SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2016 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›UCF›2016TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2016 FINAL
BIG 12|SCOTT FROST|—RECORD6-6|CONF—
UCF73 FPIB12 · 2016 SEASON
TALENT
49FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#650 BC / 17
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2016 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
6-6ACTUALvs7.5-4.5FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.5 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN+6.0
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 7.5. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
46MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3HSOUTH CAROLINA STATE—W 38-0————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 10AMICHIGAN#10L 14-51959696-56BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 17HMARYLAND—L 24-30754747-7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24AFLORIDA INTERNATIONAL—W 53-141922+38BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1AEAST CAROLINA—W 47-29402222+18BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15HTEMPLE—L 25-26487979-39BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22AUCONN—W 24-16361717+23BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 29AHOUSTON—L 24-31627070-30BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5HTULANE—W 37-6241010+30BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12HCINCINNATI—W 24-3573636+4BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19HTULSA—L 20-35336161-21BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26ASOUTH FLORIDA#19L 31-48606969-29BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
8
NICK PATTIQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
13
JUSTIN HOLMANQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
14
PETE DINOVOQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
10
MCKENZIE MILTONQB SENO SNAPS
★3★400%—ROSE
NOAH VEDRALQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
19
SEAN PRATTQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
DONTRAVIOUS WILSONRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
37
MICHAEL WILLETTRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
29
C.J. JONESRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
JAWON HAMILTONRB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
33
CEDRIC JORDAN-WILLIAMSRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
4
TAJ MCGOWANRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
9
ADRIAN KILLINS JR.RB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
25
CORDARRIAN RICHARDSONRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
9
ADRIAN KILLINSRB —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
15
JORDAN FRANKSWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
20
TAYLOR OLDHAMWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
87
CAL BLOOMTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
HAYDEN JONESWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
83
JAMARI FYEWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
6
TRISTAN PAYTONWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
11
CAM STEWARTWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
82
D'ERREN WILSONWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
3
JAQUARIUS BARGNAREWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
4
TRE'QUAN SMITHWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
88
JORDAN AKINSWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
MICHAEL COLUBIALETE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
85
TRISTAN REAVESWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
5
DREDRICK SNELSONWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
87
JACOB HARRISWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
15
JORDAN JOHNSONWR SONO SNAPS
★3★500%—ROSE
MANNIE LOGAN-GREENEWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
83
ELIJAH SPANNWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
84
JIMMIE ROBERTSWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
40
KYLE MACMEEKINTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
30
KYLE COLTRAINWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
28
TRACE RYANWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
39
JOSH MAISELWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
21
DONTAY MAYFIELDWR —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
45
CHRIS LARSENTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS17 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DREDRICK SNELSONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
AARON DOWDELLHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
JORDAN JOHNSONHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
ERIC MITCHELLHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
ADRIAN KILLINSHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
DONTAY MAYFIELDHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
DEDRION BACOTEHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
JAQUARIUS BARGNAREHS RECRUITAPB★3UNR
MCKENZIE MILTONHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
BRYON BROWNHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT0 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#65NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 17 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8316COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODEST—2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODEST—2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHT—2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST78% BACK78th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG78% BACK78th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE