SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2016 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›TULSA›2016TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2016 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|PHILIP MONTGOMERY|—RECORD9-3|CONF—
TULSA49 FPIAAC · 2016 SEASON
TALENT
33FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#950 BC / 19
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2016 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
9-3ACTUALvs7.9-4.1FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+9.9
9 wins against a scoring profile describing 7.9. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
39MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3HSAN JOSÉ STATE—W 45-10381313+48BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 10AOHIO STATE#6L 3-48979393-32BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 17HNORTH CAROLINA A&T—W 58-21————NON-FBS OPPONENT
4SEP 24AFRESNO STATE—W 48-413155+56BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7HSMU—W 43-40451919+42BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15AHOUSTON—L 31-38627070-9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22HTULANE—W 50-27241010+51BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 29AMEMPHIS—W 59-30426262-1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5HEAST CAROLINA—W 45-24402222+39BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12ANAVY—L 40-42136060+1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19AUCF—W 35-20494040+21BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25HCINCINNATI—W 40-37573636+25BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
DANE EVANSQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
12
RYAN RUBLEYQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
10
CHAD PRESIDENTQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
19
WILL HEFLEY IIIQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
13
LUKE SKIPPERQB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
20
JAMES FLANDERSRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
30
RAYMOND TAYLORRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
21
ROWDY SIMONRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
4
D'ANGELO BREWERRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
22
JAVON THOMASRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
24
COREY TAYLOR IIRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
25
RAMADI WARRENRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
26
MATTHEW HARVEYRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
88
JOSH ATKINSONWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
2
KEEVAN LUCASWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
80
RANDALL SMITHWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
8
KEENEN JOHNSONWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
33
ROB RIEDERERTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
11
NIGEL CARTERWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
7
BISHOP LOUIEWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
5
BRODRICK UMBLANCEWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
6
CHRIS MINTERTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
84
AVERY GRAGGWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
29
JUSTIN HOBBSWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
4
JARION ANDERSONWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
1
JOSH STEWARTWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
18
DAVID FITZWATERTE SONO SNAPS
★2—00%——
87
COLEMAN FIELDSWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
DAVID SNELLINGWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS19 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ROWDY FREDERICKHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
WAAHID MUHAMMADHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
ROBERT REVELSHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
JOSH STEWARTHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JOHNNIE WILLIAMSHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
LUKE SKIPPERHS RECRUITDUAL★3UNR
JORDAN BROWNHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
KEENEN JOHNSONHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
TILLER BUCKTROTHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
MONTRAY NORRISHS RECRUITCB★2UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT0 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#95NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 19 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.7984COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODEST—2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODEST—2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHT—2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST69% BACK69th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG69% BACK69th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE