SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2024 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2024 FINAL
MOUNTAIN WEST|TROY CALHOUN|—RECORD5-7|CONF—
AIR FORCE105 FPIMWC · 2024 SEASON
TALENT
1FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
35%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
67%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-11IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1720 BC / 46
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2024 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
5-7ACTUALvs4.6-7.4FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.4 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN-4.3
5 wins against a scoring profile describing 4.6. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE17
PERFORMANCE17
TALENT14
CONTINUITY35
DEFENSE26
PERFORMANCE26
TALENT23
CONTINUITY67
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
35MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HMERRIMACK—W 21-6————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 7HSAN JOSÉ STATE—L 7-17163232-15BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 14ABAYLOR—L 3-31697272-55BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28AWYOMING—L 19-31121414+3BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5HNAVY—L 7-3415858-41BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12ANEW MEXICO—L 37-52151414+3BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19HCOLORADO STATE—L 13-21303030-13BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2AARMY#21L 3-2017373-56BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9HFRESNO STATE—W 36-28363737-20BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16HOREGON STATE—W 28-0472828-11BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23ANEVADA—W 22-19231313+4BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30ASAN DIEGO STATE—W 31-20451111+6BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB29TAL0PERF29RET54ONE OWNERn=2 · 5 METRICS · 10 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
JOHN BUSHAQB JURET
UNR—6254%-46—
17
QUENTIN HAYESQB SONO SNAPS
UNR—5335%+41—
11
JOSH JOHNSONQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—3011%——
4
KEMPER HODGESQB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
13
MAGUIRE MARTINQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB36TAL24PERF36RET47ROTATIONn=6 · 5 METRICS · 19 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
DYLAN CARSONRB SERET
★3—7728%+5—
2
OWEN ALLENRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—6315%-21—
8
KADE FREWRB SERET
★3—6214%+26—
12
TERRENCE GISTFB SERET
UNR—539%——
28
AIDEN CALVERTRB SERET
★3—507%+34—
27
KADEN CLOUDRB SERET
★3—415%——
24
ROMAN BRADLEYFB SONO SNAPS
UNR—394%——
44
ROCCO CONTIRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—384%——
34
DARIUS STONERB JURET
UNR—91%——
17
KALEB KILLIANRB SERET
UNR—50%——
23
CADE PALMERFB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
30
KALE GIBBSRB SERET
UNR—00%——
31
HOUSTON THOMASRB JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
26
JALEN RASHAD TURNERRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE47TAL11PERF47RET87ONE OWNERn=4 · 7 METRICS · 17 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
88
BRUIN FLEISCHMANNTE SERET
★2—9776%-31—
21
CADE HARRISWR SERET
★2—7043%+32—
87
PARKER MENEFEETE SERET
★2—6422%——
25
TYLOR LATHAMWR SERET
UNR—6214%+8—
18
QUIN SMITHWR SERET
UNR—5619%+36—
13
JARED ROZNOSWR SERET
★2—4912%+34—
2
BRANDON ENGELWR SERET
UNR—4410%+33—
10
TRE ROBERSONWR SERET
★3—449%——
6
CAMERON BREIERWR SERET
★2—304%——
80
SIMON KIBBEETE SENO SNAPS
UNR—272%——
4
KENDIN ALEXANDERWR SERET
UNR—151%——
0
OWEN CHAMBERSWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—111%——
53
GRIFFIN STALFORTTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
OMARI MURDOCKTE JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
47
KALEB TOMPKINSTE SERET
★3—00%——
89
PARKER ST. JOHNWR SERET
UNR—00%——
32
GRANT SIMMONSWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
19
GRANT WAYNEWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
81
HOUSTON HAWKINSWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
82
ADAM HRYNCIWWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
83
CODY AHOLATE SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
27
JET WILEYWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
85
MITCHELL BLAKESLEETE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
16
REIGN BROADWAYWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▸OL39TAL14PERF39RET18n=9 · 3 METRICS · 17 OBS
▸DL47TAL32PERF47RET71n=8 · 8 METRICS · 40 OBS
▸LB36TAL22PERF36RET70n=6 · 10 METRICS · 29 OBS
▸DB51TAL19PERF51RET65n=8 · 8 METRICS · 47 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JALEN DAVISHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
JONAH DAWSONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
HARRY CASKEYHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
REIGN BROADWAYHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
RICHARD MUNOZHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
JACK MATRANGAHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
JORDAN TRIPLETTHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
NOAH MCNAIRHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
MATT LONGHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
JAMISON KLEINHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT42 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TREY TAYLORNFL DRAFT R7S★3—
ADAM KARASELIGIBILITY UPOT★3—
WESLEY NDAGOELIGIBILITY UPG★3—
JOHNATHAN YOUNGBLOODELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
THOR PAGLIALONGELIGIBILITY UPOL★2—
JAYDEN GOODWINELIGIBILITY UPS★3—
ALEC MOCKELIGIBILITY UPLB★3—
PJ RAMSEYELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
BO RICHTERELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
ETHAN JACKMANELIGIBILITY UPGUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES83%10 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS49%6 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#172NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 46 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.7997COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
011 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
73TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
15
14
24
9
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED33 OF 73
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST22% BACK22th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG22% BACK22th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR18%18th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR54%54th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST65%65th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE