SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2018 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›TULANE›2018TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|WILLIE FRITZ|—RECORD6-6|CONF—
TULANE85 FPIAAC · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
40FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#680 BC / 26
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
6-6ACTUALvs5.4-6.6FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.6 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN-2.2
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.4. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
46MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 30HWAKE FOREST—L 17-23505656-25BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 8HNICHOLLS—W 42-17————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 15AUAB—L 24-31284343-12BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 22AOHIO STATE#3L 6-491009696-65BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28HMEMPHIS—W 40-24477373-42BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 6ACINCINNATI#24L 21-37546262-31BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 20HSMU—L 23-27472929+2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 27ATULSA—W 24-17221818+13BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3ASOUTH FLORIDA—W 41-15553636-5BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10HEAST CAROLINA—W 24-18391616+15BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 15AHOUSTON—L 17-48645151-20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24HNAVY—W 29-28172222+9BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET92NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
12
JUSTIN MCMILLANQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
1
JONATHAN BANKSQB SERET
UNR—00%——
16
P.J. HURSTQB JURET
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET24NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
COREY DAUPHINERB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
10
DARIUS BRADWELLRB SERET
★3—00%——
7
DEVIN GLENNRB SERET
UNR—00%——
34
JARED BERTRANDRB SERET
UNR—00%——
5
STEPHON HUDERSONRB SERET
★2★200%—HELD
27
CAM CARROLLRB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
21
JAMES POCHERB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
80
TYRICK JAMESTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
5
AMARE JONESWR 5TNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
17
JORIEN VALLIENWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
30
LOGAN AMMONSWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
3
DARNELL MOONEYWR SERET
★2—00%——
15
JACOB ROBERTSON JR.WR SERET
UNR—00%——
84
CHARLES JONES IITE SERET
UNR—00%——
5
TERREN ENCALADEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
88
JABRIL CLEWISWR SERET
UNR—00%——
13
BRIAN NEWMANWR SERET
UNR—00%——
83
DANE LEDFORDWR JURET
★2—00%——
84
WILL WALLACETE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
23
JAETAVIAN TOLESWR SERET
★2—00%——
89
KENDALL ARDOINTE SERET
UNR—00%——
47
ANDREW ZUCKERMANWR JURET
UNR—00%——
12
KEVIN LEDEEWR JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
40
CONNOR PROUETTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
KEITHA JONES JR.TE JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
83
NICK TOPPINOWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JEFFERY JOHNSONHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
DORIAN CAMELHS RECRUITS★3UNR
ALFRED THOMASHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
LA'DEDRIC JACKSONHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
JUAN MONJARRESHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
NIK HOGANHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
JORIEN VALLIENHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JASON SWANNHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
JAMIRAN JAMESHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
LARRY BROOKSHS RECRUITS★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT18 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
GLEN CUIELLETTETEXAS SOUTHERNQBUNRUNR
JOHNATHAN BRANTLEYEASTERN ILLINOISQB★2UNR
PARRY NICKERSONNFL DRAFT R6CBUNR—
ADE ARUNANFL DRAFT R6DEUNR—
KHALIL MCCLAINELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
SHERMAN BADIENOT LISTEDRBUNR—
JARROD FRANKLINNOT LISTEDSUNR—
LUKE JACKSONNOT LISTEDDEUNR—
QUINLAN CARROLLNOT LISTEDDEUNR—
ELDRICK WASHINGTONNOT LISTEDDTUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#68NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 26 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8266COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
119TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
16
38
33
21
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED54 OF 119
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST67% BACK67th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG67% BACK67th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR92%92th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE