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● LIVE|2019 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›TULSA›2019TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2019 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|PHILIP MONTGOMERY|—RECORD4-8|CONF—
TULSA82 FPIAAC · 2019 SEASON
TALENT
31FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1090 BC / 18
BC RATIO
2%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2019 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
4-8ACTUALvs4.8-7.2FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.8 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN-4.9
4 wins against a scoring profile describing 4.8. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
61MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 30AMICHIGAN STATE—L 7-28786969-25BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 7ASAN JOSÉ STATE—W 34-16312424+20BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 14HOKLAHOMA STATE—L 21-40727373-29BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21HWYOMING—W 24-21235050-6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5ASMU—L 37-43546464-20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12HNAVY#20L 17-45147777-33BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19ACINCINNATI#21L 13-24567474-30BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26HMEMPHIS#17L 41-42498888-44BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2ATULANE—L 26-38427070-26BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 8HUCF#24W 34-31619090-46BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23HHOUSTON—L 14-24613737+7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30AEAST CAROLINA—W 49-24391111+33BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET63NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
11
ZACH SMITHQB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
12
SETH BOOMERQB SERET
★3—00%——
5
DAVIS BRINQB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
15
BRANDON MARQUARDTQB JURET
UNR—00%——
16
CARSON COLLINSQB —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET93NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
CHRIS LOVICKRB SONO SNAPS
★2★200%—HELD
24
COREY TAYLOR IIRB SERET
UNR—00%——
3
SHAMARI BROOKSRB SERET
★3—00%——
21
T.K. WILKERSONRB SORET
★3—00%——
27
ELIJAH LUCASRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
34
GABRIEL BYRAMSRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
38
ABE ANDERSONTE SERET
UNR—00%——
47
ETHAN HALLTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
32
JAMES PALMERTE JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
8
KEENEN JOHNSONWR SERET
★3—00%——
41
ANDREW MCKINNISWR JURET
UNR—00%——
19
DENZEL CARTERTE JURET
UNR—00%——
2
KEYLON STOKESWR SERET
★3—00%——
9
SAM CRAWFORDWR SERET
★3—00%——
20
CANNON MONTGOMERYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
5
JUANCARLOS SANTANAWR SERET
UNR—00%——
4
JOSH JOHNSONWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
4
JARION ANDERSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
1
JOSH STEWARTWR SERET
★3—00%——
88
MALIK JACKSONWR JURET
UNR—00%——
82
JOSEPH BREEDLOVE IIIWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
85
IMIEE COOKSEYWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
44
JORDAN RODRIGUEZTE SORET
UNR—00%——
80
TREY COLLIERWR FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
18
LA'DARRION FLOREZWR FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
10
KOREY KINGWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
25
DHAILON PHILLIPSWR JURET
★3—00%——
2
MALIK RODGERSWR JURET
★3—00%——
29
WILL WHITEWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
5
JUANCARLOS SANTANAWR —RET
UNR—00%——
35
HANAN JONESWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
18
LA' DARRION FLOREZWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
87
JD CROWDERTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
KAMDYN BENJAMINWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS18 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
COOPER LAAKEHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
DORIAN HOPKINSHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
KOREY KINGHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JAISE OLIVERHS RECRUITS★3UNR
CHESTER BAAHHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
RA'QUAN THOMPSONHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
TYLER SMITHHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
BERSHARD GLASPIEHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
ETHAN HALLHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
REGGIE ELLISHS RECRUITCB★2UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT20 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JOHN PARKER ROMOVIRGINIA TECHPKUNRUNR
DAVID FITZWATERNORTHWESTERN STATETE★2UNR
JACOB PUGHELIGIBILITY UPDTUNR—
KEANU HILLELIGIBILITY UPCBUNR—
CHRIS MINTERELIGIBILITY UPTEUNR—
COLE NEPHELIGIBILITY UPTEUNR—
JUSTIN HOBBSELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
JORDAN MITCHELLELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
MYLES MOUTONELIGIBILITY UPDEUNR—
SAMUEL GOTTSCHELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#109NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 18 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8021COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
119TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
16
38
33
21
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED54 OF 119
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST74% BACK74th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG74% BACK74th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR63%63th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE