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● LIVE|2017 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›UCF›2017TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2017 FINAL
BIG 12|SCOTT FROST|—RECORD12-0|CONF—
UCF#6 AP 15 FPIB12 · 2017 SEASON
TALENT
60FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#551 BC / 26
BC RATIO
3%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2017 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
12-0ACTUALvs10.0-2.0FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+2.0 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-0
AVG SCORING MARGIN+24.3
12 wins against a scoring profile describing 10.0. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
39MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HFLORIDA INTERNATIONAL—W 61-17202020+63BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23AMARYLAND—W 38-10803333+50BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30HMEMPHIS#25W 40-13486868+15BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7ACINCINNATI—W 51-23462525+58BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14HEAST CAROLINA—W 63-21451313+70BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21ANAVY—W 31-21324343+40BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28HAUSTIN PEAY—W 73-33————NON-FBS OPPONENT
10NOV 4ASMU—W 31-24453636+47BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11HUCONN—W 49-243966+77BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18ATEMPLE—W 45-19434444+39BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24HSOUTH FLORIDA#21W 49-42567575+8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14DEC 2HMEMPHIS#25W 62-55486868+15BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET76NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
19
SEAN PRATTQB —RET
UNR—00%——
10
MCKENZIE MILTONQB SERET
★3★400%—ROSE
NOAH VEDRALQB SERET
UNR—00%——
14
HAYDEN KINGSTONQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET64NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
30
GREG MCCRAERB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
JAWON HAMILTONRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
33
CEDRIC JORDAN-WILLIAMSRB —RET
UNR—00%——
4
TAJ MCGOWANRB SERET
UNR—00%——
25
CORDARRIAN RICHARDSONRB SORET
UNR—00%——
9
ADRIAN KILLINS JR.RB SERET
UNR—00%——
2
OTIS ANDERSONRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
13
GABRIEL DAVISWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
6
MARLON WILLIAMSWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
80
CASE HARRISONWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
15
JORDAN FRANKSWR —RET
UNR—00%——
6
TRISTAN PAYTONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
11
CAM STEWARTWR SERET
UNR—00%——
4
TRE'QUAN SMITHWR —RET
UNR—00%——
88
JORDAN AKINSWR —RET
UNR—00%——
45
CHRIS LARSENTE —RET
UNR—00%——
MANNIE LOGAN-GREENEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
7
EMMANUEL LOGAN-GREENEWR —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
86
MICHAEL COLUBIALETE SERET
UNR—00%——
5
DREDRICK SNELSONWR JURET
★3—00%——
81
ALEX HARRISWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
85
TRISTAN REAVESWR SERET
UNR—00%——
87
JACOB HARRISWR SERET
UNR—00%——
3
JAQUARIUS BARGNAREWR SORET
★3—00%——
15
JORDAN JOHNSONWR SORET
★3★500%—ROSE
13
ANTHONY ROBERSONTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
31
KYLE BENKELWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
83
ELIJAH SPANNWR SERET
UNR—00%——
88
JAKE HESCOCKTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
80
SAAN LEWISWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
28
TRACE RYANWR —RET
UNR—00%——
39
JOSH MAISELWR —RET
UNR—00%——
38
ZACH LEHMANWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
84
TREY ANDERSONWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
21
DONTAY MAYFIELDWR —RET
★3—00%——
82
KENYON JOHNSONWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CORDARRIAN RICHARDSONHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
EMMANUEL LOGAN-GREENEHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
BENTAVIOUS THOMPSONHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
MARLON WILLIAMSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
STERLING JONESHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
JEREMIAH ZIOHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
DARRIEL MACKHS RECRUITDUAL★3UNR
OTIS ANDERSONHS RECRUITAPB★3UNR
ZAMARI MAXWELLHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
ANTWAN COLLIERHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT28 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
SHAQUILL GRIFFINNFL DRAFT R3DBUNR—
T.J. MUTCHERSONNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
MARK RUCKERNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
TAYLOR OLDHAMNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
MAURICE RUSSELLNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
DRICO JOHNSONNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
CAL BLOOMNOT LISTEDTEUNR—
NICK PATTINOT LISTEDQBUNR—
HAYDEN JONESNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
DEMEITRE BRIMNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#55NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
1OF 26 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8277COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
134TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
13
19
35
37
30
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-9 TO +6 W
IMPROVED67 OF 134
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST68% BACK68th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG68% BACK68th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR76%76th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE