SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2018 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›UCF›2018TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
BIG 12|JOSH HEUPEL|—RECORD12-0|CONF—
UCF#11 AP 25 FPIB12 · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
61FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#620 BC / 22
BC RATIO
4%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
12-0ACTUALvs10.2-1.8FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.8 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-0
AVG SCORING MARGIN+22.9
12 wins against a scoring profile describing 10.2. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
42MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 30AUCONN—W 56-172911+86BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 8HSOUTH CAROLINA STATE—W 38-0————NON-FBS OPPONENT
4SEP 21HFLORIDA ATLANTIC—W 56-36523838+49BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 29HPITTSBURGH—W 45-14735353+34BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 6HSMU—W 48-20472929+58BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 13AMEMPHIS—W 31-30477373+14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 20AEAST CAROLINA—W 37-10391616+71BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 1HTEMPLE—W 52-40455454+33BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10HNAVY—W 35-24172222+65BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17HCINCINNATI#24W 38-13546262+25BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23ASOUTH FLORIDA—W 38-10553636+51BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14DEC 1HMEMPHIS—W 56-41477373+14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET93NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
12
QUADRY JONESQB JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
8
D.J. MACK JR.QB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
10
MCKENZIE MILTONQB SERET
★3★400%—ROSE
14
HAYDEN KINGSTONQB JURET
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET82NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
30
GREG MCCRAERB SERET
★3—00%——
21
BENTAVIOUS THOMPSONRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
4
TAJ MCGOWANRB SERET
UNR—00%——
9
ADRIAN KILLINS JR.RB SERET
UNR—00%——
2
OTIS ANDERSONRB SERET
★3—00%——
33
JARRION FINLEYRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
13
GABRIEL DAVISWR JURET
★3—00%——
6
MARLON WILLIAMSWR SERET
★3—00%——
6
TRISTAN PAYTONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
88
JAKE HESCOCKTE SERET
★3—00%——
80
SAAN LEWISWR SERET
UNR—00%——
86
MICHAEL COLUBIALETE SERET
UNR—00%——
5
DREDRICK SNELSONWR JURET
★3—00%——
83
ELIJAH SPANNWR SERET
UNR—00%——
87
JACOB HARRISWR SERET
UNR—00%——
16
TRE NIXONWR SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
85
TRISTAN REAVESWR SERET
UNR—00%——
11
CAM STEWARTWR SERET
UNR—00%——
3
JAQUARIUS BARGNAREWR SORET
★3—00%——
15
JORDAN JOHNSONWR SORET
★3★500%—ROSE
13
ANTHONY ROBERSONTE SERET
★3—00%——
81
ALEX HARRISWR SERET
UNR—00%——
31
KYLE BENKELWR JURET
UNR—00%——
42
TYLER WILLIAMSTE SONO SNAPS
★2—00%——
86
JONATHON MACCOLLISTERTE SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
20
JASON COLUBIALEWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
21
DONTAY MAYFIELDWR —RET
★3—00%——
46
NYKIE MARIONWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
82
KENYON JOHNSONWR —RET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS22 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KE'VON AHMADHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
ERIQ GILYARDHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
RANDY CHARLTONHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
JERMAINE MCMILLIANHS RECRUITS★3UNR
LANDON WOODSONHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
DEMETREIUS MAYESHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
DEREK GAINOUSHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
LAMARIUS BENSONHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
DAVONCHAE BRYANTHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
ISSAC WALKERHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT25 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAWON HAMILTONJAMES MADISONRB★3★3
TRE NEALNEBRASKADBUNRUNR
NOAH VEDRALNEBRASKAQBUNRUNR
SHAQUEM GRIFFINNFL DRAFT R5LBUNR—
TRE'QUAN SMITHNFL DRAFT R3WRUNR—
JORDAN AKINSNFL DRAFT R3WRUNR—
MIKE HUGHESNFL DRAFT R1DBUNR—
MANNIE LOGAN-GREENEELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
CHEQUAN BURKETTNOT LISTEDILBUNR—
SEYVON LOWRYNOT LISTEDDLUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#62NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 22 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8342COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
134TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
13
19
35
37
30
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-9 TO +6 W
IMPROVED67 OF 134
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST79% BACK79th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG79% BACK79th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR93%93th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE