SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2022 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›TULSA›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|PHILIP MONTGOMERY|—RECORD5-7|CONF—
TULSA84 FPIAAC · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
40FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
11%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1120 BC / 14
BC RATIO
4%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
5-7ACTUALvs5.4-6.6FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.4 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN-2.5
5 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.4. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE53
PERFORMANCE53
TALENT51
CONTINUITY11
DEFENSE45
PERFORMANCE45
TALENT51
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
47MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3AWYOMING—L 37-40112424+10BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 10HNORTHERN ILLINOIS—W 38-352166+28BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 17HJACKSONVILLE STATE—W 54-178———NON-FBS OPPONENT
4SEP 24AOLE MISS—L 27-35849090-56BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1HCINCINNATI—L 21-31658282-48BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 8ANAVY—L 21-5302929+5BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21ATEMPLE—W 27-16452020+14BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 29HSMU—L 34-45555858-24BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5HTULANE#9L 13-27477979-45BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10AMEMPHIS—L 10-26476363-29BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18HSOUTH FLORIDA—W 48-425199+25BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26AHOUSTON—W 37-30585757-23BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB35TAL52PERF35RET100ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 16 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
DAVIS BRINQB SERET
★3★37761%+27HELD
1
BRAYLON BRAXTONQB SERET
★3★36839%-18HELD
10
ROMAN FULLERQB JURET
★3★300%—HELD
16
CARSON COLLINSQB JURET
★2—00%——
7
CARDELL WILLIAMSQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
9
STEPHEN KITTLEMANQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB39TAL42PERF39RET84ONE OWNERn=4 · 5 METRICS · 16 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
8
DENERIC PRINCERB SERET
★3—8251%+17—
24
STEVEN ANDERSONRB SERET
★3★37033%-11HELD
9
JORDAN FORDRB JURET
★3★363100%+2HELD
1
BILL JACKSONRB SERET
★3★34912%+26HELD
8
TAHJ GARYRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—324%-13—
23
ANTHONY WATKINSRB SERET
★3—00%——
22
COOKIE DESIDERIORB SONO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
48
KYSER CANNONRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
20
JAYCE MORGANRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE32TAL26PERF36RET65ONE OWNERn=5 · 7 METRICS · 33 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
JUANCARLOS SANTANAWR SERET
UNR—9927%+13—
3
ISAIAH EPPSWR SENO SNAPS
★3—9927%-20—
2
KEYLON STOKESWR SERET
★3—9825%+34—
47
ETHAN HALLTE SERET
★3—8672%-35—
88
BAYNE TRYONTE JURET
★3—5523%——
14
MARQUIS SHOULDERSWR JURET
★3★3331%—HELD
80
COLBY POWERSTE SONO SNAPS
★3—325%——
18
KAMDYN BENJAMINWR SERET
UNR—301%——
9
NICK REMPERTWR SENO SNAPS
UNR★3281%—EMERGED
7
CARL CHESTERWR SENO SNAPS
★3★3231%—HELD
28
CORBIN DANIELSWR SERET
UNR—70%——
8
JESHARI HOUSTONWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
5
KEITH WHEELERWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
15
SCOTTIE ALEXANDERWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
34
WAYLON ADAMSTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
8
DEVAN WILLIAMSWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
82
CONNOR VAUGHNTE JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
20
CHARLES HODGE IVWR FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
88
ELI POTTSWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL34TAL57PERF34RET0n=6 · 3 METRICS · 18 OBS
▸DL34TAL67PERF34RET78n=7 · 7 METRICS · 39 OBS
▸LB51TAL58PERF51RET100n=5 · 10 METRICS · 32 OBS
▸DB46TAL31PERF46RET99n=10 · 6 METRICS · 50 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS14 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KEITH WHEELERHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
CARDELL WILLIAMSHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
NUNU CAMPBELLHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
CHARLES HODGE IVHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
ELI MCWILLIAMSHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
CONNOR VAUGHNHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
DEVAN WILLIAMSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
DANIEL ADEMISOYEHS RECRUITOT★2UNR
TANYON ZACHARYHS RECRUITIOL★2UNR
TAI NEWHOUSEHS RECRUITDL★2UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT22 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAXON PLAYERBAYLORDL★3UNR
JAMES PALMERTEXAS STATETE★2UNR
TRAVON FULLERELIGIBILITY UPCB★3—
EZRA NAYLOR IIELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
TIENEAL MARTINELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
JETT HENDRIXELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
ABE ANDERSONELIGIBILITY UPTEUNR—
CRISTIAN WILLIAMSELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
YOHANCE BURNETTELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
CULLEN WICKELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#112NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 14 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8208COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKRETURNS
32TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
8
9
5
6
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-6 TO +5 W
IMPROVED11 OF 32
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST65% BACK65th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG65% BACK65th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST99%99th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE