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HOME›TEAMS›USC›2018TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
BIG TEN|CLAY HELTON|—RECORD5-7|CONF—
USC45 FPIB1G · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
98FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#416 BC / 19
BC RATIO
65%CLEARS
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
5-7ACTUALvs5.8-6.2FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.8 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-4
AVG SCORING MARGIN-0.9
5 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.8. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
59MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1HUNLV—W 43-21311919+55BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 8ASTANFORD—L 3-17888181-7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 15ATEXAS#9L 14-37947676-2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21HWASHINGTON STATE#10W 39-36567676-2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 29AARIZONA—W 24-20645656+18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 13HCOLORADO—W 31-20623939+35BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 20AUTAH—L 28-41668888-14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 27HARIZONA STATE—L 35-38806161+13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3AOREGON STATE—W 38-21511515+59BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10HCALIFORNIA—L 14-15685858+16BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17AUCLA—L 27-34874242+32BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24HNOTRE DAME#5L 17-24939191-17BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET2NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
16
JACK SEARSQB SERET
★4—00%——
19
MATT FINKQB SERET
★3—00%——
18
JT DANIELSQB SENO SNAPS
★5★500%—HELD
16
HOLDEN THOMASQB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
30
MARKESE STEPPRB SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
6
VAVAE MALEPEAIRB SERET
★4—00%——
5
STEPHEN CARRRB SERET
★5★300%—FELL
38
CHRIS EDMONDSONRB JURET
UNR—00%——
37
BEN EASINGTONRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
84
ERIK KROMMENHOEKTE SERET
★3—00%——
2
DEVON WILLIAMSWR SONO SNAPS
★4—00%——
8
AMON-RA ST. BROWNWR JUNO SNAPS
★5—00%——
83
JOSH FALOTE SERET
★4—00%——
6
MICHAEL PITTMAN JR.WR SERET
★4—00%——
82
TYLER PETITETE SERET
UNR—00%——
1
VELUS JONES JR.WR SERET
★3—00%——
21
TYLER VAUGHNSWR SERET
★4—00%——
5
TREVON SIDNEYWR SERET
★4★400%—HELD
DANIEL IMATORBHEBHETE SERET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
24
JAKE RUSSELLWR JURET
UNR—00%——
9
JOSH IMATORBHEBHEWR SERET
★4—00%——
89
AUSTIN APPLEBEETE SERET
UNR—00%——
4
RANDAL GRIMESWR SORET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
22
JACK WEBSTERWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
27
MATTHEW HOCUMWR SERET
UNR—00%——
41
CHRIS CAULKTE JURET
UNR—00%——
46
GRANT JONESTE SERET
★4—00%——
46
SCOTT VOIGTTE SERET
UNR—00%——
85
KEYSHAWN 'PIE' YOUNGWR —RET
UNR—00%——
34
MATT NYMANWR —RET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS19 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
AMON-RA ST. BROWNHS RECRUITWR★5UNR
PALAIE GAOTEOTE IVHS RECRUITILB★5UNR
JT DANIELSHS RECRUITPRO★5UNR
OLAIJAH GRIFFINHS RECRUITCB★5UNR
ISAAC TAYLOR-STUARTHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
DEVON WILLIAMSHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
SOLOMON TULIAUPUPUHS RECRUITILB★4UNR
TALANOA HUFANGAHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
JUSTIN DEDICHHS RECRUITOC★4UNR
CHASE WILLIAMSHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT21 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KENNY BIGELOW JR.WEST VIRGINIADLUNRUNR
JALEN GREENEUTAH STATEWRUNRUNR
UCHENNA NWOSUNFL DRAFT R2OLBUNR—
SAM DARNOLDNFL DRAFT R1QBUNR—
RONALD JONES IINFL DRAFT R2?UNR—
RASHEEM GREENNFL DRAFT R3DTUNR—
YKILI ROSSELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
JACK JONESELIGIBILITY UPDB★5—
DEONTAY BURNETTNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
CHRIS HAWKINSNOT LISTEDCBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#4NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
16OF 19 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.9305COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
68TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
14
11
19
16
8
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.3 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-11 TO +7 W
IMPROVED24 OF 68
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST27% BACK27th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG27% BACK27th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR2%2th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE