SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2025 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2025 FINAL
MOUNTAIN WEST|TROY CALHOUN|—RECORD4-8|CONF—
AIR FORCE96 FPIMWC · 2025 SEASON
TALENT
0FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
84%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
63%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-12IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1290 BC / 49
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2025 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
4-8ACTUALvs5.9-6.1FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.9 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN-0.5
4 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.9. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE70
PERFORMANCE70
TALENT17
CONTINUITY84
DEFENSE0
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT20
CONTINUITY63
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
42MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 30HBUCKNELL—W 49-13————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 13AUTAH STATE—L 30-49184242-1BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 20HBOISE STATE—L 37-49425353-12BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 27HHAWAI'I—L 35-44135050-9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 4ANAVY#23L 31-3416666-25BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 11AUNLV—L 48-51645959-18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 18HWYOMING—W 24-21151919+22BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 1HARMY—L 17-2014646-5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 8ASAN JOSÉ STATE—W 26-16211313+28BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 15AUCONN—L 16-26306161-20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 22HNEW MEXICO—L 3-2054747-6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 28ACOLORADO STATE—W 42-213499+32BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB26TAL31PERF26RET29ONE OWNERn=3 · 6 METRICS · 14 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
LIAM SZARKAQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—6971%+39—
11
JOSH JOHNSONQB SERET
UNR—4920%+40—
4
KEMPER HODGESQB SERET
★3—349%——
13
MAGUIRE MARTINQB SERET
UNR—00%——
15
BRODY FORTUNATIQB JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
6
EVAN MEDDERSQB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
14
JACKSON KINGQB JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
▾RB37TAL27PERF37RET99ROTATIONn=3 · 5 METRICS · 13 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
8
KADE FREWRB SERET
★3—7632%+32—
2
OWEN ALLENRB SERET
UNR—7632%+2—
5
DYLAN CARSONRB SERET
★3—6721%-1—
44
ROCCO CONTIRB SERET
UNR—384%-55—
12
TERRENCE GISTFB SERET
UNR—344%——
27
KADEN CLOUDRB SERET
★3—182%+16—
28
GAGE LADUEFB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—131%——
17
KALEB KILLIANRB SERET
UNR—00%——
43
TRAVIS WOODFB JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
45
OMARI ELIASFB JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
23
CADE PALMERFB SERET
UNR—00%——
26
JALEN RASHAD TURNERRB SERET
UNR—00%——
37
LUKE RAUHFB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
31
HOUSTON THOMASRB JURET
★2—00%——
▾WR/TE75TAL13PERF76RET92ONE OWNERn=5 · 8 METRICS · 20 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
88
BRUIN FLEISCHMANNTE SERET
★2—9866%+44—
87
PARKER MENEFEETE SERET
★2—7930%——
21
CADE HARRISWR SERET
★2—7242%+31—
18
QUIN SMITHWR SERET
UNR—6324%+37—
8
JONAH DAWSONWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—5616%+36—
10
TRE ROBERSONWR SERET
★3—4710%+35—
80
SIMON KIBBEETE SERET
UNR—414%——
3
MATT LONGWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—324%——
25
TYLOR LATHAMWR SERET
UNR—313%-5—
10
ADAM HRYNCIWWR SERET
UNR—253%——
53
GRIFFIN STALFORTTE SERET
UNR—80%——
36
ASTIN HANGEWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—61%——
18
MASON HAYESWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
32
GRANT SIMMONSWR JURET
UNR—00%——
19
GRANT WAYNEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
20
OWEN CHAMBERSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
85
MITCHELL BLAKESLEETE SERET
UNR—00%——
86
OMARI MURDOCKTE JURET
★3—00%——
16
REIGN BROADWAYWR SORET
★3—00%——
22
KEEGAN BASSWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
33
MASON LOWEWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
83
BRODY GUINNWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL50TAL15PERF50RET86n=8 · 3 METRICS · 17 OBS
▸DL27TAL14PERF27RET98n=6 · 7 METRICS · 36 OBS
▸LB27TAL28PERF27RET77n=6 · 11 METRICS · 36 OBS
▸DB29TAL17PERF29RET25n=9 · 8 METRICS · 50 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CONNOR VASEKHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
KYLE KEYAHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
SETH MCFARLANDHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
JAKE SULZBERGERHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
COLT HODGESHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
BRYCE BRADENHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
CADE SPRADLINGHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
CONNOR MATHEWSHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
SYLAS ALAIMALOHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
AVERY MCCORMICKHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT32 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DAVID SANTIAGOMICHIGAN STATEDEUNR★3
TYLER LAWRENCENEW MEXICOOL★3★3
QUENTIN HAYESTHE CITADELQBUNRUNR
HIROSHI CARRMORGAN STATEDB★3★3
ALEX MOOREELIGIBILITY UPOLUNR—
MICHAEL MCANINCHELIGIBILITY UPOLUNR—
JAMARI BELLAMYELIGIBILITY UPDB★2—
CAMBY GOFFELIGIBILITY UPDB★2—
OSARO AIHIEELIGIBILITY UPLB★3—
JAMES TOMASIELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES37%6 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS16%4 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#129NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 49 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8195COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
012 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKNEW
26TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
0
5
9
7
5
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-3 TO +9 W
IMPROVED12 OF 26
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST56% BACK56th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG56% BACK56th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR86%86th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR29%29th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST25%25th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE