SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2021 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›WESTERN KENTUCKY›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
CONFERENCE USA|TYSON HELTON|—RECORD8-5|CONF—
WESTERN KENTUCKY41 FPICUSA · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
47FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-5IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1360 BC / 6
BC RATIO
7%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
8-5ACTUALvs9.4-3.6FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.4 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-4
AVG SCORING MARGIN+14.4
8 wins against a scoring profile describing 9.4. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
36MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2HUT MARTIN—W 59-21————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 11AARMY—L 35-3855252+30BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 25HINDIANA—L 31-33732323+59BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5OCT 2AMICHIGAN STATE#9L 31-48747979+3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 9HUTSA—L 46-52445656+26BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 16AOLD DOMINION—W 43-20252424+58BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 23AFLORIDA INTERNATIONAL—W 34-194644+78BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 30HCHARLOTTE—W 45-13371212+70BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 6HMIDDLE TENNESSEE—W 48-21423131+51BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 13ARICE—W 42-212833+79BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 20HFLORIDA ATLANTIC—W 52-17492929+53BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 27AMARSHALL—W 53-21366161+21BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14DEC 3AUTSA—L 41-49445656+26BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
BAILEY ZAPPEQB SEPORTAL · HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
UNR★300%—EMERGED
3
CARSON BAKERQB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
14
CHANCE MCDONALDQB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
12
DREW ZAUBIQB SONO SNAPS
★2—00%——
16
AUSTIN REEDQB SENO SNAPS
UNR★400%—EMERGED
13
DARIUS OCEANQB FRRET
★2★200%—HELD
7
GRADY ROBISONQB FRRET
★3—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET35NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
ADAM COFIELDRB SEPORTAL · NORTH DAKOTA STATE
★2★200%—HELD
3
JAKAIRI MOSESRB JURET
★2—00%——
6
NOAH WHITTINGTONRB SERET
★3—00%——
5
KYE ROBICHAUXRB SENO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
34
JAMALE CAROTHERSFB JUPORTAL · NAVY
★3★300%—HELD
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
BEN RATZLAFFWR —PORTAL · HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
UNR—00%——
7
DAEWOOD DAVISWR SEPORTAL · OREGON
★3★300%—HELD
22
DEANGELO WILSONWR —PORTAL · AUSTIN PEAY
★2★200%—HELD
88
MATTHEW SMITHWR JURET
UNR—00%——
8
JARRETH STERNSWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
23
KENDALL ABDUR-RAHMANWR SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
11
MALACHI CORLEYWR JURET
★2—00%——
9
JOSH STERNSWR SOPORTAL · HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
★2★200%—HELD
5
MITCHELL TINSLEYWR SERET
★3—00%——
19
CRAIG BURT JR.WR SERET
UNR—00%——
82
KYLE MCNAMARAWR JUNO SNAPS
★2★200%—HELD
5
DAKOTA THOMASWR SERET
★3—00%——
17
JOEY BELJANTE SERET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
17
DALVIN SMITHWR SERET
★3—00%——
6
JOSHUA SIMONTE SERET
★3★400%—ROSE
4
MICHAEL MATHISONWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
81
DANE SALTARELLITE JUPORTAL · OKLAHOMA
★2★200%—HELD
19
DAYTON WADEWR SERET
★3—00%——
85
DRAKE ALSUPWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
87
RIVER HELMSTE SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
80
KYLE MCNAMARAWR FRTRUE FR
★2★200%——
29
RONY BOURDEAUWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
86
TEEJAY TAYLORWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS6 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
RIVER HELMSHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
CHANCE MCDONALDHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
JARRETT LUCOMBEHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
ANTHONY GIANSANTEHS RECRUITOT★2UNR
KYE ROBICHAUXHS RECRUITRBUNRUNR
MARSHALL JACKSONHS RECRUITIOLUNRUNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN19 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BAILEY ZAPPEHOUSTON CHRISTIANPROUNR★3
BOE WILSONNEBRASKAIOL★3★3
TRE SHAWNORTH CAROLINACB★4★4
CAMERON STAGEBOWLING GREENIOL★3★3
MATTHEW FLINTNORTH CAROLINALB★3★3
MICHAEL PITTSCINCINNATILB★3★3
DAVION WILLIAMSMICHIGAN STATECB★3★3
DAEWOOD DAVISOREGONWR★3★3
NIKO COOPERNEBRASKALBUNR★3
JAMALE CAROTHERSNAVYRB★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT20 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TEREZ TRAYNORIDAHOWR★3★3
JOHN BLUNT JR.EASTERN KENTUCKYCB★2★2
RICKY BARBERUCFDT★3★3
GAEJ WALKERWESTERN ILLINOISRB★2★2
KYLE BAILEYEASTERN KENTUCKYLB★3★3
ROGER CRAYOLD DOMINIONCB★2★2
XAVIER LANEMISSOURI STATEWR★3UNR
JAHCOUR PEARSONOLE MISSWR★3★3
DEVON KEYELIGIBILITY UPDB★2—
STEVEN WITCHOSKEYELIGIBILITY UPTE★2—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#136NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 6 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8317COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1924 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
56TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
5
15
14
11
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-5 TO +6 W
IMPROVED25 OF 56
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST32% BACK32th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG32% BACK32th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE