SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2022 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›UNLV›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
MOUNTAIN WEST|MARCUS ARROYO|—RECORD5-7|CONF—
UNLV106 FPIMWC · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
15FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
8%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1020 BC / 6
BC RATIO
3%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
5-7ACTUALvs5.4-6.6FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.4 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-4
AVG SCORING MARGIN-2.2
5 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.4. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE37
PERFORMANCE37
TALENT55
CONTINUITY8
DEFENSE16
PERFORMANCE16
TALENT38
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
33MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 27HIDAHO STATE—W 52-21————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 10ACALIFORNIA—L 14-20664242-20BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 17HNORTH TEXAS—W 58-27454444-22BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24AUTAH STATE—W 34-24171717+5BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30HNEW MEXICO—W 31-201211+21BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7ASAN JOSÉ STATE—L 7-40253737-15BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15HAIR FORCE—L 7-4205656-34BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22ANOTRE DAME#18L 21-44937373-51BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5ASAN DIEGO STATE—L 10-14183636-14BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11HFRESNO STATE#24L 30-37445555-33BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19AHAWAI'I—L 25-312622+20BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26HNEVADA—W 27-222444+18BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB65TAL42PERF65RET84ONE OWNERn=3 · 8 METRICS · 12 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
DOUG BRUMFIELDQB JURET
★3—7971%+5—
15
HARRISON BAILEYQB SENO SNAPS
★4★35216%+1FELL
7
CAMERON FRIELQB SERET
★3—4813%+15—
15
MATTHEW GEETINGQB FRRET
★3—00%——
14
JAYDEN MAIAVAQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★400%—ROSE
▾RB26TAL78PERF26RET20ONE OWNERn=2 · 9 METRICS · 14 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
AIDAN ROBBINSRB JUNO SNAPS
★3★49973%+16ROSE
26
COURTNEY REESERB SERET
★2★26719%+22HELD
29
JORDAN YOUNGE-HUMPHREYRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—477%+33—
49
ANDREW WIMMERRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—50%——
36
CHAD MAGYARRB SERET
★3—50%-1—
21
SPENCER BRIGGSRB SORET
★2★250%—HELD
20
JAYVAUN WILSONRB JURET
★4★400%—HELD
24
SAMMY GREENRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE34TAL56PERF40RET48ONE OWNERn=7 · 8 METRICS · 45 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
11
RICKY WHITE IIIWR SENO SNAPS
★3—9731%-3—
88
SHELTON ZEON IIITE SERET
UNR—9071%-30—
2
KYLE WILLIAMSWR SERET
★3★38623%+14HELD
10
NICK WILLIAMSWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—7819%+11—
16
JEFF WEIMERWR SENO SNAPS
UNR★37315%-8EMERGED
0
SENIKA MCKIEWR SENO SNAPS
UNR★3639%+8EMERGED
19
KALEO BALLUNGAYTE SERET
★3—6024%-45—
16
KALVIN SOUDERSWR SORET
★3—362%——
6
ZYELL GRIFFINWR SERET
★3★3352%+37HELD
81
KUE OLOTOATE SERET
UNR—294%——
18
SHAUN GRAYSONTE SERET
★3★3101%—HELD
80
BRYE LIGHONTE FRRET
★3★300%—HELD
86
JORDAN JAKESWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
81
DEAMIKKIO NATHANWR SERET
★3—00%——
89
MALIK BRADFORDWR JURET
★3★300%—HELD
93
SEBASTIAN MCQUIGGTE FRRET
UNR—00%——
30
JORDAN RILESWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL35TAL51PERF35RET20n=6 · 3 METRICS · 17 OBS
▸DL33TAL39PERF33RET76n=11 · 8 METRICS · 55 OBS
▸LB35TAL14PERF35RET55n=3 · 10 METRICS · 26 OBS
▸DB36TAL49PERF36RET73n=8 · 8 METRICS · 43 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS6 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAYDEN MAIAVAHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
TANNER SALISBURYHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
ANTHONY COSTANZOHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
NOAH MCKINNEYHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
LUCAS LENHOFFHS RECRUITQB★2UNR
FISHER CAMACHS RECRUITLB★2UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT26 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JACOBY WINDMONMICHIGAN STATELB★3★3
BRYCE JACKSONNEW MEXICO STATEDB★2UNR
ANTHONY SAGAPOLUTELEHAWAI'IDLUNRUNR
KYLAN WILBORNELIGIBILITY UPLB★3—
GIOVANNI FAUOLO SR.ELIGIBILITY UPTEUNR—
DANIEL GODFREYELIGIBILITY UPTEUNR—
CONNOR MURPHYELIGIBILITY UPDL★4—
CHARLES WILLIAMSELIGIBILITY UPRB★3—
TRE CAINEELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
KOLO UASIKEELIGIBILITY UPDL★2—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#102NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 6 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8296COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKRETURNS
27TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
2
6
10
5
4
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-4 TO +8 W
IMPROVED9 OF 27
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST50% BACK50th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG50% BACK50th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR20%20th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR84%84th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST73%73th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
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