SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2019 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›UTSA›2019TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2019 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|FRANK WILSON|—RECORD4-8|CONF—
UTSA123 FPIAAC · 2019 SEASON
TALENT
39FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#960 BC / 16
BC RATIO
2%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2019 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
4-8ACTUALvs2.8-9.2FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-0
AVG SCORING MARGIN-13.6
4 wins against a scoring profile describing 2.8. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
40MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HINCARNATE WORD—W 35-7————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 7ABAYLOR#13L 14-63758787-82BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 14HARMY—L 13-3174545-40BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21ANORTH TEXAS—L 3-45372929-24BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5AUTEP—W 26-161722+3BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12HUAB—L 14-33324949-44BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19HRICE—W 31-272377-2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2ATEXAS A&M—L 14-45928585-80BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9AOLD DOMINION—W 24-232033+2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16HSOUTHERN MISS—L 17-36363232-27BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23HFLORIDA ATLANTIC—L 26-40465252-47BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30ALOUISIANA TECH—L 27-41445353-48BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET69NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
LOWELL NARCISSEQB JURET
★4—00%——
14
CORDALE GRUNDYQB SERET
UNR—00%——
FRANK HARRISQB SERET
★3—00%——
15
JORDAN WEEKSQB SORET
★3—00%——
13
BRANDON GARZAQB SERET
UNR—00%——
14
SUDDIN SAPIENQB FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET65NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
24
DEVEN BOSTONRB SERET
UNR—00%——
23
SINCERE MCCORMICKRB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
33
B.J. DANIELSRB SERET
★3—00%——
5
BRENDEN BRADYRB SERET
★3—00%——
34
HALEN STEWARDRB SERET
UNR—00%——
31
KADARI JOHNSONRB SERET
UNR—00%——
29
MATTHEW WATTYRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
19
BLAZE MOORHEADWR SERET
UNR—00%——
37
MYLES BENNINGTE SERET
UNR—00%——
16
KIRK JOHNSON JR.WR JURET
UNR—00%——
89
LEROY WATSONTE SERET
UNR—00%——
4
ZAKHARI FRANKLINWR SENO SNAPS
★2★300%—ROSE
2
JOSHUA CEPHUSWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
85
CARLOS STRICKLAND IIWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
11
TYKEE OGLE-KELLOGGWR SERET
★3—00%——
87
GAVIN SHARPTE SERET
UNR—00%——
1
DE'CORIAN CLARKWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
13
SHELDON JONESWR JURET
★3—00%——
20
BRETT WINNEGANWR SERET
UNR—00%——
32
TERENCE SHAW IIWR JURET
UNR—00%——
30
JAYLON DUKESWR JURET
UNR—00%——
21
REGGIE ROSSWR SORET
UNR—00%——
41
ANDREW ACOSTATE JURET
UNR—00%——
88
KAREEM ADENIYIWR SORET
★2—00%——
86
PETER GRAYTE SERET
★3—00%——
82
ANDREW MCGOWANWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
81
CADE STOEVERWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
45
KE'CHAWN COMPTONTE SERET
UNR—00%——
84
OSCAR CARDENASTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
82
EMMANUEL ODETOLAWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
47
STEVEN DADZIEWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
35
NATHAN GUYTONTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
17
JOSEPH RICHARDSONWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
16
KIRK JOHNSON JR.WR —RET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS16 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DYWAN GRIFFINHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
RASHAD WISDOMHS RECRUITS★3UNR
RONNIE JACKSONHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
SINCERE MCCORMICKHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
DE'CORIAN CLARKHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
SUDDIN SAPIENHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
CEDRIC CLAIBORNEHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
JAHMAL SAMHS RECRUITS★3UNR
OSCAR CARDENASHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
KENNETH ROBINSONHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT23 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BRENNDAN JOHNSONLOUISIANAS★2UNR
JIM PHILISTINRHODE ISLANDDTUNRUNR
BRYCE RIVERSNORTHWESTERN STATEQB★3UNR
JARED SACKETTELIGIBILITY UPPK★3—
D.J. GILLINSELIGIBILITY UPQBUNR—
STANLEY DYE JR.ELIGIBILITY UPCBUNR—
GREG CAMPBELL JR.ELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
LARRY STEPHENSELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
JALEN RHODESELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
YANNIS ROUTSASELIGIBILITY UPPUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#96NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 16 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8132COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNINGANY — MERGEDQUARTERBACKANY — MERGED
19TEAMS
MATCHED THIS
-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
3
5
6
3
2
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +0.5 W
FULL RANGE-6 TO +6 W
IMPROVED5 OF 19
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THIS PROFILE WAS TOO RARE TO STAND ALONE AND A BROADER CELL IS SHOWN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST63% BACK63th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG63% BACK63th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR69%69th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE