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HOME›TEAMS›UTAH STATE›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
PAC-12|BLAKE ANDERSON|—RECORD6-7|CONF—
UTAH STATE109 FPIPAC · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
17FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
14%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#800 BC / 24
BC RATIO
4%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
6-6ACTUALvs4.1-7.9FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.9 W
ONE SCORE RECORD4-0
AVG SCORING MARGIN-7.3
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 4.1. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE4
PERFORMANCE4
TALENT30
CONTINUITY14
DEFENSE20
PERFORMANCE20
TALENT51
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
36MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 27HUCONN—W 31-2091515+2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
1SEP 3AALABAMA#5L 0-551009898-81BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 10HWEBER STATE—L 7-35————NON-FBS OPPONENT
4SEP 24HUNLV—L 24-34152222-5BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 29ABYU—L 26-38234545-28BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 8HAIR FORCE—W 34-2705656-39BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15ACOLORADO STATE—W 17-132755+12BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22AWYOMING—L 14-28112424-7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5HNEW MEXICO—W 27-101211+16BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12AHAWAI'I—W 41-342622+15BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19HSAN JOSÉ STATE—W 35-31253737-20BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25ABOISE STATE—L 23-42486161-44BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 27HMEMPHIS—L 10-38476363-46BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB44TAL33PERF44RET83ONE OWNERn=3 · 8 METRICS · 15 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
COOPER LEGASQB SERET
★3★37458%+1HELD
1
LOGAN BONNERQB SERET
★2★35925%0ROSE
4
BISHOP DAVENPORTQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★34813%+6HELD
16
LEVI WILLIAMSQB JUNO SNAPS
★3—264%+7—
14
GARRETT LARSONQB SORET
UNR—00%——
▾RB51TAL42PERF51RET73ONE OWNERn=3 · 9 METRICS · 16 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
CALVIN TYLER JR.RB SERET
★3—9668%-16—
2
ROBERT BRIGGSRB JURET
★3—7023%-12—
29
PAILATE MAKAKONARB SERET
UNR—415%-53—
23
JORDAN WILMORERB JUNO SNAPS
★4★3343%-40FELL
1
JOHN GENTRYRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
24
BAILEE DAVENPORTRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE40TAL37PERF40RET40ONE OWNERn=6 · 8 METRICS · 38 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
8
BRIAN COBBSWR SENO SNAPS
★3—9728%+25—
10
JUSTIN MCGRIFFWR SERET
★3—9627%-11—
TERRELL VAUGHNWR SERET
UNR—9526%+3—
83
JOSH STERZERTE SERET
★2—7257%-8—
3
NYNY DAVISWR SORET
★3★2659%-47FELL
87
BROC LANETE SERET
★3—5628%——
9
KYLE VAN LEEUWENWR SERET
★2—545%-15—
1
JALEN ROYALSWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—402%——
85
PARKER BUCHANANTE SORET
★3—379%——
5
OTTO TIATE SERET
★3★3372%—HELD
3
XAVIER WILLIAMSWR JUNO SNAPS
★4★4372%—HELD
19
RON TIAVAASUETE SENO SNAPS
UNR—316%——
23
KYRESE WHITEWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—130%——
13
QUINTON HADNOTWR SORET
★3—100%——
18
COOPER JONESWR SERET
UNR—00%——
88
GARRETT WALCHLIWR SORET
UNR—00%——
19
CHASE TUATAGALOATE JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
20
TIMM VAN LEEUWENWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
18
MALACHI KEELSWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
7
AUSTIN OKERWAWR JUNO SNAPS
★2★200%—HELD
84
RYDER MACGILLIVRAYWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
21
JOSH DAVISWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
81
QUENTIN RILEYWR SONO SNAPS
★2—00%——
▸OL38TAL23PERF38RET19n=7 · 3 METRICS · 20 OBS
▸DL56TAL46PERF56RET71n=9 · 7 METRICS · 40 OBS
▸LB61TAL70PERF61RET38n=5 · 11 METRICS · 44 OBS
▸DB51TAL24PERF51RET77n=8 · 8 METRICS · 50 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS24 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TAVO MOTU'APUAKAHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
IRAE LEILUAHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
WEYLIN LAPUAHOHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
ADAM TOMCZYKHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
JAMES ALOISIOHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
JD DREWHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
BISHOP DAVENPORTHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
MAXIMUS FONOTI-MAIKUIHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
TEAGUE ANDERSENHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
ROBERT BRIGGS JR.HS RECRUITATH★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT25 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ELELYON NOABOISE STATERB★3★3
ANDREW PEASLEYWYOMINGQB★2UNR
ZAHODRI JACKSONNORTH TEXASDB★3UNR
CAM LAMPKINWASHINGTON STATEDB★3UNR
MONTE' MCGARYKANSASCBUNRUNR
SHAQ BONDELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
JAYMASON WILLINGHAMELIGIBILITY UPLB★3—
CASH GILLIAMELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
DEREK WRIGHTELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
JAYLIN BANNERMANELIGIBILITY UPDE★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#80NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 24 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8218COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNINGANY — MERGEDQUARTERBACKANY — MERGED
25TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
1
4
8
7
5
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-4 TO +6 W
IMPROVED12 OF 25
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THIS PROFILE WAS TOO RARE TO STAND ALONE AND A BROADER CELL IS SHOWN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST37% BACK37th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG37% BACK37th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR19%19th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR83%83th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST77%77th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE