SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2019 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›WESTERN KENTUCKY›2019TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2019 FINAL
CONFERENCE USA|TYSON HELTON|—RECORD8-4|CONF—
WESTERN KENTUCKY74 FPICUSA · 2019 SEASON
TALENT
41FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#860 BC / 21
BC RATIO
5%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2019 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
8-4ACTUALvs7.7-4.3FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+5.5
8 wins against a scoring profile describing 7.7. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
33MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 29HCENTRAL ARKANSAS—L 28-35————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 7AFLORIDA INTERNATIONAL—W 20-14472525+31BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 14HLOUISVILLE—L 21-38735353+3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28HUAB—W 20-13324949+7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5AOLD DOMINION—W 20-32033+53BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12HARMY—W 17-874545+11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19HCHARLOTTE—W 30-14212727+29BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26AMARSHALL—L 23-26434747+9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2HFLORIDA ATLANTIC—L 24-35465252+4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9AARKANSAS—W 45-19821717+39BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23ASOUTHERN MISS—W 28-10363232+24BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30HMIDDLE TENNESSEE—W 31-26341616+40BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET77NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
STEVEN DUNCANQB SERET
★2—00%——
4
TY STOREYQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
12
DAVIS SHANLEYQB JURET
★2★200%—HELD
8
KEVARIS THOMASQB SORET
★3★300%——
15
SEAN MCCORMACKQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
8
KEVARIS THOMASQB —RET
★3★300%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET72NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
JAKAIRI MOSESRB JURET
★2—00%——
20
MARCELIS LOGANRB SERET
UNR—00%——
8
GINO APPLEBERRYRB JURET
★3—00%——
5
GAEJ WALKERRB SERET
★2★200%—HELD
35
KESHAWN MCCLENDONRB JURET
UNR—00%——
3
JOSH SAMUELRB SERET
★3—00%——
13
TRE BASSRB FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
28
GINO APPLEBERRY, JR.RB —RET
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
42
KYLE FOURTENBARYTE JURET
★2—00%——
48
STEVEN WITCHOSKEYTE SERET
★2—00%——
11
LUCKY JACKSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
16
QUIN JERNIGHANWR SERET
UNR—00%——
2
JACQUEZ SLOANWR SERET
★2★200%—HELD
9
XAVIER LANEWR SERET
★3—00%——
3
TYLER SMITHWR SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
6
JOSHUA SIMONTE SENO SNAPS
★3★400%—ROSE
80
JAHCOUR PEARSONWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
83
MARCUS FLOYDWR SERET
UNR—00%——
88
MATTHEW SMITHWR JURET
UNR—00%——
17
JOEY BELJANTE SENO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
17
DALVIN SMITHWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
19
DAYTON WADEWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
21
JEREMIAH FAILSWR FRTRUE FR
★2★200%—HELD
81
OLIVER PARKERWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
7
TEREZ TRAYNORWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
86
TEEJAY TAYLORWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS21 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MANUEL ALLENHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
TYLER SMITHHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
CLAYTON BUSHHS RECRUITS★3UNR
JACK RANDOLPHHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
STEPHONE ATKINSONHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
TONY REGISTERHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
DALVIN SMITHHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
CORY MUNSONHS RECRUITK★3UNR
RICKY BARBERHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
DAYLEN POWELLHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT21 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BEN HOLTPURDUELBUNRUNR
DRELL GREENEELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
DER'QUIONE MOBLEYELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
DREW ECKELSELIGIBILITY UPQBUNR—
DEANDRE FARRISELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
MASAI WHYTEELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
D'ANDRE FERBYELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
EVAN SAYNERELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
JULIEN LEWISELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
ROBERT CRAWFORDELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#86NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 21 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8117COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
119TEAMS
MATCHED THIS
+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
16
38
33
21
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED54 OF 119
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST78% BACK78th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG78% BACK78th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR77%77th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE