SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2017 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2017 FINAL
BIG 12|KYLE WHITTINGHAM|—RECORD6-6|CONF—
UTAH38 FPIB12 · 2017 SEASON
TALENT
71FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#331 BC / 17
BC RATIO
8%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2017 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
6-6ACTUALvs7.5-4.5FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.5 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-4
AVG SCORING MARGIN+5.6
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 7.5. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
59MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HNORTH DAKOTA—W 37-16————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 9ABYU—W 19-13612424+57BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16HSAN JOSÉ STATE—W 54-163344+77BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 22AARIZONA—W 30-24665454+27BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7HSTANFORD#20L 20-23908585-4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14AUSC#12L 27-28988787-6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21HARIZONA STATE—L 10-30854747+34BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28AOREGON—L 20-41847171+10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3HUCLA—W 48-17926060+21BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11HWASHINGTON STATE—L 25-33556969+12BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18AWASHINGTON#16L 30-33839393-12BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25HCOLORADO—W 34-13595050+31BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
TROY WILLIAMSQB —RET
UNR—00%——
1
TYLER HUNTLEYQB SERET
★3—00%——
12
DREW LISKQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
16
JASON MONEYQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
18
COOPER BATEMANQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET29NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
TROY MCCORMICK JR.RB —RET
UNR—00%——
26
JORDAN HOWARDRB —RET
UNR—00%——
27
MASON WOODWARDRB SERET
UNR—00%——
2
ZACK MOSSRB SERET
★3—00%——
7
DEVONTA'E HENRY-COLERB SERET
★3—00%——
5
ARMAND SHYNERB SERET
UNR—00%——
32
JOEY WOODRB JURET
UNR—00%——
4
TROY MCCORMICK, JR.RB —RET
UNR—00%——
32
MATTY MATAUTIARB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
87
SIALE FAKAILOATONGATE —RET
UNR—00%——
88
HARRISON HANDLEYTE —RET
UNR—00%——
9
DARREN CARRINGTON IIWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
6
KYLE FULKSWR —RET
UNR—00%——
80
SIAOSI WILSONWR —RET
UNR—00%——
45
SAMSON NACUAWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
83
JAMESON FIELDWR SERET
UNR—00%——
44
JAKE JACKSONTE JURET
UNR—00%——
10
RAELON SINGLETONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
3
DEMARI SIMPKINSWR SERET
★3—00%——
5
TYQUEZ HAMPTONWR —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
40
ALI'I NIUMATALOLOTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
22
BRYAN THOMPSONWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
33
TYRONE YOUNG-SMITHWR SERET
UNR—00%——
18
BRITAIN COVEYWR JURET
UNR—00%——
88
BAPA FALEMAKATE JURET
★3—00%——
46
CONNOR HALLERTE SORET
UNR—00%——
8
DERRICK VICKERSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
80
SIAOSI MARINERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
20
JAKE WRIGHTWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
82
AUSTIN TURLEYWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
10
RILEY RICHMONDWR —RET
UNR—00%——
85
SAVON MONIZTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
CHAD HEKKINGTE —RET
UNR—00%——
8
ALEC DANAWR —RET
UNR—00%——
46
TYLER BELLTE —RET
★2—00%——
84
DAKOTA BAKERWR —RET
UNR—00%——
86
ZACH HANSENTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
15
PETER BROWNWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS17 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAYLON JOHNSONHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
TYQUEZ HAMPTONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
BRYAN THOMPSONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JAVELIN GUIDRYHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
MICHAEL RICHARDSONHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
ALIKI VIMAHIHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
TANIELA PUTUTAUHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JASON SHELLEYHS RECRUITDUAL★3UNR
MO UNUTOAHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
MIKI SUGUTURAGAHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT26 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JORDAN FOGALCOLORADO STATEDBUNRUNR
ISAAC ASIATANFL DRAFT R5OLUNR—
BRIAN ALLENNFL DRAFT R5DBUNR—
PITA TAUMOEPENUNFL DRAFT R6DEUNR—
MARCUS WILLIAMSNFL DRAFT R2DB★2—
JOE WILLIAMSNFL DRAFT R4RBUNR—
JOE WILLIAMSNOT LISTEDRBUNR—
HUNTER DIMICKNOT LISTEDDEUNR—
REGGIE PORTERNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
JUSTIN THOMASNOT LISTEDDB★2—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#33NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
1OF 17 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8557COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKRETURNS
28TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
0
4
12
4
8
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +3.0 W
FULL RANGE-3 TO +5 W
IMPROVED12 OF 28
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST67% BACK67th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG67% BACK67th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE