SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2018 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›VANDERBILT›2018TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
SEC|DEREK MASON|—RECORD6-6|CONF—
VANDERBILT53 FPISEC · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
69FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#413 BC / 21
BC RATIO
12%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
6-6ACTUALvs6.7-5.3FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.7 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN+2.6
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.7. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
74MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1HMIDDLE TENNESSEE—W 35-7343030+41BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 8HNEVADA—W 41-10374141+30BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 15ANOTRE DAME#5L 17-22939191-20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 22HSOUTH CAROLINA—L 14-37858585-14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 29HTENNESSEE STATE—W 31-27————NON-FBS OPPONENT
6OCT 6AGEORGIA#7L 13-41999999-28BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 13HFLORIDA#7L 27-37919494-23BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 20AKENTUCKY#12L 7-14778181-10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 27AARKANSAS—W 45-31816060+11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10AMISSOURI—L 28-33679191-20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17HOLE MISS—W 36-29857575-4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24HTENNESSEE—W 38-13906464+7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET94NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
15
MO HASANQB SERET
UNR—00%——
14
KYLE SHURMURQB SERET
UNR—00%——
2
DEUCE WALLACEQB JURET
★3—00%——
12
JACK BOWENQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET25NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
JA'VEON MARLOWRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
5
KE'SHAWN VAUGHNRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
32
JAMAURI WAKEFIELDRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
23
KHARI BLASINGAMERB SERET
UNR—00%——
6
JOSH CRAWFORDRB JURET
UNR—00%——
44
WILL CLARKFB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
25
MITCHELL PRYORRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
43
JOSH HIGGSFB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
27
JAIRE GEORGEFB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
14
CAM JOHNSONWR SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
19
CHRIS PIERCEWR SERET
★3—00%——
11
AMIR ABDUR-RAHMANWR JURET
★3—00%——
16
KALIJA LIPSCOMBWR SERET
★3—00%——
3
CJ BOLARWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
80
JARED PINKNEYTE SERET
UNR—00%——
45
CODY MARKELTE SERET
★2—00%——
36
TREY ELLISWR SERET
UNR—00%——
84
SAM DOBBSTE SERET
UNR—00%——
4
DONAVEN TENNYSONWR JURET
★3—00%——
CHRIS PEARCEWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
BRADEN KOPPTE JURET
★3—00%——
13
JACKSON WINROWWR SERET
★3—00%——
11
JUSTICE SHELTON-MOSLEYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
18
JAMES BOSTICWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
17
KEITHIAN STARLINGWR SERET
UNR—00%——
35
KYLE WHITETE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
11
ALEX STUMPWR —RET
UNR—00%——
82
TURNER COCKRELLTE —RET
★3—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS21 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ALSTON ORJIHS RECRUITILB★4UNR
CAM JOHNSONHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
BRENDON HARRISHS RECRUITS★4UNR
SALUA MASINAHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
TRE DOUGLASHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
ALLAN WALTERSHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
DAN DAWKINSHS RECRUITOC★3UNR
GAVIN SCHOENWALDHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
DASHAUN JERKINSHS RECRUITS★3UNR
C.J. BOLARHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT21 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
SHAWN STANKAVAGERICEQBUNRUNR
OREN BURKSNFL DRAFT R3LBUNR—
JONATHAN WYNNNOT LISTEDDLUNR—
TRE HERNDONNOT LISTEDCBUNR—
NIFAE LEALAONOT LISTEDDLUNR—
BRYCE LEWISNOT LISTEDCBUNR—
DALLAS RIVERSNOT LISTEDRBUNR—
CALEB SCOTTNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
TRENT SHERFIELDNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
EMMANUEL SMITHNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#41NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
3OF 21 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8619COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
134TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
13
19
35
37
30
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-9 TO +6 W
IMPROVED67 OF 134
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST60% BACK60th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG60% BACK60th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR94%94th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE