SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2018 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›UTAH›2018TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
BIG 12|KYLE WHITTINGHAM|—RECORD9-4|CONF—
UTAH20 FPIB12 · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
66FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#332 BC / 24
BC RATIO
13%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
9-4ACTUALvs9.6-3.4FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.6 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+10.2
9 wins against a scoring profile describing 9.6. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
65MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 30HWEBER STATE—W 41-10————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 8ANORTHERN ILLINOIS—W 17-6373232+56BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 15HWASHINGTON#13L 7-21889090-2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 29AWASHINGTON STATE#10L 24-28567676+12BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 6ASTANFORD—W 40-21888181+7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12HARIZONA—W 42-10645656+32BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 20HUSC—W 41-28987474+14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26AUCLA—W 41-10874242+46BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3AARIZONA STATE—L 20-38806161+27BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10HOREGON—W 32-25826969+19BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17ACOLORADO—W 30-7623939+49BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24HBYU—W 35-27606565+23BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30AWASHINGTON#13L 3-10889090-2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET74NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
JASON SHELLEYQB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
1
TYLER HUNTLEYQB SERET
★3—00%——
12
DREW LISKQB SERET
UNR—00%——
10
ZACH HYMASQB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
7
CAMERON RISINGQB SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET74NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
ARMAND SHYNERB SERET
UNR—00%——
27
MASON WOODWARDRB SERET
UNR—00%——
2
T.J. GREENRB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
2
ZACK MOSSRB SERET
★3—00%——
32
JOEY WOODRB JURET
UNR—00%——
6
DEVIN BRUMFIELDRB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
7
DEVONTA'E HENRY-COLERB SERET
★3—00%——
31
BRANDEN RANKINSRB —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
5
EDWARD VANDERRB —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
45
SAMSON NACUAWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
80
BRANT KUITHETE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
25
JAYLEN DIXONWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
83
JAMESON FIELDWR SERET
UNR—00%——
44
JAKE JACKSONTE JURET
UNR—00%——
33
TYRONE YOUNG-SMITHWR SERET
UNR—00%——
88
BAPA FALEMAKATE JURET
★3—00%——
3
DEMARI SIMPKINSWR SERET
★3—00%——
46
CONNOR HALLERTE SORET
UNR—00%——
80
SIAOSI MARINERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
21
SOLOMON ENISWR SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
89
COLE FOTHERINGHAMTE JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
18
BRITAIN COVEYWR JURET
UNR—00%——
22
BRYAN THOMPSONWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
82
DYLAN SLAVENSWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
8
DERRICK VICKERSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
40
ALI'I NIUMATALOLOTE SERET
★3—00%——
81
YIOTI KARAHALIOSWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
ZACH HANSENTE —RET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS24 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JACK TUTTLEHS RECRUITPRO★4UNR
SOLOMON ENISHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
TENNESSEE PUTUTAUHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
HUNTER LOTULELEIHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
JAREN KUMPHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
MIKA TAFUAHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
JACKSON CRAVENSHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
MALONE MATAELEHS RECRUITAPB★3UNR
PAUL MAILEHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
DEVIN BRUMFIELDHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT23 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
RAELON SINGLETONHOUSTONWRUNRUNR
HAYES HICKENUNLVPKUNRUNR
KYLIE FITTSNFL DRAFT R6DEUNR—
CASEY HUGHESELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
CODY IPPOLITONOT LISTEDLBUNR—
TROY WILLIAMSNOT LISTEDQBUNR—
SIALE FAKAILOATONGANOT LISTEDTEUNR—
HARRISON HANDLEYNOT LISTEDTEUNR—
TROY MCCORMICK JR.NOT LISTEDRBUNR—
FILIPO MOKOFISINOT LISTEDDTUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#33NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
2OF 24 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8447COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKRETURNS
28TEAMS
MATCHED THIS
+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
0
4
12
4
8
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +3.0 W
FULL RANGE-3 TO +5 W
IMPROVED12 OF 28
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST69% BACK69th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG69% BACK69th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR74%74th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE