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HOME›TEAMS›USC›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
BIG TEN|LINCOLN RILEY|—RECORD11-3|CONF—
USC#12 AP 16 FPIB1G · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
93FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
1%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#705 BC / 10
BC RATIO
48%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
11-2ACTUALvs9.3-3.7FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.7 W
ONE SCORE RECORD4-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+13.2
11 wins against a scoring profile describing 9.3. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE96
PERFORMANCE96
TALENT84
CONTINUITY1
DEFENSE13
PERFORMANCE13
TALENT76
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE14 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
57MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
7 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3HRICE—W 66-14281212+80BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 10ASTANFORD—W 41-28852929+63BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 17HFRESNO STATE#24W 45-17445555+37BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24AOREGON STATE#17W 17-14618484+8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1HARIZONA STATE—W 42-25723838+54BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 8HWASHINGTON STATE—W 30-14507272+20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15AUTAH#10L 42-43779393-1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 29AARIZONA—W 45-37664141+51BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5HCALIFORNIA—W 41-35664242+50BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11HCOLORADO—W 55-175655+87BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19AUCLA#21W 48-45808585+7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26HNOTRE DAME#18W 38-27937373+19BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14DEC 2HUTAH#10L 24-47779393-1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLJAN 2HTULANE#9L 45-46477979+13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB76TAL100PERF76RET2ONE OWNERn=1 · 8 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
13
CALEB WILLIAMSQB JUNO SNAPS
★5—9898%+31—
7
MILLER MOSSQB SERET
★4★4242%+38HELD
15
MO HASANQB SERET
UNR—00%——
31
ISAAC WARDQB JURET
UNR—00%——
28
GAGE ROYQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
16
JAKE JENSENQB SENO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
15
KEEGAN PATTERSONQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR★200%—EMERGED
▾RB62TAL74PERF62RET3ROTATIONn=3 · 9 METRICS · 23 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
AUSTIN JONESRB SENO SNAPS
★3—9142%+15—
26
TRAVIS DYERB SENO SNAPS
★3—8940%+26—
0
RALEEK BROWNRB JUNO SNAPS
★4★46515%+29HELD
24
DARWIN BARLOWRB SERET
★3★3373%+17HELD
41
BRANDON OUTLAWRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
5
MATT COLOMBORB SERET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE58TAL78PERF65RET38ROTATIONn=10 · 7 METRICS · 53 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
JORDAN ADDISONWR JUNO SNAPS
★4—8717%+30—
2
BRENDEN RICEWR SENO SNAPS
★4—8717%+14—
4
MARIO WILLIAMSWR JUNO SNAPS
★4★48617%+17HELD
16
TAHJ WASHINGTONWR SERET
★3★38617%+33HELD
81
KYLE FORDWR SERET
★4★36910%+21FELL
83
JOSH FALOTE SERET
★4—6841%-5—
TERRELL BYNUMWR SENO SNAPS
★3—678%-9—
87
LAKE MCREETE SERET
★3—6537%+6—
10
KYRON HUDSONWR SONO SNAPS
★4—606%+19—
2
MICHAEL JACKSON IIIWR SERET
★4★3595%+27FELL
7
MALCOLM EPPSTE SERET
★4★35422%+11FELL
3
C.J. WILLIAMSWR SENO SNAPS
★4★3402%—FELL
2
GARY BRYANT JR.WR SERET
★4★4321%-17HELD
14
JOHN JACKSON IIIWR SERET
★3★3261%—HELD
89
SEAN MAHONEYTE JURET
UNR—71%——
44
JOSIAH ZAMORAWR SERET
UNR—00%——
85
ETHAN RAETE JURET
★3—00%——
18
JUDE WOLFETE SERET
★4★300%—FELL
40
TY SHAMBLINWR JURET
★3—00%——
42
DANNY RYANWR JURET
UNR—00%——
49
GRANT ZANEWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
24
CARSON TABARACCITE JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
82
AUSTIN OVERNWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
▸OL50TAL80PERF50RET38n=8 · 3 METRICS · 20 OBS
▸DL64TAL59PERF64RET61n=9 · 8 METRICS · 60 OBS
▸LB42TAL83PERF42RET23n=5 · 10 METRICS · 32 OBS
▸DB54TAL85PERF54RET42n=9 · 8 METRICS · 52 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS10 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DOMANI JACKSONHS RECRUITCB★5UNR
RALEEK BROWNHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
ZION BRANCHHS RECRUITS★4UNR
CJ WILLIAMSHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
FABIAN ROSSHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
DEVAN THOMPKINSHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
GARRISON MADDENHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
AUSTIN OVERNHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
ATTICUS BERTRAMSHS RECRUITP★3UNR
KASH AMOSHS RECRUITDLUNRUNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT30 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JACOB LICHTENSTEINMIAMIDL★3UNR
CHASE WILLIAMSSAN JOSÉ STATEDB★4UNR
ELI'JAH WINSTONNEVADALB★4UNR
KAULANA MAKAULAHAWAI'IDB★3UNR
MICHAEL TRIGGOLE MISSTE★4★3
JAXSON DARTOLE MISSQB★4UNR
RAYMOND SCOTTFRESNO STATELB★4★3
HUNTER ECHOLSARIZONADL★3UNR
KEDON SLOVISPITTSBURGHQB★3★3
BRANDON CAMPBELLHOUSTONRB★4UNR
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#70NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
5OF 10 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.9116COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
68TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
14
11
19
16
8
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.3 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-11 TO +7 W
IMPROVED24 OF 68
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST15% BACK15th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG15% BACK15th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR38%38th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR2%2th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST42%42th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE