SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2021 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›VIRGINIA TECH›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
ACC|JUSTIN FUENTE|—RECORD6-6|CONF—
VIRGINIA TECH63 FPIACC · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
72FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-12IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#451 BC / 30
BC RATIO
17%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
6-6ACTUALvs6.6-5.4FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.6 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN+1.9
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.6. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
52MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3HNORTH CAROLINA—W 17-10885555-8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 11HMIDDLE TENNESSEE—W 35-14423131+16BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 18AWEST VIRGINIA—L 21-27604545+2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 25HRICHMOND—W 21-10————NON-FBS OPPONENT
6OCT 9HNOTRE DAME#8L 29-32929292-45BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 16HPITTSBURGH#13L 7-28749494-47BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 23HSYRACUSE—L 36-41504040+7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 30AGEORGIA TECH—W 26-17772626+21BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5ABOSTON COLLEGE—L 3-17644343+4BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 13HDUKE—W 48-17571313+34BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 20AMIAMI—L 26-38917676-29BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 27AVIRGINIA—W 29-24625858-11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET36NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
KNOX KADUMQB SORET
★3—00%——
12
TAHJ BULLOCKQB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
5
BRAXTON BURMEISTERQB SERET
★4—00%——
18
JOSHUA FORBURGERQB FRRET
UNR—00%——
4
CONNOR BLUMRICKQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET41NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
RAHEEM BLACKSHEARRB JURET
★3—00%——
JALEN HOLSTONRB SERET
★3—00%——
4
KESHAWN KINGRB SERET
★4★400%—HELD
7
ELIJAH HOWARDRB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
29
MARCO LEE JR.RB SERET
UNR—00%——
24
MALACHI THOMASRB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
38
NASHUN OVERTONRB FRRET
UNR—00%——
8
TAHJ GARYRB JURET
★3—00%——
23
JALEN HAMPTONRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
6
JORDAN BRUNSONRB SERET
★3—00%——
28
CHANCE BLACKRB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
3
KENJI CHRISTIANRB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
89
DRAKE DE IULIISTE SERET
UNR—00%——
11
TRE TURNERWR JURET
★4—00%——
82
JAMES MITCHELLTE JURET
★4—00%——
9
TAYVION ROBINSONWR 5TRET
★3—00%——
80
KALEB SMITHWR SERET
★3★400%—ROSE
86
NICK GALLOTE SERET
★3—00%——
5
DA'WAIN LOFTONWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
14
JADEN PAYOUTEWR FRRET
★4—00%——
4
CONNOR BLUMRICKTE SENO SNAPS
★3★300%——
13
CHANGA HODGEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
42
COLE BLAKERTE JURET
UNR—00%——
34
TINK BOYDWR SERET
UNR—00%——
38
TY ELLERTE SERET
UNR—00%——
18
WILLIAM KAKAVITSASWR JURET
UNR—00%——
92
SAM BROOKSTE FRRET
★3—00%——
94
CONNER DUSENBURYWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
31
TREVOR JACKSONWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
16
DALLAN WRIGHTWR JURET
★3★300%—HELD
83
D.J. SIMSWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
44
JARED GIBBLETE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
17
EDDIE OZYCZWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
5
CHRISTIAN MOSSWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
93
LANCE LACNYTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS24 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DJ HARVEYHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
JACK HOLLIFIELDHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
KENJI CHRISTIANHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
JADEN KELLERHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
ELIJAH HOWARDHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
JALEN STROMANHS RECRUITS★3UNR
KELI LAWSONHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
JAYLEN JONESHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
MATTHEUS CARROLLHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
COLE NELSONHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN1 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JORDAN WILLIAMSCLEMSONDT★4★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT15 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
HENDON HOOKERTENNESSEEQB★4★3
ZION DEBOSEKANSASDE★3★3
DASHAWN CRAWFORDSOUTHERN MISSDLUNR★3
DIVINE DEABLONFL DRAFT R3DB★3—
KHALIL HERBERTNFL DRAFT R6RB★3—
QUINCY PATTERSONELIGIBILITY UPQB★4—
JUSTUS REEDELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
EVAN FAIRSELIGIBILITY UPWR★3—
JARROD HEWITTELIGIBILITY UPDL★3—
OSCAR BRADBURNELIGIBILITY UPP★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#45NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
1OF 30 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8518COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
719 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
39TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
2
14
4
12
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.5 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-5 TO +8 W
IMPROVED19 OF 39
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST53% BACK53th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG53% BACK53th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR36%36th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE