SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2020 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›UAB›2020TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2020 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|BILL CLARK|—RECORD6-3|CONF—
UAB61 FPIAAC · 2020 SEASON
TALENT
29FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1030 BC / 12
BC RATIO
2%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2020 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
6-3ACTUALvs6.0-3.0FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.0 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+7.0
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.0. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE9 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
44MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3HCENTRAL ARKANSAS—W 45-35————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 10AMIAMI#22L 14-31898585-15BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24ASOUTH ALABAMA—W 42-10151515+55BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5OCT 3HUTSA—W 21-13401919+51BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 17HWESTERN KENTUCKY—W 37-14393636+34BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 23HLOUISIANA#15L 20-24267474-4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 31ALOUISIANA TECH—L 34-37422525+45BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
15DEC 12ARICE—W 21-16252121+49BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
16DEC 18AMARSHALL—W 22-13357878-8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET75NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
12
BRYSON LUCEROQB JURET
★3—00%——
17
TYLER JOHNSTON IIIQB SERET
UNR—00%——
10
DYLAN HOPKINSQB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
18
JALEN PARKERQB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
14
DRU DAWSONQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
12
HARRISON BARKERQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET87NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
SPENCER BROWNRB SERET
★2—00%——
1
JERMAINE BROWN JR.RB SERET
★2—00%——
24
LUCIOUS STANLEYRB SERET
UNR—00%——
25
LARRY WOODENRB JURET
UNR—00%——
37
TYETUS SMITH-LINDSEYRB SORET
★2—00%——
22
DEWAYNE MCBRIDERB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
16
WERLEAN POLLOCKRB FRRET
UNR—00%——
35
JUSTIN JONESRB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
MYRON MITCHELLWR SERET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
9
RYAN DAVISWR SERET
UNR—00%——
10
HAYDEN PITTMANTE SERET
UNR—00%——
6
AUSTIN WATKINSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
7
ROB JOHNSONWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
20
GERRIT PRINCETE SERET
UNR—00%——
10
TERRELL MCDONALDTE SERET
★2—00%——
RAJAE' JOHNSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
3
SAMARIO RUDOLPHWR SERET
★2—00%——
36
LUKE PERCERWR SORET
UNR—00%——
11
TREA SHROPSHIREWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
46
KEILAN KNIGHTTE SERET
UNR—00%——
23
KEVIN DAVISWR JURET
★3★300%—HELD
80
MALEAK BRYANTTE JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
84
XAVIAR COLEMANWR SORET
UNR—00%——
26
AUSTIN MCGHEEWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
81
A.J. DAVISWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
13
MARKUS GROSSMANWR SERET
UNR—00%——
43
ZACK STRANGEWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
86
EARL WELLSWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
3
RAJAE' JOHNSON-SANDERSWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
48
MICHAEL YORKTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
80
PERRY KEYESWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
83
KUNDARRIUS TAYLORWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
88
MALEAK BRYANTTE SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
89
BLAKE MCKENNATE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS12 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ALLEN MERRICKHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
TAMARIOUS BROWNHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
AJ DAVISHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
COLBY DEMPSEYHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
ZACH TAYLORHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
DEWAYNE MCBRIDEHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
ARMANI MADDOXHS RECRUITS★3UNR
TREY BEDOSKYHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
ANTONIO MASONHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
MAC MCWILLIAMSHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT16 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAUNTA'VIUS JOHNSONELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
GARRETT MARINOELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
ADRIENNE TALANELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
THAIR BLAKESELIGIBILITY UPTEUNR—
A.J. BROOKSELIGIBILITY UPCBUNR—
FITZGERALD MOFORELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
MICHAEL WRIGHTELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
KENDALL PARHAMELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
JONATHAN HADENELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
WILL DAWKINSELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#103NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 12 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8239COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
119TEAMS
MATCHED THIS
+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
16
38
33
21
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED54 OF 119
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST91% BACK91th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG91% BACK91th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR75%75th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE