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● LIVE|2020 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›UCF›2020TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2020 FINAL
BIG 12|JOSH HEUPEL|—RECORD6-3|CONF—
UCF22 FPIB12 · 2020 SEASON
TALENT
56FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#710 BC / 18
BC RATIO
5%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2020 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
6-3ACTUALvs6.2-2.8FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN+12.9
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.2. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE9 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
49MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
3SEP 19AGEORGIA TECH—W 49-21794242+45BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 26AEAST CAROLINA—W 51-28491616+71BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5OCT 3HTULSA—L 26-34436666+21BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 17AMEMPHIS—L 49-50546767+20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 24HTULANE—W 51-34476262+25BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 31AHOUSTON—W 44-21626161+26BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 14HTEMPLE—W 38-13441818+69BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 21HCINCINNATI#8L 33-36589494-7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 27ASOUTH FLORIDA—W 58-46491414+73BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET88NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
12
QUADRY JONESQB JURET
★2—00%——
8
DILLON GABRIELQB SERET
★3★400%—ROSE
10
MCKENZIE MILTONQB SERET
★3★400%—ROSE
8
D.J. MACK JR.QB SERET
UNR—00%——
13
PARKER NAVARROQB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
3
GASTON MOOREQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET71NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
0
JOHNNY RICHARDSONRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
30
GREG MCCRAERB SERET
★3—00%——
21
BENTAVIOUS THOMPSONRB SERET
★3—00%——
15
DAMARIUS GOODRB JURET
★3—00%——
7
RJ HARVEYRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
2
OTIS ANDERSONRB SERET
★3—00%——
33
TRILION COLESRB SERET
★3—00%——
33
TRILLION COLESRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
MARLON WILLIAMSWR SERET
★3—00%——
8
JA'CYAIS CREDLEWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
88
JAKE HESCOCKTE SERET
★3—00%——
17
AMARI JOHNSONWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
13
JAYLON ROBINSONWR SERET
★4★300%—FELL
4
RYAN O'KEEFEWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
87
JACOB HARRISWR SERET
UNR—00%——
16
TRE NIXONWR SERET
★4—00%——
81
ALEX HARRISWR SERET
UNR—00%——
6
MARLON WILLIAMSWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
20
JASON COLUBIALEWR JURET
UNR—00%——
84
KE'VON AHMADWR JURET
★3—00%——
82
ALEC HOLLERTE SERET
UNR—00%——
19
JARRAD BAKERWR SERET
★3—00%——
19
JUSTIN MENARDWR SORET
★3—00%——
16
STEPHEN MARTINWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
80
KEVIN BYRDWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
29
CADE SAMSWR SORET
UNR—00%——
46
DARIUS MELTONWR SORET
UNR—00%——
49
MAX HOLLERTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
83
GARRETT FRENCHTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
85
ZACH MARSH WOJANTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
JORDAN DAVISTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
85
TONY FORREST JR.TE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
48
KEITH WOULARDWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS18 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JA'CYAIS CREDLEHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
PAUL RUBELTHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
CORNELIUS FORREST JR.HS RECRUITTE★3UNR
KENDRICK WILSONHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
JOHNNY RICHARDSONHS RECRUITAPB★3UNR
PARKER NAVARROHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
QUADE MOSIERHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
MIKE LOFTONHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
JOSH CELISCARHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
KERVINS CHOUTEHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT18 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAMES TARVERCAMPBELLDB★3UNR
GABRIEL DAVISNFL DRAFT R4WR★3—
JORDAN HAYESELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
NATE EVANSELIGIBILITY UPLB★3—
BRANDON WIMBUSHELIGIBILITY UPQBUNR—
SHAWN BURGESS-BECKERELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
NEVELLE CLARKEELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
BRENDON HAYESELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
ADRIAN KILLINS JR.ELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
MALIK BARROWELIGIBILITY UPDL★4—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#71NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 18 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8417COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
134TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
13
19
35
37
30
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-9 TO +6 W
IMPROVED67 OF 134
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST82% BACK82th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG82% BACK82th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR88%88th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
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