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SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGEPRESEASON · NO CHARTED PLAY
SUN BELT|DELL MCGEE|—RECORD2-0|CONF—
GEORGIA STATE107 FPISBC · 2026 SEASON
TALENT
23FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
42%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
29%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-4IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#841 BC / 16
BC RATIO
11%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2026 · FULL SEASON
No scoring record for this season yet, so there is nothing to compare the win-loss record against.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT29
CONTINUITY42
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT40
CONTINUITY29
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE2 PLAYED · 10 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
20MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
32MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
+12REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 4HNORTH CAROLINA A&T—W 59-10————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 12AKENNESAW STATE—W 31-1742020-17BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 19AUCF—UPCOMING536262-59STILL TO COME
4SEP 26HNORTHERN ILLINOIS—UPCOMING999-6STILL TO COME
5OCT 3HOLD DOMINION—UPCOMING123030-27STILL TO COME
7OCT 17AJAMES MADISON—UPCOMING275858-55STILL TO COME
8OCT 24AARKANSAS STATE—UPCOMING342727-24STILL TO COME
9OCT 31HCOASTAL CAROLINA—UPCOMING242121-18STILL TO COME
10NOV 7AAPP STATE—UPCOMING392525-22STILL TO COME
11NOV 14HGEORGIA SOUTHERN—UPCOMING443434-31STILL TO COME
12NOV 21AMARSHALL—UPCOMING301818-15STILL TO COME
13NOV 28HLOUISIANA—UPCOMING283434-31STILL TO COME
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB63TAL23PERF63RET59ONE OWNERn=4 · 5 METRICS · 13 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
8
CAMERAN BROWNQB SERET
UNR★35359%+21EMERGED
2
AYDEN PEREIRAQB SEPORTAL · MERRIMACK
UNR★33124%—EMERGED
15
GAVIN NUCKOLLSQB FRTRUE FR
★3—129%——
14
TJ STANLEYQB FRRET
★3—129%——
12
JADON OLAFSSONQB FRRET
UNR—00%——
▾RB50TAL35PERF51RET22ROTATIONn=6 · 9 METRICS · 52 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
LANEAR MCCRARY JR.RB SEPORTAL · SHORTER
UNR★38537%—EMERGED
0
DENNIS MURRAY JR.RB SORET
★3—6422%-9—
20
JAMAL BING JR.RB JURET
UNR—4013%——
28
SAVION HARTRB SOPORTAL · GEORGETOWN
★3★33311%—HELD
24
QWANTAVIUS WIGGINSRB FRTRUE FR
★4—3311%——
22
XAVIER BUTLERRB FRTRUE FR
★3—136%——
21
JAYLEN POERB JUPORTAL · NORTHERN ILLINOIS
UNR★300%+26EMERGED
32
LADAINNIAN MARTINRB FRRET
★3—00%——
25
TAYO ASHADELERB FRRET
UNR—00%——
33
JASON FISHERRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE52TAL38PERF54RET53ROTATIONn=17 · 7 METRICS · 74 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
WESLEY CAMPBELL VITE SERET
UNR—7732%——
13
DERRICK AVERY JR.WR SORET
★3—6420%-61—
9
RODSHAUN DORSEYWR JUPORTAL · ERSKINE
UNR★36420%—EMERGED
81
AVION MCBRIDETE SERET
★3—6022%-18—
10
DJ RILESWR SERET
★3★35014%-14HELD
44
KYLE MULLENIXTE FRRET
UNR—4818%——
85
GRANT HOLLIERTE SORET
★3—4115%+41—
11
MATT BURONTE SEPORTAL · FORDHAM
UNR—3614%——
82
ZACH STAIRWR FRTRUE FR
★3—369%——
17
ISAIAH STONEWR SOPORTAL · LSU
UNR★3369%—EMERGED
18
D'ONTAE FULTONWR FRRET
★3—318%——
87
AUSTIN MCGEEWR SORET
★3—225%——
19
JAMARI MILLERWR FRRET
★3—225%——
89
AMARI POWELLWR SORET
★2—164%——
4
KYLE WASHINGTONWR SORET
★3—164%-54—
80
AHMED SOUAREWR FRRET
★3—93%——
86
KERON MILTONWR SORET
UNR—01%——
7
OWEN DUPREEWR JUPORTAL · WEST GEORGIA
UNR★300%—EMERGED
16
JAYLIN MARSHALLWR SERET
★4★300%—FELL
38
KHALIL QUINNWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
▸OL53TAL40PERF53RET42n=16 · 2 METRICS · 32 OBS
▸DL35TAL43PERF35RET36n=15 · 7 METRICS · 67 OBS
▸LB31TAL31PERF31RET44n=10 · 7 METRICS · 45 OBS
▸DB55TAL46PERF55RET45n=12 · 7 METRICS · 41 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS10 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
QWANTAVIUS WIGGINSHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
MAXWELL ROBINSONHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
XAVIER BUTLERHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
FREDDIE WILSONHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
TIMOTHY DAILEYHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
KADORIAN BENJAMINHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
ZAMAR MCGEEHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
MALIQUE HARRELLHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
RY'SHEED FULLERHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
ZACH STAIRHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN15 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KELTON SMITH JR.GEORGIAIOLUNR★3
DARIUS JOHNSON JR.GARDNER-WEBBCBUNR★3
MARCUS MASCOLLFLORIDAIOL★4★3
CHASE ALLEN-JACKMANWASHBURNWR★3★3
DONOVAN FARIAGANNONCBUNR★3
CONNOR JONESMICHIGANOT★3★3
DEUCE LEEMONMOUTHSUNR★3
JORDAN BROWNARIZONAOTUNR★3
TOBY BOLTONTENNESSEE TECHCBUNR★3
KEITH ADAMS JR.CLEMSONRB★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT49 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAYLEN JONESVIRGINIASUNR★3
D-ICEY HOPKINSLIBERTYS★3★3
DEUCE FILLMOREILLINOISDBUNR★3
KEDRICK WALKERBAYLORLBUNR★3
BISHOP THOMASOKLAHOMADL★3★3
MARLIN DEANUABLB★3★3
JAVON ROBINSONUTAH STATEWRUNR★3
CHAMS DIAGNEWEST VIRGINIACBUNR★3
JARTAVIUS FLOUNOYSYRACUSEDL★3★3
SAM MCCALLBETHUNE-COOKMANCB★4★4
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES80%9 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS79%12 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#84NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
1OF 16 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8473COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
3539 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
34TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
7
6
6
9
6
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +1.8 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED15 OF 34
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST29% BACK29th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG29% BACK29th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR42%42th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR59%59th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST45%45th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE