SCOUTTEAM
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SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
ACC|DAVE CLAWSON|—RECORD8-5|CONF—
WAKE FOREST32 FPIACC · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
52FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
14%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#712 BC / 15
BC RATIO
5%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
7-5ACTUALvs7.6-4.4FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.6 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN+7.6
7 wins against a scoring profile describing 7.6. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE77
PERFORMANCE77
TALENT51
CONTINUITY14
DEFENSE59
PERFORMANCE59
TALENT55
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
57MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1HVMI—W 44-10————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 10AVANDERBILT—W 45-25593535+33BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 17HLIBERTY—W 37-3664444+24BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24HCLEMSON#13L 45-51979191-23BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1AFLORIDA STATE#11W 31-21888383-15BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 8HARMY—W 45-1014444+24BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22HBOSTON COLLEGE—W 43-15701313+55BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 29ALOUISVILLE—L 21-48577171-3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5ANC STATE—L 21-30756363+5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12HNORTH CAROLINA—L 34-36896565+3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19HSYRACUSE—W 45-35535353+15BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26ADUKE—L 31-34555858+10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 23AMISSOURI—W 27-17786767+1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB48TAL97PERF48RET100ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 9 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
SAM HARTMANQB SERET
★3★49690%+25ROSE
12
MITCH GRIFFISQB SERET
★3★3469%+5HELD
15
MICHAEL KERNQB SERET
★3—81%+37—
18
SANTINO MARUCCIQB JURET
★3★300%—HELD
10
BRETT GRIFFISQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
3
TROY HOILMANQB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB50TAL70PERF50RET94ONE OWNERn=3 · 5 METRICS · 13 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
JUSTICE ELLISONRB SERET
★3★38748%-15HELD
28
CHRISTIAN TURNERRB SERET
★3★37732%-23HELD
20
QUINTON COOLEYRB SERET
★3★35813%+12HELD
1
DEMOND CLAIBORNERB SENO SNAPS
★4—313%-46—
41
WILL TOWNSRB SORET
★3—313%+27—
30
TATE CARNEYRB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
21
ZACH IGWEBERB JURET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE50TAL48PERF57RET75ONE OWNERn=7 · 8 METRICS · 47 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
A.T. PERRYWR JURET
★3—9826%+31—
85
BLAKE WHITEHEARTTE JURET
★3—9565%+17—
3
DONAVON GREENEWR SERET
★4★39020%+20FELL
2
TAYLOR MORINWR SERET
★3—8718%+16—
80
JAHMAL BANKSWR SERET
★3★48316%+26ROSE
5
KE'SHAWN WILLIAMSWR SERET
★3★38216%+24HELD
83
JAEGER BULLTE SENO SNAPS
★2—6622%-19—
20
CAMERON HITETE SERET
★3—479%——
84
JACKSON HENSLEYWR FRRET
★3★3412%—HELD
81
NICK RAGANOWR SERET
UNR—371%——
6
WESLEY GRIMESWR SENO SNAPS
★4★3371%—FELL
82
TREY BOLLTE JURET
★3★3334%—HELD
83
GAVIN ELLISTE SORET
★3—91%——
44
RYAN DUPONTTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—40%——
17
MICHAEL FROGGETE JURET
★3—00%——
88
ANDY ELKINS JR.WR SORET
UNR—00%——
32
JARRETT BROWNWR SORET
UNR—00%——
29
CHRISTIAN GREENEWR JURET
★3—00%——
12
DEZ WILLIAMSWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
5
HORATIO FIELDSWR SERET
★3★400%—ROSE
19
JAYDN GIRARDWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
47
HARRY LODGETE JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
88
IAN VER STEEGWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
85
AK KELLYWR FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
43
MASON ANDRADETE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
46
KEVIN CHECKTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
58
MATTHEW LUSARDITE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
48
WESLEY STROBELWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL58TAL35PERF58RET37n=6 · 3 METRICS · 18 OBS
▸DL73TAL61PERF73RET83n=9 · 8 METRICS · 49 OBS
▸LB56TAL50PERF56RET98n=5 · 11 METRICS · 34 OBS
▸DB45TAL50PERF45RET89n=11 · 8 METRICS · 65 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS15 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
WESLEY GRIMESHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
DEMOND CLAIBORNEHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
ELI HALLHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
DERRELL JOHNSON IIHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
ZAMARI STEVENSONHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
JAYDN GIRARDHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
BRETT GRIFFISHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
JALEN SWINDELLHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
ANDRE HODGEHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
TOMMY BEBIEHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT19 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CHRISTIAN BEAL-SMITHSOUTH CAROLINARB★3UNR
DJ TAYLORBOWLING GREENLBUNRUNR
AHMANI MARSHALLAPP STATERB★3UNR
JA'SIR TAYLORELIGIBILITY UPDB★3—
LUKE MASTERSONELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
TRAVEON REDDELIGIBILITY UPDB★3—
SULAIMAN KAMARAELIGIBILITY UPDL★3—
BRANDON CHAPMANELIGIBILITY UPTE★3—
DONALD STEWARTELIGIBILITY UPWR★3—
ZION KEITHELIGIBILITY UPS★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#71NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
2OF 15 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8590COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
134TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
13
19
35
37
30
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-9 TO +6 W
IMPROVED67 OF 134
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST78% BACK78th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG78% BACK78th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR37%37th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST89%89th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE