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● LIVE|2018 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›UTSA›2018TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|FRANK WILSON|—RECORD3-9|CONF—
UTSA125 FPIAAC · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
32FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#850 BC / 16
BC RATIO
3%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
3-9ACTUALvs1.6-10.4FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.4 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN-17.0
3 wins against a scoring profile describing 1.6. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
32MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1AARIZONA STATE—L 7-49806161-59BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 8HBAYLOR—L 20-37774949-47BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 15AKANSAS STATE—L 17-41554141-39BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 22HTEXAS STATE—W 25-2191212-10BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 29HUTEP—W 30-211500+2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 6ARICE—W 20-32411+1BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 13HLOUISIANA TECH—L 3-31452828-26BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 20ASOUTHERN MISS—L 17-27272929-27BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3AUAB—L 3-52284343-41BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10HFLORIDA INTERNATIONAL—L 7-45442626-24BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17AMARSHALL—L 0-23414444-42BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24HNORTH TEXAS—L 21-24235050-48BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET3NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
14
CORDALE GRUNDYQB SERET
UNR—00%——
15
D.J. GILLINSQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
17
BRYCE RIVERSQB SORET
★3—00%——
15
JORDAN WEEKSQB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
13
BRANDON GARZAQB SERET
UNR—00%——
10
LOWELL NARCISSEQB JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
FRANK HARRISQB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
11
LIAM BEARDQB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET52NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
34
HALEN STEWARDRB SERET
UNR—00%——
5
JALEN RHODESRB SERET
UNR—00%——
33
B.J. DANIELSRB SERET
★3—00%——
5
BRENDEN BRADYRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
24
DEVEN BOSTONRB SERET
UNR—00%——
31
KADARI JOHNSONRB SERET
UNR—00%——
31
ORRYN NICHOLSONRB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
86
T.J. KINGTE JURET
UNR—00%——
19
BLAZE MOORHEADWR SERET
UNR—00%——
16
KIRK JOHNSON JR.WR JURET
UNR—00%——
10
GREG CAMPBELL JR.WR SERET
UNR—00%——
84
LARRY STEPHENSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
89
MATT GUIDRYWR JURET
UNR—00%——
18
PEYTON HALLWR SERET
UNR—00%——
4
MARQUEZ MCNAIRWR SERET
UNR—00%——
85
CARTER MCCARTHYTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
11
TYKEE OGLE-KELLOGGWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
86
PETER GRAYTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
87
GAVIN SHARPTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
13
SHELDON JONESWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
20
BRETT WINNEGANWR SERET
UNR—00%——
37
MYLES BENNINGTE SERET
UNR—00%——
32
TERENCE SHAW IIWR JURET
UNR—00%——
30
JAYLON DUKESWR JURET
UNR—00%——
21
REGGIE ROSSWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
41
ANDREW ACOSTATE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
88
KAREEM ADENIYIWR SONO SNAPS
★2—00%——
45
KE'CHAWN COMPTONTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
LEROY WATSONTE SERET
UNR—00%——
80
LA'THANIEL WASHINGTONWR —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
16
KIRK JOHNSON JR.WR —RET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS16 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
SPENCER BURFORDHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
TYKEE OGLE-KELLOGGHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
TRUMANE BELLHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
SHELDON JONESHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
BRENDEN BRADYHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
COREY MAYFIELD JR.HS RECRUITATH★3UNR
BRANDON MATTERSONHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
ANDREW MCGOWANHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JARRETT PRESTONHS RECRUITS★3UNR
PETER GRAYHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT24 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MARCUS DAVENPORTNFL DRAFT R1DEUNR—
N'KEAL BAILEYNOT LISTEDCBUNR—
MARCOS CURRYNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
DANIEL PORTILLONOT LISTEDPKUNR—
DANNON CAVILNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
FRANKLIN UESINOT LISTEDDEUNR—
AUSTIN JUPENOT LISTEDCBUNR—
MATT BAYLISSNOT LISTED?UNR—
DALTON STURMNOT LISTEDQBUNR—
NATE GAINESNOT LISTEDSUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#85NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 16 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8186COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
63TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
14
23
8
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED15 OF 63
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST27% BACK27th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG27% BACK27th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR3%3th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE