR
ANDRES FOXFRESNO STATEDL★4★4
NATHANIEL PEATMISSOURIRB★3UNR
NOAH WILLIAMSELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
JORDAN FOXELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
ISAIAH SANDERSELIGIBILITY UPQBUNR—
DALYN WADE-PERRYELIGIBILITY UPDT★4—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#19NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
7OF 25 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8739COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST68% BACK68th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG68% BACK68th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR99%99th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST83%83th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE