SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2016 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›AIR FORCE›2016TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2016 FINAL
MOUNTAIN WEST|TROY CALHOUN|—RECORD9-3|CONF—
AIR FORCE68 FPIMWC · 2016 SEASON
TALENT
1FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1140 BC / 45
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2016 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
9-3ACTUALvs7.7-4.3FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD4-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+7.7
9 wins against a scoring profile describing 7.7. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
32MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3HABILENE CHRISTIAN—W 37-21————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 10HGEORGIA STATE—W 48-14101515+40BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24AUTAH STATE—W 27-20183333+22BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1HNAVY—W 28-14136060-5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 8AWYOMING—L 26-3592525+30BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15HNEW MEXICO—L 40-45233030+25BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22HHAWAI'I—L 27-34222020+35BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28AFRESNO STATE—W 31-213155+50BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5AARMY—W 31-1262121+34BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12HCOLORADO STATE—W 49-46345050+5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19ASAN JOSÉ STATE—W 41-38381313+42BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25HBOISE STATE—W 27-20587777-22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
ARION WORTHMANQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
6
NATE ROMINEQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
8
PATE DAVISQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
ISAIAH SANDERSQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
16
MIKE SCHMIDTQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
D.J. JOHNSONRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
28
JACOBI OWENSRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
43
SHAYNE DAVERNRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
24
BENTON WASHINGTONRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
30
JACOB STAFFORDFB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
33
TIMOTHY MCVEYRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
36
PARKER WILSONFB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
9
MALIK MILLERRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
25
CHRISTIAN MALLARDRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
33
TAVEN BIRDOWFB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
43
COLTON PARTONFB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
19
NOLAN ERIKSENRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
29
JOSEPH SAUCIERRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
34
COLE FAGANFB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
45
SCOTT HESTERRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
32
AUBREY DUTY-TYSONFB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
JALEN ROBINETTEWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
12
TYLER WILLIAMSWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
85
RYAN REFFITTTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
3
RONALD CLEVELANDWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
10
ANDREW SMITHWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
82
JOSH SELFTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
MATT JACQUESTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
19
SETH HILLWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
81
ANDREW DAUGHTERYWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
C.J. RIAZZITE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
18
JAKE MATKOVICHWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
84
GARRETT AMYWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
8
MARCUS BENNETTWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
7
GERAUD SANDERSWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
20
BENJAMIN WATERSWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
81
LESLEY DALGERTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
87
KADE WAGUESPACKTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
21
D'MOREA WICKSWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
13
CODY BRONKARWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
39
JAKE LACOSTEWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
COLTON DURRANTHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
STEPHEN OMOROGBEHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
PARKER WORKMANHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
LAKOTA WILLSHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
GERAUD SANDERSHS RECRUITWR★2UNR
ASHTON BARNESHS RECRUITATH★2UNR
XAVIER PRICEHS RECRUITWR★2UNR
GAGE UPSHAWHS RECRUITWR★2UNR
DONALD HAMMOND IIIHS RECRUITPRO★2UNR
DRU DIXONHS RECRUITILB★2UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT0 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#114NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 45 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.7741COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODEST—2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODEST—2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHT—2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST62% BACK62th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG62% BACK62th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE