SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2021 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›UNLV›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
MOUNTAIN WEST|MARCUS ARROYO|—RECORD2-10|CONF—
UNLV112 FPIMWC · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
22FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-8IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#680 BC / 19
BC RATIO
6%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
2-10ACTUALvs3.0-9.0FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.0 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-6
AVG SCORING MARGIN-12.1
2 wins against a scoring profile describing 3.0. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
53MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2HEASTERN WASHINGTON—L 33-35————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 11AARIZONA STATE—L 10-37828181-69BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 18HIOWA STATE—L 3-48618686-74BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24AFRESNO STATE—L 30-38417676-64BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 2AUTSA—L 17-24445656-44BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 16HUTAH STATE#24L 24-28233939-27BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21HSAN JOSÉ STATE—L 20-27263535-23BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 29ANEVADA—L 20-51294949-37BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 6ANEW MEXICO—W 31-171988+4BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 13HHAWAI'I—W 27-13243434-22BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19HSAN DIEGO STATE#25L 20-28316262-50BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26AAIR FORCE—L 14-4815959-47BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET22NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
CAMERON FRIELQB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
5
JUSTIN ROGERSQB SORET
★4—00%——
2
DOUG BRUMFIELDQB JURET
★3—00%——
18
TATE MARTELLQB JUPORTAL · MIAMI
★4★400%—HELD
15
MATTHEW GEETINGQB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
14
JARED HAYWOODQB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET98NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
36
CHAD MAGYARRB SERET
★3—00%——
20
JAYVAUN WILSONRB JUPORTAL · OREGON
★4★400%—HELD
8
CHARLES WILLIAMSRB SERET
★3—00%——
26
COURTNEY REESERB SERET
★2★200%—HELD
20
AVERY MIGUELRB SORET
UNR—00%——
21
SPENCER BRIGGSRB SORET
★2★200%—HELD
23
JOSH TIHADARB SERET
UNR—00%——
24
SAMMY GREENRB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
80
BRYE LIGHONTE FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
2
KYLE WILLIAMSWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
88
SHELTON ZEON IIITE SERET
UNR—00%——
6
STEVE JENKINSWR JURET
★3—00%——
45
GIOVANNI FAUOLO SR.TE SERET
UNR—00%——
39
DANIEL GODFREYTE SERET
UNR—00%——
16
TYLEEK COLLINSWR JURET
★3★300%—HELD
13
MARCUS PHILLIPS JR.WR SERET
UNR—00%——
19
KALEO BALLUNGAYTE SERET
★3—00%——
6
ZYELL GRIFFINWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
18
SHAUN GRAYSONTE SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
81
KUE OLOTOATE SERET
UNR—00%——
86
JORDAN JAKESWR SEPORTAL · INDIANA
★3★300%—HELD
15
NOAH BEANTE SERET
★3—00%——
85
PATRICK BALLARDWR JURET
★3—00%——
83
MALIK WESLEYWR FRRET
★2—00%——
16
KALVIN SOUDERSWR SORET
★3—00%——
87
ADAM MEYERTE SORET
★3—00%——
81
DEAMIKKIO NATHANWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
82
AARON HOLLOWAYWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
41
JAYLEN EICHLERTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
MALIK BRADFORDWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
93
SEBASTIAN MCQUIGGTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS19 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
NICK DIMITRISHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
ANTHONY ROSASHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
DEAMIKKIO NATHANHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
KAMREN BLANTONHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
BRYE LIGHONHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
SAMUEL GREENHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
KEVON IVYHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
CAMERON FRIELHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
JAYLEN LANEHS RECRUITS★3UNR
ANTON AMBUEHLHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN6 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CONNOR MURPHYUSCDL★4★4
TATE MARTELLMIAMIQB★4★4
JAYVAUN WILSONOREGONRB★4★3
JORDAN JAKESINDIANAWR★3★3
KYLAN WILBORNARIZONAEDGE★3★3
DAVIYON MCDANIELCHARLESTON SOUTHERNIOLUNRUNR
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT8 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DYLAN DOWNINGPURDUERB★3★3
TANNER BROWNELIGIBILITY UPPKUNR—
MAX GILLIAMELIGIBILITY UPQB★3—
NATE NEALELIGIBILITY UPDL★2—
JACOB GASSERELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
JALEN GRAVESNOT LISTEDDL★2—
KENYON OBLADNOT LISTEDQB★3—
SIR OLIVER EVERETTNOT LISTEDDB★2—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#68NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 19 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8381COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
614 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKNEW
26TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
0
5
9
7
5
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-3 TO +9 W
IMPROVED12 OF 26
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST58% BACK58th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG58% BACK58th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR22%22th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE