SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2017 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›UTSA›2017TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2017 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|FRANK WILSON|—RECORD6-5|CONF—
UTSA95 FPIAAC · 2017 SEASON
TALENT
11FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#750 BC / 22
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2017 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
6-5ACTUALvs7.5-3.5FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.5 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-4
AVG SCORING MARGIN+6.5
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 7.5. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE11 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
21MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
2SEP 9ABAYLOR—W 17-10744141-3BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16HSOUTHERN—W 51-17————NON-FBS OPPONENT
4SEP 23ATEXAS STATE—W 44-14822+36BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7HSOUTHERN MISS—L 29-31353434+4BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14ANORTH TEXAS—L 26-29133333+5BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21HRICE—W 20-72522+36BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28AUTEP—W 31-14700+38BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4AFLORIDA INTERNATIONAL—L 7-14202020+18BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11HUAB—L 19-245———NON-FBS OPPONENT
12NOV 18HMARSHALL—W 9-7423333+5BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25ALOUISIANA TECH—L 6-20362727+11BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET80NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
14
DALTON STURMQB —RET
UNR—00%——
17
BRYCE RIVERSQB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
13
BRANDON GARZAQB SERET
UNR—00%——
14
CORDALE GRUNDYQB SERET
UNR—00%——
11
LIAM BEARDQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET44NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
22
TYRELL CLAYRB —RET
UNR—00%——
5
JALEN RHODESRB SERET
UNR—00%——
33
B.J. DANIELSRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
34
HALEN STEWARDRB SERET
UNR—00%——
24
DEVEN BOSTONRB SERET
UNR—00%——
31
KADARI JOHNSONRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
31
ORRYN NICHOLSONRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
47
DEVIN ROTHROCKRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
82
DANNON CAVILWR —RET
UNR—00%——
19
BLAZE MOORHEADWR SERET
UNR—00%——
20
BRETT WINNEGANWR SERET
UNR—00%——
16
KIRK JOHNSON JR.WR JURET
UNR—00%——
7
KERRY THOMAS JR.WR —RET
UNR—00%——
86
BRADY JONESWR —RET
UNR—00%——
80
JOSH STEWARTWR —RET
★3—00%——
81
SHAQ WILLIAMSTE —RET
UNR—00%——
83
CHANCE MCLEODTE SORET
UNR—00%——
10
GREG CAMPBELL JR.WR SERET
UNR—00%——
84
LARRY STEPHENSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
18
PEYTON HALLWR SERET
UNR—00%——
4
MARQUEZ MCNAIRWR SERET
UNR—00%——
89
MATT GUIDRYWR JURET
UNR—00%——
86
T.J. KINGTE JURET
UNR—00%——
37
MYLES BENNINGTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
32
TERENCE SHAW IIWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
30
JAYLON DUKESWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
LEROY WATSONTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
87
ROBERT URSUATE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
85
MICHAEL GOFFTE —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
46
SETH DAMROWTE —RET
UNR—00%——
16
KIRK JOHNSON JR.WR —RET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS22 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAVARIS STEWARDHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
SAMUEL BARNESHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
TAY'LOR PERRYHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
TARIQ WOOLENHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
MORRIS JOSEPH JR.HS RECRUITDT★3UNR
B.J. DANIELSHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
FRANK HARRISHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
JAVONTAVIUS MOSLEYHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
CHANCE MCLEODHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
JAYLON HAYNESHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT21 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAYLON HENDERSONELIGIBILITY UPQBUNR—
CHASE DAHLQUISTNOT LISTEDSUNR—
JARED JOHNSONNOT LISTEDQB★2—
JARROD MCLINNOT LISTEDDE★3—
JORDAN MOORENOT LISTEDSUNR—
TREVOR STEVENSNOT LISTEDTEUNR—
JABRYCE TAYLORNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
ANEAS HENRICKSNOT LISTEDCBUNR—
MICHAEL EGWUAGUNOT LISTEDSUNR—
ARON TAYLORNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#75NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 22 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8158COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
123TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
22
31
30
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +7 W
IMPROVED59 OF 123
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST71% BACK71th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG71% BACK71th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR80%80th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE