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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2025 FINAL
BIG TEN|DESHAUN FOSTER|—RECORD3-9|CONF—
UCLA75 FPIB1G · 2025 SEASON
TALENT
82FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
53%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
33%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-5IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#462 BC / 22
BC RATIO
31%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2025 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
3-9ACTUALvs2.3-9.7FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.7 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN-15.3
3 wins against a scoring profile describing 2.3. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE55
PERFORMANCE55
TALENT75
CONTINUITY53
DEFENSE43
PERFORMANCE43
TALENT64
CONTINUITY33
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
74MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 30HUTAH#14L 10-43699595-67BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 6AUNLV—L 23-30645959-31BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 12HNEW MEXICO—L 10-3554747-19BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 27ANORTHWESTERN—L 14-17596363-35BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 4HPENN STATE—W 42-37939090-62BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 11AMICHIGAN STATE—W 38-13734040-12BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 18HMARYLAND—W 20-17634545-17BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 25AINDIANA#1L 6-5648100100-72BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 8HNEBRASKA—L 21-28866666-38BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 15AOHIO STATE#5L 10-48999999-71BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 22HWASHINGTON—L 14-48749191-63BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 29AUSC#20L 10-29888989-61BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB70TAL98PERF70RET0ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 9 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
NICO IAMALEAVAQB JUPORTAL · TENNESSEE
★5★58992%+5HELD
12
LUKE DUNCANQB JURET
★3★3478%+1HELD
15
PIERCE CLARKSONQB SOPORTAL · OLE MISS
★4★300%—FELL
19
KARSON GORDONQB FRRET
★3★300%—HELD
10
MADDEN IAMALEAVAQB FRPORTAL · ARKANSAS
★4★300%—FELL
18
HENRY HASSELBECKQB JURET
★3★300%—HELD
17
COLTON GUMINOQB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
▾RB54TAL66PERF54RET44ROTATIONn=4 · 5 METRICS · 18 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
ANTHONY WOODSRB SEPORTAL · UTAH
★3★37929%+25HELD
0
JALEN BERGERRB SERET
★4★37727%-23FELL
21
JAIVIAN THOMASRB SEPORTAL · CALIFORNIA
★3★37626%+4HELD
22
ANTHONY FRIAS IIRB SERET
UNR—6617%0—
32
TROY LEIGBERRB JURET
★3—131%——
33
KARSON COXRB FRTRUE FR
★4—60%——
21
ISAIAH CARLSONRB JURET
★3★300%—HELD
▾WR/TE34TAL75PERF36RET60ONE OWNERn=6 · 8 METRICS · 43 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
11
KWAZI GILMERWR JURET
★4★39833%-22FELL
81
HUDSON HABERMEHLTE SERET
UNR—9056%-23—
2
TITUS MOKIAO-ATIMALALAWR SERET
★4—8723%-4—
7
MIKEY MATTHEWSWR SEPORTAL · CALIFORNIA
★4★38623%-26FELL
11
RICO FLORES JR.WR SERET
★4★37817%-3FELL
28
JACK PEDERSENTE SERET
★4★37634%-28FELL
82
NOAH FOX-FLORESTE SONO SNAPS
★3—498%——
4
EZAVIER STAPLESWR SERET
★3★3321%—HELD
23
KYLE MILLERWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—271%——
11
JAEDON WILSONWR SEPORTAL · ARKANSAS
★3★3241%-6HELD
44
PETER BARIOTE JURET
UNR—171%——
17
JAKE RENDATE SEPORTAL · PITTSBURGH
★3★3121%—HELD
86
JALEN SAINT PAULWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—110%——
15
CARTER SHAWWR JURET
★3★360%-45HELD
89
JACE BROWNWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
20
SHANE ROSENTHALWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
87
DYLAN SIMSTE FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
83
RUSSELL WEIRWR SORET
UNR—00%——
37
JACKSON MEEHANWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL49TAL71PERF49RET54n=6 · 3 METRICS · 18 OBS
▸DL26TAL60PERF26RET55n=8 · 7 METRICS · 37 OBS
▸LB31TAL76PERF31RET55n=7 · 11 METRICS · 47 OBS
▸DB60TAL61PERF60RET6n=8 · 8 METRICS · 43 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS15 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KARSON COXHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
JADYN HUDSONHS RECRUITS★4UNR
ROBERT MCDANIELHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
LARUE ZAMORANO IIIHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
GARRISON BLANKHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
COLE COGSHELLHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
SCOTT TAYLORHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
JACE BROWNHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
KURON JABARI JR.HS RECRUITCB★3UNR
NOAH FOX-FLORESHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN10 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
NICO IAMALEAVATENNESSEEQB★5★5
EUGENE BROOKSOKLAHOMAIOL★4★3
JAIVIAN THOMASCALIFORNIARB★3★3
NICO DAVILLIERARKANSASEDGE★3★3
ANDRE JORDAN JR.OREGON STATECB★3★3
BENJAMIN PERRYLOUISVILLESUNR★3
KAEDIN ROBINSONAPP STATEWRUNR★3
MADDEN IAMALEAVAARKANSASQB★4★3
RODRICK PLEASANTOREGONCB★4★3
MIKEY MATTHEWSCALIFORNIAWR★4★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT37 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAYLIN DAVIESOKLAHOMA STATECB★4★3
NIKI PRONGOSSTANFORDOLUNR★3
J. MICHAEL STURDIVANTFLORIDAWR★4UNR
T.J. HARDENSMURB★3UNR
LOGAN LOYAMINNESOTAWR★4★3
ALANI MAKIHELEUNLVOL★3★3
JUSTYN MARTINMARYLANDQB★4★3
TAVAKE TUIKOLOVATUKANSASOL★3★3
LEO KEMPBOWLING GREENFBUNRUNR
SITIVENI HAVILI KAUFUSIOKLAHOMA STATEDT★3UNR
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES80%5 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS63%6 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#46NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
2OF 22 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8671COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
3035 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
68TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
14
11
19
16
8
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.3 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-11 TO +7 W
IMPROVED24 OF 68
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST21% BACK21th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG21% BACK21th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR54%54th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST6%6th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE