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SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2020 FINAL
BIG TEN|CLAY HELTON|—RECORD5-1|CONF—
USC#21 AP 18 FPIB1G · 2020 SEASON
TALENT
93FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#553 BC / 15
BC RATIO
49%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2020 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
5-1ACTUALvs3.9-2.1FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+7.3
5 wins against a scoring profile describing 3.9. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE6 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
66MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
10NOV 7HARIZONA STATE—W 28-27858181+3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 14AARIZONA—W 34-30483535+49BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 21AUTAH—W 33-17748383+1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14DEC 6HWASHINGTON STATE—W 38-13466262+22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
15DEC 12AUCLA—W 43-38754141+43BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
16DEC 18HOREGON—L 24-31889393-9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET93NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
KEDON SLOVISQB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
19
MATT FINKQB SERET
★3—00%——
16
JACK SEARSQB SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
15
MO HASANQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
4
TREVOR SCULLYQB FRRET
UNR—00%——
16
SCOTT HARRISQB FRRET
★3—00%——
38
BRAD AOKIQB JURET
UNR—00%——
31
ISAAC WARDQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
30
MARKESE STEPPRB SERET
★4★300%—FELL
27
QUINCY JOUNTTIRB SERET
UNR—00%——
8
KENAN CHRISTON IIRB SERET
★4—00%——
6
VAVAE MALEPEAIRB SERET
★4—00%——
5
STEPHEN CARRRB SERET
★5★300%—FELL
38
CHRIS EDMONDSONRB JURET
UNR—00%——
37
BEN EASINGTONRB JURET
UNR—00%——
26
SAMUEL ORAM-JONESRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
5
MATT COLOMBORB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
84
ERIK KROMMENHOEKTE SERET
★3—00%——
5
BRU MCCOYWR SERET
★4—00%——
15
DRAKE LONDONWR SORET
★4—00%——
8
AMON-RA ST. BROWNWR JURET
★5—00%——
18
JUDE WOLFETE SERET
★4★300%—FELL
14
JOHN JACKSON IIIWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
2
GARY BRYANT JR.WR SENO SNAPS
★4★400%—HELD
21
TYLER VAUGHNSWR SERET
★4—00%——
88
KOHL HOLLINQUESTTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
22
JACK WEBSTERWR JURET
UNR—00%——
83
JOSH FALOTE SERET
★4—00%——
27
MATTHEW HOCUMWR SERET
UNR—00%——
17
ZACH WILSONWR JURET
★2—00%——
41
CHRIS CAULKTE JURET
UNR—00%——
46
GRANT JONESTE SERET
★4—00%——
81
KYLE FORDWR SERET
★4★300%—FELL
85
ETHAN RAETE JURET
★3—00%——
4
MUNIR MCCLAINWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
89
CHASE LOCKEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
46
SCOTT VOIGTTE SERET
UNR—00%——
89
SEAN MAHONEYTE JURET
UNR—00%——
40
TY SHAMBLINWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
42
DANNY RYANWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS15 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
GARY BRYANT JR.HS RECRUITWR★4UNR
JONAH MONHEIMHS RECRUITOG★4UNR
TULI TUIPULOTUHS RECRUITDT★4UNR
JOSHUA JACKSON JR.HS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JAMAR SEKONAHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
KOBE PEPEHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
COURTLAND FORDHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
CAADYN STEPHENHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
CASEY COLLIERHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
ASHTON ALLENHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT6 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JT DANIELSGEORGIAQB★5★5
VELUS JONES JR.TENNESSEEWR★3UNR
DEVON WILLIAMSOREGONWR★4UNR
MICHAEL PITTMAN JR.NFL DRAFT R2WR★4—
JOHN HOUSTON JR.ELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
C.J. POLLARDELIGIBILITY UPS★4—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#55NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
3OF 15 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8652COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST88% BACK88th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG88% BACK88th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR93%93th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE