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HOME›TEAMS›UTAH STATE›2018TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
PAC-12|MATT WELLS|—RECORD10-2|CONF—
UTAH STATE#22 AP 23 FPIPAC · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
26FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1090 BC / 18
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
10-2ACTUALvs10.2-1.8FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+24.2
10 wins against a scoring profile describing 10.2. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
37MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31AMICHIGAN STATE—L 31-38767878+7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 8HNEW MEXICO STATE—W 60-13855+80BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 13HTENNESSEE TECH—W 73-12————NON-FBS OPPONENT
4SEP 22HAIR FORCE—W 42-3273535+50BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5ABYU—W 45-20606565+20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 13HUNLV—W 59-28311919+66BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 20AWYOMING—W 24-16164848+37BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 27HNEW MEXICO—W 61-19332424+61BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3AHAWAI'I—W 56-17132121+64BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10HSAN JOSÉ STATE—W 62-24361212+73BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17ACOLORADO STATE—W 29-24462222+63BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24ABOISE STATE#23L 24-33537979+6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET54NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
ANDREW PEASLEYQB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
10
JORDAN LOVEQB JURET
★3—00%——
3
HENRY COLOMBIQB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
15
WILL DANAQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET46NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
GEROLD BRIGHTRB SERET
UNR—00%——
34
JUSTEN HERVEYRB SERET
UNR—00%——
20
TRE MILLERRB SORET
★3—00%——
22
ELTORO ALLENRB SERET
UNR—00%——
24
MORIAN WALKER JR.RB SERET
UNR—00%——
5
DARWIN THOMPSONRB JURET
UNR—00%——
26
CHASE NELSONRB SERET
UNR—00%——
32
SIONE FEHOKORB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
22
JAYLEN WARRENRB SERET
★2★300%—ROSE
29
PAILATE MAKAKONARB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
13
DEVEN THOMPKINSWR JUNO SNAPS
★2★200%—HELD
47
LOGAN LEETE SERET
UNR—00%——
10
JALEN GREENEWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
12
DJ NELSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
87
DAX RAYMONDTE —RET
UNR—00%——
1
RON'QUAVION TARVERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
83
AAREN VAUGHNSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
13
DEVIN HECKSTALLWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
11
SAVON SCARVERWR SERET
★3—00%——
88
CARSON TERRELLTE SERET
★3—00%——
JORDAN NATHANWR SERET
UNR—00%——
17
TAYLOR COMPTONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
89
TRAVIS BOMANTE JURET
UNR—00%——
80
SEAN CARTERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
8
DEREK WRIGHTWR SERET
UNR—00%——
85
MOSESE MANUTE SERET
UNR—00%——
85
EMERSON WOODSTE —RET
UNR—00%——
80
JACKSON PRINCEWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
80
LANDON LARSENWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
82
PRESTON CURTISWR —RET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS18 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ANDY KOCHHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
HALE MOTU'APUAKAHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
SENI TUIAKIHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
JOHNSON HANSENHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
KARTER SHAWHS RECRUITOG★2UNR
MITCH MEDINAHS RECRUITOLB★2UNR
ANDREW PEASLEYHS RECRUITPRO★2UNR
JACOB SOUTHHS RECRUITOT★2UNR
TIM PATRICKHS RECRUITATH★2UNR
ELIJAH SHELTONHS RECRUITILB★2UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT20 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DEREK LARSENELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
LOUY COMPTONELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
JAREN COLSTON-GREENNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
ALEX HUERTANOT LISTEDLBUNR—
BRAELON ROBERTSNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
DALLIN LEAVITTNOT LISTEDSUNR—
KENT MYERSNOT LISTEDQBUNR—
JALEN DAVISNOT LISTEDCBUNR—
ZACH VAN LEEUWENNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
IAN TOGIAINOT LISTEDDEUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#109NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 18 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.7779COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
119TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
16
38
33
21
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED54 OF 119
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST56% BACK56th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG56% BACK56th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR54%54th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE