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● LIVE|2017 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›USC›2017TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2017 FINAL
BIG TEN|CLAY HELTON|—RECORD11-2|CONF—
USC#12 AP 16 FPIB1G · 2017 SEASON
TALENT
98FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#414 BC / 24
BC RATIO
58%CLEARS
IS THE RECORD REAL2017 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
11-2ACTUALvs8.5-4.5FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+2.5 W
ONE SCORE RECORD4-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+8.2
11 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.5. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
61MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2HWESTERN MICHIGAN—W 49-31383939+48BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9HSTANFORD#20W 42-24908585+2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16HTEXAS—W 27-24917777+10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23ACALIFORNIA—W 30-20644242+45BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 29AWASHINGTON STATE—L 27-30556969+18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7HOREGON STATE—W 38-10571515+72BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14HUTAH—W 28-27718181+6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21ANOTRE DAME#11L 14-49939191-4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28AARIZONA STATE—W 48-17854747+40BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4HARIZONA—W 49-35665454+33BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11ACOLORADO—W 38-24595050+37BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18HUCLA—W 28-23926060+27BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14DEC 1HSTANFORD#20W 31-28908585+2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET80NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
14
SAM DARNOLDQB —RET
UNR—00%——
19
MATT FINKQB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
16
JACK SEARSQB SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
16
HOLDEN THOMASQB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
VAVAE MALEPEAIRB SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
5
STEPHEN CARRRB SENO SNAPS
★5★300%—FELL
38
CHRIS EDMONDSONRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
RANDAL GRIMESWR SORET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
84
ERIK KROMMENHOEKTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
83
JOSH FALOTE SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
80
DEONTAY BURNETTWR —RET
UNR—00%——
24
JAKE RUSSELLWR JURET
UNR—00%——
6
MICHAEL PITTMAN JR.WR SERET
★4—00%——
4
STEVEN MITCHELL JR.WR —RET
UNR—00%——
82
TYLER PETITETE SERET
UNR—00%——
1
JOSEPH LEWIS IVWR —NO SNAPS
★5—00%——
DANIEL IMATORBHEBHETE SERET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
1
VELUS JONES JR.WR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
89
AUSTIN APPLEBEETE SERET
UNR—00%——
10
JALEN GREENEWR —RET
UNR—00%——
21
TYLER VAUGHNSWR SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
9
JOSH IMATORBHEBHEWR SERET
★4—00%——
5
TREVON SIDNEYWR SERET
★4★400%—HELD
27
MATTHEW HOCUMWR SERET
UNR—00%——
41
CHRIS CAULKTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
46
GRANT JONESTE SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
46
SCOTT VOIGTTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
41
MILO STEWARTWR —RET
UNR—00%——
87
ALEC HURSHTE —RET
UNR—00%——
85
JACKSON BOYERWR —RET
UNR—00%——
86
CARY ANGELINETE —RET
★4—00%——
85
KEYSHAWN 'PIE' YOUNGWR —RET
UNR—00%——
34
MATT NYMANWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS24 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
STEPHEN CARRHS RECRUITRB★5UNR
JOSEPH LEWISHS RECRUITWR★5UNR
AUSTIN JACKSONHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
JAY TUFELEHS RECRUITDT★4UNR
BUBBA BOLDENHS RECRUITS★4UNR
MARLON TUIPULOTUHS RECRUITDT★4UNR
LEVI JONESHS RECRUITOLB★4UNR
GREG JOHNSONHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
JACK SEARSHS RECRUITPRO★4UNR
ISAIAH POLA-MAOHS RECRUITS★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT17 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MAX BROWNEPITTSBURGHQBUNRUNR
LEON MCQUAY IIINFL DRAFT R6DBUNR—
ADOREE' JACKSONNFL DRAFT R1DBUNR—
JUJU SMITH-SCHUSTERNFL DRAFT R2WRUNR—
NOAH JEFFERSONELIGIBILITY UPDTUNR—
JABARI RUFFINNOT LISTEDDEUNR—
DARREUS ROGERSNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
TAYLOR MCNAMARANOT LISTEDTEUNR—
MICHAEL HUTCHINGSNOT LISTEDILBUNR—
JUSTIN DAVISNOT LISTED?★2—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#4NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
14OF 24 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.9205COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST67% BACK67th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG67% BACK67th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR80%80th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE