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● LIVE|2021 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›USC›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
BIG TEN|DONTE WILLIAMS|—RECORD4-8|CONF—
USC58 FPIB1G · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
93FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#817 BC / 23
BC RATIO
51%CLEARS
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
4-8ACTUALvs5.3-6.7FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN-3.1
4 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.3. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
55MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 4HSAN JOSÉ STATE—W 30-7263535+3BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 11HSTANFORD—L 28-42831919+19BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 18AWASHINGTON STATE—W 45-14565757-19BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 25HOREGON STATE—L 27-45666666-28BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 2ACOLORADO—W 37-14662020+18BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 9HUTAH#12L 26-42788888-50BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 23ANOTRE DAME#8L 16-31929292-54BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 30HARIZONA—W 41-34511414+24BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 6AARIZONA STATE—L 16-31828181-43BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 20HUCLA—L 33-62846969-31BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 27HBYU#19L 31-35326666-28BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14DEC 4ACALIFORNIA—L 14-24724848-10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
MILLER MOSSQB SENO SNAPS
★4★400%—HELD
2
JAXSON DARTQB SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
10
KEDON SLOVISQB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
15
MO HASANQB SERET
UNR—00%——
38
BRAD AOKIQB JURET
UNR—00%——
31
ISAAC WARDQB JURET
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET36NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
28
KEAONTAY INGRAMRB SEPORTAL · TEXAS
★4★300%—FELL
27
QUINCY JOUNTTIRB SERET
UNR—00%——
24
DARWIN BARLOWRB SEPORTAL · TCU
★3★300%—HELD
6
VAVAE MALEPEAIRB SERET
★4—00%——
23
BRANDON CAMPBELLRB JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
8
KENAN CHRISTON IIRB SERET
★4—00%——
26
SAMUEL ORAM-JONESRB SERET
UNR—00%——
5
MATT COLOMBORB SERET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
84
ERIK KROMMENHOEKTE SERET
★3—00%——
7
MALCOLM EPPSTE SEPORTAL · TEXAS
★4★300%—FELL
15
DRAKE LONDONWR SORET
★4—00%——
1
MICHAEL TRIGGTE SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
18
JUDE WOLFETE SERET
★4★300%—FELL
2
MICHAEL JACKSON IIIWR SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
81
KYLE FORDWR SERET
★4★300%—FELL
11
KYRON HUDSONWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
14
JOHN JACKSON IIIWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
87
LAKE MCREETE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
2
GARY BRYANT JR.WR SERET
★4★400%—HELD
46
GRANT JONESTE SERET
★4—00%——
16
TAHJ WASHINGTONWR SEPORTAL · MEMPHIS
★3★300%—HELD
14
JOSEPH MANJACK IVWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
21
K.D. NIXONWR SEPORTAL · COLORADO
★4★300%—FELL
88
KOHL HOLLINQUESTTE SERET
UNR—00%——
83
JOSH FALOTE SERET
★4—00%——
17
ZACH WILSONWR JURET
★2—00%——
5
BRU MCCOYWR SERET
★4—00%——
85
ETHAN RAETE JURET
★3—00%——
89
CHASE LOCKEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
89
SEAN MAHONEYTE JURET
UNR—00%——
8
JAKE SMITHWR SEPORTAL · TEXAS
★4★300%—FELL
40
TY SHAMBLINWR JURET
★3—00%——
42
DANNY RYANWR JURET
UNR—00%——
44
JOSIAH ZAMORAWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS22 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KOREY FOREMANHS RECRUITDL★5UNR
RAESJON DAVISHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
JAXSON DARTHS RECRUITQB★4UNR
MILLER MOSSHS RECRUITQB★4UNR
CEYAIR WRIGHTHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
JULIEN SIMONHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
KYRON HUDSONHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
MICHAEL TRIGGHS RECRUITTE★4UNR
PROPHET BROWNHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
CALEN BULLOCKHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN3 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAKE SMITHTEXASWR★4★3
KEAONTAY INGRAMTEXASRB★4★3
XAVION ALFORDTEXASS★2★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT11 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MARKESE STEPPNEBRASKARB★4★3
PALAIE GAOTEOTE IVOHIO STATELB★5★4
CONNOR MURPHYUNLVDL★4★4
STEPHEN CARRINDIANARB★5★3
CALEB TREMBLAYTENNESSEEDLUNR★4
MARLON TUIPULOTUNFL DRAFT R6DL★4—
TALANOA HUFANGANFL DRAFT R5S★4—
AMON-RA ST. BROWNNFL DRAFT R4WR★5—
MATT FINKELIGIBILITY UPQB★3—
TYLER VAUGHNSELIGIBILITY UPWR★4—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#8NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
17OF 23 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.9198COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
99 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST65% BACK65th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG65% BACK65th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE