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HOME›TEAMS›UAB›2018TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|BILL CLARK|—RECORD10-3|CONF—
UAB70 FPIAAC · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
28FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1030 BC / 16
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
10-3ACTUALvs10.1-2.9FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD4-0
AVG SCORING MARGIN+12.0
10 wins against a scoring profile describing 10.1. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
26MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 30HSAVANNAH STATE—W 52-0————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 8ACOASTAL CAROLINA—L 24-4791111+32BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 15HTULANE—W 31-24403131+12BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 29HCHARLOTTE—W 28-71199+34BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 6ALOUISIANA TECH—W 28-7452828+15BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 13ARICE—W 42-02411+42BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 20HNORTH TEXAS—W 29-21235050-7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 27AUTEP—W 19-01500+43BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3HUTSA—W 52-33222+41BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10HSOUTHERN MISS—W 26-23272929+14BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17ATEXAS A&M#16L 20-41899292-49BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24AMIDDLE TENNESSEE—L 3-27343030+13BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14DEC 1AMIDDLE TENNESSEE—W 27-25343030+13BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
DYLAN HOPKINSQB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
11
A.J. ERDELYQB SERET
UNR—00%——
17
TYLER JOHNSTON IIIQB SERET
UNR—00%——
19
DAVID HENDRICKQB JURET
UNR—00%——
14
ZACH MILLARQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET88NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
26
KINGSTON DAVISRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
4
SPENCER BROWNRB SERET
★2—00%——
24
JAMES NOBLE IIIRB SERET
UNR—00%——
49
YUSUPHA FOSTERRB SERET
UNR—00%——
25
TREY WHITMORERB SORET
UNR—00%——
16
WERLEAN POLLOCKRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
24
LUCIOUS STANLEYRB SERET
UNR—00%——
1
JONATHAN HADENRB SERET
UNR—00%——
22
RASHAD MOSLEYRB JURET
UNR—00%——
34
DA'QUON GODFREYRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
81
ALEC MARSCHWR JURET
UNR—00%——
8
KENDALL PARHAMWR SERET
UNR—00%——
13
COLLIN LISAWR SERET
UNR—00%——
4
DONNIE LEETE SERET
UNR—00%——
44
LOGAN SCOTTTE SERET
UNR—00%——
7
XAVIER UBOSIWR SERET
UNR—00%——
3
ANDRE WILSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
18
KAILON CARTERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
84
JUSTIN WALKERWR SERET
★2—00%——
46
KEILAN KNIGHTTE SERET
UNR—00%——
10
HAYDEN PITTMANTE SERET
UNR—00%——
6
AUSTIN WATKINSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
20
GERRIT PRINCETE SERET
UNR—00%——
89
SKYLOR CLINTONTE JURET
UNR—00%——
88
LOGAN ARNOLDTE SONO SNAPS
★2—00%——
11
THAIR BLAKESTE SERET
UNR—00%——
10
SEDERIAN COPELANDWR SERET
UNR—00%——
15
DEMETRIUS DAVISWR JURET
★3—00%——
RAJAE' JOHNSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
5
MYRON MITCHELLWR SERET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
13
MARKUS GROSSMANWR SERET
UNR—00%——
80
ISAIAH GRIMTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
83
TEVIN SHARPEWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
81
TONY RANSOMTE —RET
UNR—00%——
37
WES MCCOLLUMWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
41
CHASE LONGWR —RET
UNR—00%——
80
CONNER HOWELLWR —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
18
TD MARSHALLWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS16 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CD DANIELSHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
JALEN RAYAMHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
STARLING THOMAS VHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
ALONDRAS STRONGHS RECRUITS★3UNR
MICHAEL FAIRBANKSHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
JAYLEN KEYHS RECRUITS★3UNR
DANYTON THOMASHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
DYLAN HOPKINSHS RECRUITDUAL★3UNR
JOMOND FOSTERHS RECRUITCB★2UNR
XAVIER LANIERHS RECRUITCB★2UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT18 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
GARRISON MITCHELLLAMARSUNRUNR
CARLOS STEPHENSSOUTHERNRBUNRUNR
NOAH JONESNOT LISTEDDLUNR—
JORDAN PETTYNOT LISTEDSUNR—
DARIUS WILLIAMSNOT LISTEDCBUNR—
NICK HOLMANNOT LISTEDTEUNR—
KYLE VARNELLNOT LISTEDLSUNR—
TEVIN CREWSNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
TEKO POWELLNOT LISTEDDLUNR—
SHAQ JONESNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#103NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 16 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8033COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
119TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
16
38
33
21
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED54 OF 119
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST94% BACK94th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG94% BACK94th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE