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HOME›TEAMS›WASHINGTON STATE›2023TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2023 FINAL
PAC-12|JAKE DICKERT|—RECORD5-7|CONF—
WASHINGTON STATE50 FPIPAC · 2023 SEASON
TALENT
46FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
66%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
75%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-27IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#630 BC / 33
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2023 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
5-7ACTUALvs6.8-5.2FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.8 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-4
AVG SCORING MARGIN+3.6
5 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.8. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE71
PERFORMANCE71
TALENT64
CONTINUITY66
DEFENSE78
PERFORMANCE78
TALENT50
CONTINUITY75
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
61MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2ACOLORADO STATE—W 50-24222727+36BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9HWISCONSIN—W 31-22797878-15BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16HNORTHERN COLORADO—W 64-21————NON-FBS OPPONENT
4SEP 23HOREGON STATE—W 38-35618686-23BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7AUCLA—L 17-25828080-17BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14HARIZONA#11L 6-44708787-24BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21AOREGON#6L 24-38939898-35BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28AARIZONA STATE—L 27-38692020+43BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4HSTANFORD—L 7-10741919+44BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11ACALIFORNIA—L 39-42685050+13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17HCOLORADO—W 56-14753939+24BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25AWASHINGTON#2L 21-24829191-28BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB49TAL99PERF49RET99ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 9 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
CAM WARDQB SERET
★3★49996%+26ROSE
10
JOHN MATEERQB SERET
★3★4293%—ROSE
19
EMMETT BROWNQB JURET
★3★3101%—HELD
5
JAXON POTTERQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
16
BRADY MCKELHEERQB FRTRUE FR
★2★200%—HELD
▾RB43TAL68PERF43RET70ONE OWNERn=3 · 9 METRICS · 16 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
25
NAKIA WATSONRB SERET
★3★39060%0HELD
15
DJOUVENSKY SCHLENBAKERRB SORET
★3★36622%-28HELD
5
JAYLEN JENKINSRB SERET
★3★3558%+7HELD
30
DYLAN PAINERB SERET
★2★25211%+18HELD
20
LEO PULALASIRB JUNO SNAPS
★3★3457%+29HELD
28
ISAAC SMITHRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
43
KSON MIKARB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE69TAL66PERF67RET42ROTATIONn=8 · 7 METRICS · 46 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
JOSH KELLYWR SEPORTAL · FRESNO STATE
★3★49926%+17ROSE
2
KYLE WILLIAMSWR SEPORTAL · UNLV
★3★39925%+12HELD
5
LINCOLN VICTORWR SERET
★3★39722%+6HELD
8
CARLOS HERNANDEZWR SENO SNAPS
★3★37110%-14HELD
24
COOPER MATHERSTE SERET
UNR—7040%+20—
9
ISAIAH HAMILTONWR SEPORTAL · SAN JOSÉ STATE
★2★3709%+5ROSE
87
ANDRE DOLLARTE JURET
★3—6326%-41—
42
BILLY RIVIERE IIITE SERET
UNR—6124%+11—
0
DT SHEFFIELDWR SENO SNAPS
UNR★3483%—EMERGED
82
CAMERON JOHNSONTE SERET
UNR—4510%——
4
TSION NUNNALLYWR SORET
★3★3442%-1HELD
18
JOSHUA MEREDITHWR SERET
★3—422%——
27
HUDSON CEDARLANDTE SERET
★3★3282%—HELD
8
BRANDEN GANASHAMOORTHYWR JUNO SNAPS
★2—170%——
12
LEON NEAL JR.WR SERET
UNR★3130%—EMERGED
20
ORION PETERSWR SORET
★3★3100%+8HELD
18
COLE PRUETTWR JURET
★2★2100%—HELD
10
LEYTON SMITHSONWR SERET
★3—00%-42—
86
MAHKI WHITNEYTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
88
MASON JUERGENSWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
23
TREY LECKNERTE JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
8
BRANDON HILLSWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
19
VAN FESSLERWR SORET
UNR—00%——
89
LUKE LEIGHTONTE SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
36
JALEN RIDGEWAYTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
36
BEN DUTTONTE SONO SNAPS
★2★200%—HELD
▸OL54TAL55PERF54RET79n=7 · 3 METRICS · 20 OBS
▸DL56TAL63PERF56RET86n=10 · 7 METRICS · 46 OBS
▸LB47TAL29PERF47RET44n=3 · 10 METRICS · 28 OBS
▸DB64TAL48PERF64RET78n=9 · 8 METRICS · 48 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS18 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ETHAN O'CONNORHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
NOAH DUNHAMHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
ADRIAN WILSONHS RECRUITS★3UNR
WARREN SMITH JR.HS RECRUITCB★3UNR
CARLOS HERNANDEZHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
LEO PULALASIHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
TREY LECKNERHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
ISAAC TERRELLHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
NATHAN PRITCHARDHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
BRANDON HILLS JR.HS RECRUITWR★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN7 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KYLE WILLIAMSUNLVWR★3★3
JOSH KELLYFRESNO STATEWR★3★3
ISAIAH HAMILTONSAN JOSÉ STATEWR★2★3
AHMAD MCCULLOUGHMARYLANDLBUNR★3
DOMINIC TATUMUTAH STATECB★3★3
NA'IM RODMANCOLORADODL★3★3
DEVIN RICHARDSONTEXASLB★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT27 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JARRETT KINGSTONUSCOL★3★3
FRANCISCO MAUIGOAMIAMILB★5★4
DE'ZHAUN STRIBLINGOKLAHOMA STATEWR★3★4
DONOVAN OLLIECINCINNATIWR★3★3
ARMAUNI ARCHIEUCONNDB★3★3
ANDERSON GROVERSACRAMENTO STATEWRUNR★2
GABRIEL LOPEZNEW MEXICODT★3★3
TRAVION BROWNARIZONA STATELB★3★3
GRANT STEPHENSELIGIBILITY UPOLUNR—
ARMANI MARSHELIGIBILITY UPDB★2—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES21%4 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS61%8 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#63NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 33 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8229COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
936 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKRETURNS
32TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
8
9
5
6
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-6 TO +5 W
IMPROVED11 OF 32
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST83% BACK83th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG83% BACK83th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR79%79th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR99%99th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST78%78th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE