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● LIVE|2019 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›VIRGINIA›2019TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2019 FINAL
ACC|BRONCO MENDENHALL|—RECORD9-4|CONF—
VIRGINIA42 FPIACC · 2019 SEASON
TALENT
58FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#391 BC / 23
BC RATIO
1%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2019 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
9-4ACTUALvs8.0-5.0FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.0 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+5.9
9 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.0. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
58MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31APITTSBURGH—W 30-14706464+3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 6HWILLIAM & MARY—W 52-17————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 14HFLORIDA STATE—W 31-24965757+10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21HOLD DOMINION—W 28-172033+64BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28ANOTRE DAME#12L 20-35918686-19BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 11AMIAMI—L 9-17887676-9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19HDUKE—W 48-14694848+19BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26ALOUISVILLE—L 21-28735353+14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2ANORTH CAROLINA—W 38-31807878-11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9HGEORGIA TECH—W 33-28681515+52BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23HLIBERTY—W 55-2764343+24BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14NOV 29HVIRGINIA TECH—W 39-30807171-4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
15DEC 7ACLEMSON#2L 17-62949898-31BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
BRYCE PERKINSQB SERET
UNR—00%——
36
LINDELL STONEQB SERET
★3—00%——
5
BRENNAN ARMSTRONGQB SERET
★3★400%—ROSE
13
JARED RAYMANQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
LAMONT ATKINSRB JURET
★3—00%——
6
PK KIERRB JURET
★3★300%—HELD
31
CHRIS SHARPRB SERET
UNR—00%——
96
SENECA MILLEDGERB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
7
MIKE HOLLINSRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
JAMARI PEACOCKFB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
2
PERRIS JONESRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
21
WAYNE TAULAPAPARB SERET
★3—00%——
JUSTIN ZOLLARRB SERET
UNR—00%——
DYLAN CRAWFORDFB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
7
RJ HARVEYRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
TERRELL CHATMANWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
DEJON BRISSETTWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
2
JOE REEDWR SERET
★3—00%——
44
TANNER COWLEYTE SERET
UNR—00%——
8
HASISE DUBOISWR SERET
★3—00%——
13
TERRELL JANAWR SERET
★3—00%——
18
HAYDEN MITCHELLWR JURET
UNR—00%——
26
JAYLON BAKERWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
88
TAVARES KELLY JR.WR JURET
UNR—00%——
1
BILLY KEMP IVWR SERET
★3—00%——
85
GRANT MISCHTE SERET
★3—00%——
3
DONTAYVION WICKSWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
18
BEN HOGGWR SERET
UNR—00%——
46
CHRISTIAN BAUMGARDNERTE JURET
★3—00%——
19
CHUCK DAVISWR JURET
UNR—00%——
80
JALEN HARRISONWR SERET
★2—00%——
SHANE EILERSWR SORET
UNR—00%——
TRISTAN HILLERICHWR SORET
UNR—00%——
T.J. KITTSTE JURET
UNR—00%——
18
JOSH CLIFFORDWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
9
UGO OBASIWR SERET
★3—00%——
82
BRANDON WHITEWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
13
NATHANIEL BEAL IIIWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
DORIEN GODDARDWR FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
80
LUKE WENTZWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
JOHN IZLARWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
86
ZACK KINDELWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
87
MIKE KOSARTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
38
SEAN MOOREWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
ANDREW SPAZIANIWR JURET
UNR—00%——
88
TAVARES KELLY JR.WR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS23 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JOWON BRIGGSHS RECRUITDT★4UNR
HUNTER STEWARTHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
NICK JACKSONHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
BEN SMILEY IIIHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
JA'QUAY HUBBARDHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
DONTAYVION WICKSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
SENECA MILLEDGEHS RECRUITAPB★3UNR
MIKE HOLLINSHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
D'SEAN PERRYHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
NATHANIEL BEAL IIIHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT10 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JUAN THORNHILLNFL DRAFT R2?UNR—
DYLAN THOMPSONELIGIBILITY UPNTUNR—
TIM HARRISELIGIBILITY UPCBUNR—
MALCOLM COOKELIGIBILITY UPILBUNR—
JAKE FIELERELIGIBILITY UPGUNR—
JORDAN ELLISELIGIBILITY UP?UNR—
EVAN BUTTSELIGIBILITY UPTEUNR—
CHRIS PEACEELIGIBILITY UPOLBUNR—
OLAMIDE ZACCHEAUSELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
R.J. PROCTORELIGIBILITY UPGUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#39NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
1OF 23 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8606COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
134TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
13
19
35
37
30
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-9 TO +6 W
IMPROVED67 OF 134
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST67% BACK67th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG67% BACK67th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE