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HOME›TEAMS›UCLA›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
BIG TEN|CHIP KELLY|—RECORD9-4|CONF—
UCLA#21 AP 27 FPIB1G · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
80FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
14%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#616 BC / 13
BC RATIO
29%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
9-3ACTUALvs8.3-3.7FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.7 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+11.3
9 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.3. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE84
PERFORMANCE84
TALENT65
CONTINUITY14
DEFENSE43
PERFORMANCE43
TALENT70
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
56MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
5 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3HBOWLING GREEN—W 45-172377+78BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 10HALABAMA STATE—W 45-7————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 17HSOUTH ALABAMA—W 32-31377575+10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24ACOLORADO—W 45-175655+80BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30HWASHINGTON#8W 40-32858787-2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 8HUTAH#10W 42-32779393-8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22AOREGON#15L 30-45969292-7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 29HSTANFORD—W 38-13852929+56BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5AARIZONA STATE—W 50-36723838+47BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12HARIZONA—L 28-34664141+44BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19HUSC#12L 45-48939292-7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25ACALIFORNIA—W 35-28664242+43BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 30HPITTSBURGH#22L 35-37687070+15BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB75TAL97PERF75RET100ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 9 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
DORIAN THOMPSON-ROBINSONQB SERET
★4—9191%+18—
4
ETHAN GARBERSQB SERET
★4★3439%+21FELL
11
CHASE GRIFFINQB SERET
★3—00%+21—
15
SEAN HOLLANDQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
3
CHASE ARTOPOEUSQB JURET
★2—00%——
6
JUSTYN MARTINQB JUNO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
▾RB70TAL70PERF70RET88ONE OWNERn=4 · 9 METRICS · 21 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
24
ZACH CHARBONNETRB SERET
★4★49756%+22HELD
22
KEEGAN JONESRB SERET
★2★37723%+35ROSE
27
T.J. HARDENRB SENO SNAPS
★3—579%+39—
7
COLSON YANKOFFRB SERET
★4—559%+27—
32
CHRISTIAN GRUBBRB JURET
★3★3221%—HELD
31
DESHUN MURRELLRB JURET
★3★4171%—ROSE
26
BRIAN KOWALLRB JURET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE45TAL60PERF46RET54ONE OWNERn=9 · 8 METRICS · 55 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
JAKE BOBOWR SENO SNAPS
★3—9728%+18—
86
MICHAEL EZEIKETE SERET
UNR—8847%+21—
4
KAM BROWNWR SERET
★4★38420%-2FELL
81
HUDSON HABERMEHLTE SERET
UNR—8339%-14—
19
KAZMEIR ALLENWR JURET
★3—8017%-2—
2
TITUS MOKIAO-ATIMALALAWR SENO SNAPS
★4—7213%-7—
17
LOGAN LOYAWR SERET
★4★37112%+23FELL
14
JOSIAH NORWOODWR SERET
★2—555%+6—
8
MATT SYKESWR SERET
★3★3524%-8HELD
20
CARSEN RYANTE SENO SNAPS
★4★3479%—FELL
83
DAVID PRIEBETE JURET
★3—405%——
27
ASHTON AUTHEMENTWR JURET
UNR—261%——
10
RYAN CRAGUNWR SENO SNAPS
★2—170%——
89
MICHAEL CHURICHTE SERET
★2—131%——
7
BRADEN PEGANWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★4100%—ROSE
11
BRADLEY SCHLOMWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
28
JACK PEDERSENTE JUNO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
82
SAM SUMMATE JURET
UNR—00%——
4
EZAVIER STAPLESWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
35
DEVANTI DILLARDWR SERET
UNR—00%——
87
GRANT NORBERGTE SERET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
37
ELIJAH RODRIGUEZWR FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
▸OL59TAL61PERF59RET20n=5 · 3 METRICS · 15 OBS
▸DL51TAL66PERF51RET27n=9 · 8 METRICS · 52 OBS
▸LB25TAL81PERF25RET47n=7 · 11 METRICS · 43 OBS
▸DB55TAL67PERF55RET72n=9 · 8 METRICS · 50 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS13 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KAMARI RAMSEYHS RECRUITS★4UNR
JACK PEDERSENHS RECRUITTE★4UNR
JADYN MARSHALLHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
JUSTYN MARTINHS RECRUITQB★4UNR
CARSEN RYANHS RECRUITTE★4UNR
CLINT STEPHENSHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
JALEN WOODSHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
SAM YOONHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
BRADEN PEGANHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
TJ HARDENHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT23 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MYLES JACKSONINDIANALB★3★3
JAY SHAWWISCONSINCB★4UNR
ODUA ISIBORCALIFORNIALB★3UNR
CHASE COTAOREGONWR★4UNR
ELISHA GUIDRYSAN JOSÉ STATEDB★3UNR
CALEB JOHNSONMIAMILB★3UNR
MITCHELL AGUDEMIAMIDL★3UNR
DJ WARNELLARIZONADB★3UNR
TIAOALII SAVEAARIZONADL★4★3
LUKE AKERSELIGIBILITY UPP★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#61NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
6OF 13 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8851COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST75% BACK75th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG75% BACK75th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR20%20th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST72%72th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE