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SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2020 FINAL
MOUNTAIN WEST|MARCUS ARROYO|—RECORD0-6|CONF—
UNLV121 FPIMWC · 2020 SEASON
TALENT
38FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#770 BC / 25
BC RATIO
1%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2020 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
0-6ACTUALvs0.8-5.2FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.8 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-0
AVG SCORING MARGIN-20.7
0 wins against a scoring profile describing 0.8. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE6 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
43MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
8OCT 24ASAN DIEGO STATE—L 6-34406565-61BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 31HNEVADA—L 19-37335757-53BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 7HFRESNO STATE—L 27-40373030-26BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 14ASAN JOSÉ STATE#24L 17-34324747-43BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 27HWYOMING—L 14-45243737-33BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
15DEC 12AHAWAI'I—L 21-38312424-20BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET80NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
JUSTIN ROGERSQB SONO SNAPS
★4—00%——
6
MAX GILLIAMQB SERET
★3—00%——
12
KENYON OBLADQB JURET
★3★300%—HELD
2
DOUG BRUMFIELDQB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
18
ARMANI ROGERSQB SERET
★3—00%——
15
MARCKELL GRAYSONQB JURET
★3★300%—HELD
14
TRAVIS MUMPHREY JR.QB FRRET
★3—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET90NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
36
CHAD MAGYARRB SERET
★3—00%——
8
CHARLES WILLIAMSRB SERET
★3—00%——
26
COURTNEY REESERB SERET
★2★200%—HELD
2
DYLAN DOWNINGRB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
29
BIAGGIO ALI WALSHRB SORET
★3—00%——
13
TARIQ HOLLANDSWORTHRB SORET
UNR—00%——
33
TYREE JACKSONRB JURET
★3—00%——
20
AVERY MIGUELRB SORET
UNR—00%——
34
DARRAN WILLIAMSRB JURET
UNR—00%——
21
SPENCER BRIGGSRB SONO SNAPS
★2★200%—HELD
23
JOSH TIHADARB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
4
COLIN GIFFENFB JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
16
KALVIN SOUDERSWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
2
KYLE WILLIAMSWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
88
SHELTON ZEON IIITE SERET
UNR—00%——
6
STEVE JENKINSWR JURET
★3—00%——
45
GIOVANNI FAUOLO SR.TE SERET
UNR—00%——
39
DANIEL GODFREYTE SERET
UNR—00%——
16
TYLEEK COLLINSWR JURET
★3★300%—HELD
15
NOAH BEANTE SERET
★3—00%——
13
MARCUS PHILLIPS JR.WR SERET
UNR—00%——
82
JACOB GASSERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
6
ZYELL GRIFFINWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
81
KUE OLOTOATE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
80
BRANDON PRESLEYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
10
DARREN WOODS JR.WR SERET
UNR—00%——
2
MEKHI STEVENSONWR JURET
★3★300%—HELD
81
ANDRE COLLINS JR.WR JURET
UNR—00%——
4
RANDAL GRIMESWR SORET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
18
JEREMY CLARKWR JURET
★2★200%—HELD
41
JAMAAL NEALTE SORET
★2★200%—HELD
85
PATRICK BALLARDWR JURET
★3—00%——
83
MALIK WESLEYWR FRRET
★2—00%——
88
ALEX LINESTE SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
19
KALEO BALLUNGAYTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
87
ADAM MEYERTE SORET
★3—00%——
89
TYLER YODERTE SORET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BRENNON SCOTTHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
LESHAUN BELLHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
ALVEN JOHNSONHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
ALEX LINESHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
DOUG BRUMFIELDHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
KYLE WILLIAMSHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
JALEN DIXONHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
KALEO BALLUNGAYHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
DYLAN DOWNINGHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
MARCUS MILLERHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT1 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAVIN WHITEELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#77NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 25 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8192COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
119TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
16
38
33
21
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED54 OF 119
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST100% BACK100th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG100% BACK100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR80%80th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
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