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● LIVE|2019 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›UAB›2019TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2019 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|BILL CLARK|—RECORD9-4|CONF—
UAB104 FPIAAC · 2019 SEASON
TALENT
32FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#740 BC / 20
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2019 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
9-4ACTUALvs7.5-5.5FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.5 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+2.8
9 wins against a scoring profile describing 7.5. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
27MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 29HALABAMA STATE—W 24-19————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 7AAKRON—W 31-201011+48BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21HSOUTH ALABAMA—W 35-32066+43BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28AWESTERN KENTUCKY—L 13-20415656-7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5HRICE—W 35-202377+42BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12AUTSA—W 33-143955+44BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19HOLD DOMINION—W 38-142033+46BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2ATENNESSEE—L 7-30897878-29BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9ASOUTHERN MISS—L 2-37363232+17BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16HUTEP—W 37-101722+47BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23HLOUISIANA TECH—W 20-14445353-4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30ANORTH TEXAS—W 26-21372929+20BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
15DEC 7AFLORIDA ATLANTIC—L 6-49465252-3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET37NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
DYLAN HOPKINSQB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
17
TYLER JOHNSTON IIIQB SERET
UNR—00%——
19
DAVID HENDRICKQB JURET
UNR—00%——
12
BRYSON LUCEROQB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
14
JORDAN SEYMOURQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET85NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
JONATHAN HADENRB SERET
UNR—00%——
4
SPENCER BROWNRB SERET
★2—00%——
34
DA'QUON GODFREYRB SORET
UNR—00%——
1
JERMAINE BROWN JR.RB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
22
RASHAD MOSLEYRB JURET
UNR—00%——
24
LUCIOUS STANLEYRB SERET
UNR—00%——
25
LARRY WOODENRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
16
WERLEAN POLLOCKRB FRRET
UNR—00%——
37
TYETUS SMITH-LINDSEYRB SONO SNAPS
★2—00%——
31
JOSH PRUITTRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
34
DAQUON GODFREYRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
23
KEVIN DAVISWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
89
SKYLOR CLINTONTE JURET
UNR—00%——
11
THAIR BLAKESTE SERET
UNR—00%——
8
KENDALL PARHAMWR SERET
UNR—00%——
5
MYRON MITCHELLWR SERET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
13
MARKUS GROSSMANWR SERET
UNR—00%——
10
HAYDEN PITTMANTE SERET
UNR—00%——
6
AUSTIN WATKINSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
20
GERRIT PRINCETE SERET
UNR—00%——
10
TERRELL MCDONALDTE SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
46
KEILAN KNIGHTTE SERET
UNR—00%——
88
LOGAN ARNOLDTE SORET
★2—00%——
81
ALEC MARSCHWR JURET
UNR—00%——
84
XAVIAR COLEMANWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
85
JARIUS THOMASTE FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
26
AUSTIN MCGHEEWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
RAJAE' JOHNSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
3
SAMARIO RUDOLPHWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
36
LUKE PERCERWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
43
ZACK STRANGEWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
80
ISAIAH GRIMTE SORET
UNR—00%——
82
TYLER PYEWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
9
RYAN DAVISWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
6
AUSTIN WATKINS JR.WR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
18
TD MARSHALLWR —RET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS20 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAYME SIMMONSHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
JAMMAL ABRAMSHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
WILL CONNERHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
JARIUS THOMASHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
RASHARD REVELSHS RECRUITS★3UNR
DAMIEN MILLERHS RECRUITS★3UNR
BRYSON LUCEROHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
ALEX WRIGHTHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
LARRY SMITHHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
KEVIN PENNHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT27 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MAR'SEAN DIGGSELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
D.A. WILLIAMSELIGIBILITY UPCBUNR—
A.J. ERDELYELIGIBILITY UPQBUNR—
STACY KEELYELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
KYLEN BINNELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
JAMES NOBLE IIIELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
JAMES DAVISELIGIBILITY UPOLUNR—
DUKE CULVERELIGIBILITY UPCBUNR—
COLLIN LISAELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
YUSUPHA FOSTERELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#74NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 20 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8021COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
63TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
14
23
8
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED15 OF 63
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST55% BACK55th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG55% BACK55th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR37%37th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE